← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
BetMGM Noel Murless Stakes (Listed Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Infraad
MEDIUM Advised 4/6 SP 4/6F Est. 45%
Mr Fox says
Infraad (SR:118, 4/6) is the clear class leader in this six-runner Listed field — the only runner with a SR above 108 and the standout form line of -31311, showing four wins or places from five runs with a last-time-out victory. The 4-star AI probability rating backs this up, and going good is confirmed as a positive for this horse. William Haggas's 23% career strike rate is the strongest trainer figure in the field, and while Tom Marquand's individual rate is modest, the yard's record at this level is well-established. The step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) and a mark 9lb higher than last win are the only notes of caution, but the SR gap — 10 points clear of second-best Galiyan — is too wide to overlook in a six-runner field. Each-way alternative: Galiyan. Main danger: Galiyan — Galiyan (SR:108, 11/4) is the Balding yard's number-one runner with James Doyle booked — a significant jockey upgrade signal — and at 11/4 the market rates it a genuine threat, making it the most credible challenger if Infraad underperforms on its step up in class.
Full result
Winner: Infraad (IRE) at SP 4/6F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Infraad Fox #1 8/11
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2
Galiyan Fox #2 11/4
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3
Galilean Quality Fox #3 5/1
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4
Guildmaster 22/1
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5
Level Look 25/1
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—
Gone By 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Infraad 4/6 SP 4/6F 🏆 WON
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2
Galiyan 11/4 🥈 2ND
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3
Galilean Quality 6/1 🥉 3RD