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Davey Liddle Belated Birthday Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier)
Mr Fox’s call
Soldier In Mayo
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/10 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Soldier In Mayo (SR 103, 11/10) holds a clear SR advantage over every rival — 14 points clear of the next-best Jack Doyen (SR 89) — and his GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's good ground. His Form:43/1-2 shows a recent win followed by a placed effort, indicating he is in peak form for this Class 5 contest, and the mark has only risen 4lb since that win (MarkMv:+4), which is manageable given the SR gap to rivals. Donald McCain (15% strike rate, 712 runners) is a reliable northern trainer and the weight of 11-10, while top-weight, is justified by the SR edge in a small, weak field. The only real caution is DistFit:? — an unproven trip — but the form backdrop and class superiority override that concern. Each-way alternative: Jack Doyen. Main danger: Jack Doyen — Jack Doyen (SR 89, 9/2) has shortened 18% in the market, holds a Course:W0P1 record at Hexham, GoingFit:+ suits today's conditions, and his Form:1-21U5 shows a win and a second at this level — the blinkers (HG:b) on a 10-year-old chaser can sharpen jumping focus, and if Soldier In Mayo has any trip concerns over 2m4f, Jack Doyen is best placed to capitalise.
Full result
Winner: Illogical Logic (FR) at SP 13/8. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Illogical Logic Fox #3 5/2
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2
Kinbara Firstdraft 12/1
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3
Jack Doyen Fox #2 11/2
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4
Soldier In Mayo Fox #1 evn
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5
Blazing Court 14/1
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Jack Sprat -
Top 4 — how each finished
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3