← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Legacy Stakes (Listed)
Mr Fox’s call
Big Negotiator
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Big Negotiator (SR:115, 13/8, 9-3) is the class standout in this field by a clear margin — 12 SR points clear of the next-best Shimmering Sun (SR:103) and 17 clear of Grayrobin (SR:104). The market has firmed 11% since opening, confirming professional support. Trainer P. Twomey operates at a 24% strike rate from 397 runners — elite for Irish training standards — and W.J. Lee at 15% is a high-quality booking. The form string 104101 (rightmost = last) shows a last-time-out win just 11 days ago, and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm this horse is proven at 5f on good ground. The visor is retained from the winning run, providing continuity. The 9-3 weight is not burdensome in this fillies-free mixed two-year-old sprint, and no rival carries a combination of SR, trainer form, market confidence, and distance/going suitability to match. Each-way alternative: Shimmering Sun. Main danger: Shimmering Sun — Shimmering Sun (SR:103, 10/3) has steamed in 31% in the market, carries the four-star AI probability rating, holds DistFit:+ at 5f, and Ben Coen is a high-quality jockey booking — the form string 17202 shows a Listed win and only modest recent finishes that may understate current ability on AW.
Full result
Winner: Shimmering Sun (IRE) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Shimmering Sun Fox #2 3/1
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2
Controlla Fox #4 15/2
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3
Blooming Sally 66/1
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4
Southern Boulevard 33/1
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5
Hidden Gift 9/2
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6
Walk On Harry 50/1
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7
Hanney Boy 20/1
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8
Grayrobin Fox #3 7/1
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9
Star Prospect 14/1
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10
Big Negotiator Fox #1 2/1
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11
Matriarchal 40/1
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12
Brazilian Diva 22/1
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13
Magical Moonlight 22/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Big Negotiator 13/8 10TH
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2
Shimmering Sun 10/3 SP 3/1 🏆 WON
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3
Grayrobin 13/2 8TH
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4
Controlla 13/2 🥈 2ND