Irish Stallion Farms EBF Legacy Stakes (Listed) · 5f
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 47 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 63 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 59 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Grayrobin | 7/1 open 7.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Hanney Boy | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 8.00 | 20/1 open 9.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 9.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Star Prospect | 14/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Walk On Harry | 50/1 open 29.00 | 66/1 open 21.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 66/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Big Negotiator | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 Coral |
| 6 Blooming Sally | 66/1 open 81.00 | 50/1 open 81.00 | 50/1 open 101.00 | 50/1 open 101.00 | 50/1 open 81.00 | 50/1 open 101.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Brazilian Diva | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Controlla | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 Coral |
| 9 Hidden Gift | 9/2 open 13.00 | 4/1 open 12.00 | 7/2 open 13.00 | 7/2 open 13.00 | 4/1 open 13.00 | 7/2 open 12.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 10 Magical Moonlight | 22/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 Paddy Power |
| 11 Matriarchal | 40/1 | 33/1 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Shimmering Sun | 3/1 open 5.50 | 11/4 open 7.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 6.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 6.00 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Southern Boulevard | 33/1 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Big Negotiator owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 91 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Big Negotiator (SR:115, 13/8, 9-3) is the class standout in this field by a clear margin — 12 SR points clear of the next-best Shimmering Sun (SR:103) and 17 clear of Grayrobin (SR:104). The market has firmed 11% since opening, confirming professional support. Trainer P. Twomey operates at a 24% strike rate from 397 runners — elite for Irish training standards — and W.J. Lee at 15% is a high-quality booking. The form string 104101 (rightmost = last) shows a last-time-out win just 11 days ago, and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm this horse is proven at 5f on good ground. The visor is retained from the winning run, providing continuity. The 9-3 weight is not burdensome in this fillies-free mixed two-year-old sprint, and no rival carries a combination of SR, trainer form, market confidence, and distance/going suitability to match. Each-way alternative: Shimmering Sun. Main danger: Shimmering Sun — Shimmering Sun (SR:103, 10/3) has steamed in 31% in the market, carries the four-star AI probability rating, holds DistFit:+ at 5f, and Ben Coen is a high-quality jockey booking — the form string 17202 shows a Listed win and only modest recent finishes that may understate current ability on AW.