Old Stag 70th Birthday Handicap Hurdle Race · 1m7f182y
SR 103 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 96 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Last Kingdom | 12/1 | 12/1 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Wild Goose | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 7/1 Coral |
| 3 Duke of Luckley | 5/1 open 4.33 | 11/2 open 4.33 | 5/1 open 4.33 | 5/1 open 4.33 | 5/1 open 4.00 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 11/2 Paddy Power |
| 4 Pigeon House | 20/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 | 22/1 Coral |
| 5 Bluegrass | 5/1 open 9.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 6 King Ulanda | 15/2 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 6/1 open 9.00 | 6/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 13.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Max of Stars | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Granny Hawkins | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 Betfred |
| 9 King of The Road | 9/2 open 10.00 | 9/2 | 7/2 open 7.00 | 7/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 4/1 | 9/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Duke of Luckley owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (68) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 103 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 96 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Duke of Luckley (SR:122, 6/1, Wgt:11-13) is the highest-rated horse in the field with confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ at today's trip and going — the only runner to tick both boxes positively. His Course:W5P7 record at Southwell is exceptional and represents a massive edge at a specialist venue where track familiarity matters enormously. The -5lb mark drop (MarkMv:-5) and class drop (ClassMv:↓1) make the handicap conditions attractive. The 86% market drift is a concern that cannot be ignored, but the visor (HG:v) is retained from recent runs where he recorded -13V11, suggesting the quirky void run is an anomaly and the 1-1 either side shows genuine ability. The form, course record, going/distance fit, and class drop combine as a compelling multi-signal case that outweighs the drift. Each-way alternative: Max of Stars. Main danger: Granny Hawkins — Granny Hawkins (SR:117, 9/2) carries the best AI star rating (★★★★☆) and a strong recent form string of 2111-3 for Alan King with Tom Cannon aboard — a high-calibre yard/jockey combination — and GoingFit:+ confirms she handles today's conditions well despite the +8lb mark rise.