Ascot 15:35 RESULTED
Class 1 2 Oct 2026

Yesterday BetMGM Noel Murless Stakes (Listed Race)

BetMGM Noel Murless Stakes (Listed Race) · 1m6f34y

Official Result

BetMGM Noel Murless Stakes (Listed Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Infraad (IRE) Tom Marquand · William Haggas
    4/6F
  2. Second Galiyan (GB)
    5/2
  3. 13/2
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Galilean Quality silks
Galilean Quality
Age 3 · 9-3
316122
97
101
99
3
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 5/1 10/3
Galilean Quality arrives in cracking form, runner-up in his last two starts and a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 129 lb off 27 days since his last run, the weight is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Galiyan silks
Galiyan
Age 3 · 9-3
416255
106
108
107
3
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 9/4 5/2
Galiyan has run over today's trip and going, and a second three starts back sits alongside a win five starts back, so he looks a strong threat after a break of just 20 days. The main risk is back-to-back fifths, while top-rated at 107 and carrying 129 lb.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Guildmaster silks
Guildmaster
Age 3 · 9-3
1-3787
98
70
99
3
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 16/1 18/1
Guildmaster has a win five starts back and a third four starts back to his name, and he's fresh after 27 days off, has run on today's going and our rating of 99 ranks him fourth of six; the risk is three straight runs of seventh, eighth and seventh.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Infraad silks
Infraad
Age 3 · 9-3
-31311
106
118
105
3
9-3
★★★★☆
—
8/11 8/13 2/3
Infraad arrives in cracking form, a winner last time out and two starts back, with another victory four starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Fit enough after 41 days off, he's our pick, with 129 lb the only real question.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Level Look silks
Level Look
Age 3 · 9-3
142611
91
77
86
3
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 16/1 25/1
Level Look arrives in cracking form, having won last time out and two starts back, with a third success six starts back, and he's fresh enough after 15 days. Still, our figures rank him last of six, and 129 lb off an official 91 looks a stiff ask, though he has run over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Gone By silks
Gone By
Age 3 · 8-12
2-2118
92
75
91
3
8-12
★★☆☆☆
—
50/1 16/1 50/1
Gone By was beaten into eighth last time out and returns from a 62-day break, which is hard to overlook, though she was a winner two starts back and again three starts back and has run on today's going before. Carrying 124 lb off 92, she looks up against it, ranked fifth of six on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Galilean Quality 5/1 open 8.00 11/2 10/3 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 11/2 Paddy Power
2 Galiyan 11/4 open 3.50 5/2 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.75 11/4 Bet365
3 Guildmaster 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 26.00 22/1 Bet365
4 Infraad 8/11 4/6 open 1.62 4/5 open 1.62 4/5 open 1.62 4/5 open 1.73 8/11 open 1.62 4/5 Coral
5 Level Look 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 Bet365
6 Gone By 50/1 open 17.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 17.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Infraad

Live signal

Infraad owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/11 William Haggas Tom Marquand
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Galiyan

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Andrew Balding
✓ Value Signal

Gone By

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Ralph Beckett
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.3 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Infraad
65.7 8/11
2 2. Galiyan
62.6 11/4
3 1. Galilean Quality
58.4 5/1
4 5. Level Look
41.4 25/1
5 3. Guildmaster
40.5 22/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Infraad
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 9-3
8/11
★★★★☆ SR 118 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 3 · 9-3
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾 —

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-3
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 101 🐾 —

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Infraad
Confidence: Medium

Infraad (SR:118, 4/6) is the clear class leader in this six-runner Listed field — the only runner with a SR above 108 and the standout form line of -31311, showing four wins or places from five runs with a last-time-out victory. The 4-star AI probability rating backs this up, and going good is confirmed as a positive for this horse. William Haggas's 23% career strike rate is the strongest trainer figure in the field, and while Tom Marquand's individual rate is modest, the yard's record at this level is well-established. The step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) and a mark 9lb higher than last win are the only notes of caution, but the SR gap — 10 points clear of second-best Galiyan — is too wide to overlook in a six-runner field. Each-way alternative: Galiyan. Main danger: Galiyan — Galiyan (SR:108, 11/4) is the Balding yard's number-one runner with James Doyle booked — a significant jockey upgrade signal — and at 11/4 the market rates it a genuine threat, making it the most credible challenger if Infraad underperforms on its step up in class.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 41-day absence is the longest layoff in the field — Infraad has not run since late August and freshness at Listed level on a tight 4/6 price is a genuine risk.
  • MarkMv:+9 means Infraad faces a mark 9lb higher than last win; combined with a class rise (↑1 to Listed), the horse must improve again on its best to justify odds-on favouritism.
  • Galiyan (SR:108, 11/4) arrives 20 days ago with James Doyle booked and Balding's stable flag active — fresher, in form, and the market has kept it well in at 11/4, suggesting professional money is no…
  • Tom Marquand's individual jockey strike rate of 16% is the second-lowest among the principals in this field; in a small six-runner Listed contest every riding decision is amplified.
Shortlist Infraad, Galiyan, Galilean Quality
Each-way: Galiyan Danger: Galiyan

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m6f34y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Ascot Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade