Hexham 16:33 RESULTED
Class 5 2 Oct 2026

Yesterday Davey Liddle Belated Birthday Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier)

Davey Liddle Belated Birthday Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) · 2m4f15y

Official Result

Davey Liddle Belated Birthday Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Illogical Logic (FR) Ellis Collier · David Thompson
    13/8
  2. 16/1
  3. 9/2
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Big race Sun 4 Oct Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe ParisLongchamp · 15:05

Gowran Park

13:21–17:20 · 8 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

13:31–17:55 · 9 races

Hexham

13:38–17:08 · 7 races

Ascot

13:50–16:45 · 6 races

Newcastle (AW)

16:05–20:15 · 9 races

Dundalk (AW)

17:00–20:30 · 8 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Jack Sprat silks
Jack Sprat Non-Runner
Age 8 · 12-0
4-9235
98
—
98OR
8
12-0
—
—
SP
—
2
Soldier In Mayo silks
Soldier In Mayo
Age 6 · 11-10
43/1-2
94
103
106
6
11-10
★★★☆☆
—
SP Evs 10/11
Soldier In Mayo arrives in cracking form, a second last time out and a winner two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Fresh after 28 days off, he looks the one to beat, with our rating of 106 topping the five-runner field, though 164 lb is a stiff burden.
AI verdict

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Kinbara Firstdraft silks
Kinbara Firstdraft
Age 7 · 11-6
454695
90
84
105
7
11-6
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 12/1 11/1
Kinbara Firstdraft has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly just three days after a fifth last time out, while our rating of 105 ranks him second of five. The risk is plain: he's winless in his last six and carries 160 lb.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Jack Doyen silks
Jack Doyen
Age 10 · 11-4
1-21U5
88
89
87
10
11-4
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 FCST 5/1
Jack Doyen has won two of his last five, including a first three starts back, but he was only fifth last time and unseated two starts back, and he carries 158 lb. He has run over today's trip and going, yet our figures rank him last of five.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Illogical Logic silks
Illogical Logic
Age 8 · 11-0
6P-521
84
87
90
8
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 18/13 9/4
Illogical Logic arrives a last-time-out winner, with a second two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before; he's been off 34 days and carries 154 lb off a mark of 84. Ranked fourth of five by our rating of 90, the main risk is that three rivals are rated above him.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Blazing Court silks
Blazing Court
Age 8 · 10-8
-UP720
78
78
91
8
10-8
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 12/1 14/1
Blazing Court was unplaced latest but finished second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 91 ranks him third of five, but the main risk is that he's yet to win, with 148 lb a notable burden.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Jack Sprat — — — — — — —
2 Soldier In Mayo evn open 2.20 1/1 evn evn evn open 2.10 10/11 open 2.00 evn Bet365
3 Kinbara Firstdraft 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 Bet365
4 Jack Doyen 11/2 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 5/1 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 11/2 Bet365
5 Illogical Logic 5/2 open 2.63 9/4 open 2.38 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.87 5/2 open 2.50 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 Bet365
6 Blazing Court 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Illogical Logic

Speculative

Illogical Logic owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 David Thompson Ellis Collier(5)
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Soldier In Mayo

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

evn · Donald McCain
✓ Value Signal

Kinbara Firstdraft

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

12/1 · Leonard Kerr
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Illogical Logic
56.0 5/2
2 2. Soldier In Mayo
55.7 evn
3 4. Jack Doyen
52.7 11/2
4 3. Kinbara Firstdraft
48.3 12/1
5 6. Blazing Court
42.7 14/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Soldier In Mayo
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 8 · 11-0
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾 —

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 10 · 11-4
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾 —

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 7 · 11-6
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 8 · 10-8
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Soldier In Mayo
Confidence: Speculative

Soldier In Mayo (SR 103, 11/10) holds a clear SR advantage over every rival — 14 points clear of the next-best Jack Doyen (SR 89) — and his GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's good ground. His Form:43/1-2 shows a recent win followed by a placed effort, indicating he is in peak form for this Class 5 contest, and the mark has only risen 4lb since that win (MarkMv:+4), which is manageable given the SR gap to rivals. Donald McCain (15% strike rate, 712 runners) is a reliable northern trainer and the weight of 11-10, while top-weight, is justified by the SR edge in a small, weak field. The only real caution is DistFit:? — an unproven trip — but the form backdrop and class superiority override that concern. Each-way alternative: Jack Doyen. Main danger: Jack Doyen — Jack Doyen (SR 89, 9/2) has shortened 18% in the market, holds a Course:W0P1 record at Hexham, GoingFit:+ suits today's conditions, and his Form:1-21U5 shows a win and a second at this level — the blinkers (HG:b) on a 10-year-old chaser can sharpen jumping focus, and if Soldier In Mayo has any trip concerns over 2m4f, Jack Doyen is best placed to capitalise.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:? is a genuine unknown — if this trip exposes a stamina limitation, his SR advantage becomes irrelevant and rivals with proven distance form hold a structural edge.
  • Jockey Theo Gillard strikes at only 13% from 215 rides — modest figures, and at a tight venue like Hexham where positional savvy matters, this is a tangible handicap.
  • Illogical Logic (11/4, SR 87) is shortening in the market (out39% noted but current 11/4 suggests late support) and comes off a recent win; Soldier In Mayo is odds-on yet drifted or held — no market…
  • Carrying top-weight of 11-10 on a track as undulating and stamina-testing as Hexham amplifies any DistFit:? concern — rivals at 11-0 or below get a meaningful physical advantage if the race truly tes…
Shortlist Soldier In Mayo, Jack Doyen, Illogical Logic
Each-way: Jack Doyen Danger: Jack Doyen

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m4f15y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Hexham Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade