Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

16:16 Gowran Park Fri 02 Oct 2026 2m4f40y Good 23 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Ardera Gun

SPECULATIVE Advised 9/1 Est. 18%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Ardera Gun (SR:76, 9/1, Wgt:10-12) carries a favourable weight relative to higher-rated rivals and has steamed in by 35% in the market — the strongest inbound move in this 23-runner field and a clear signal that connections and informed money are confident. Jockey Donagh Meyler posts a 12% career strike rate from 1,048 rides, the best jockey booking among contenders, and the DistFit:? tag means the trip is untested rather than proven negative. The trainer Eoin Doyle's 5% strike rate is modest, but the 35% market steam overrides that concern — this horse is being backed with purpose. The form string 007P-U is messy but the U (unseated) dismisses the last run as a non-event, and the headgear change (tb — tongue-tie and blinkers) applied for today suggests connections are seeking a sharper response. Each-way alternative: Comanche Moon. Main danger: Comanche Moon — Comanche Moon (SR:77, 13/2, Wgt:11-4) is the joint highest SR among horses with no proven negative at today's trip, trainer C Byrnes posts a 12% strike rate and jockey Philip Byrnes 11%, and at 13/2 it remains reasonably priced if the market drift of 15% is simply position-adjustment rather than genuine opposition from the yard.

Verify· #21061

Full result

Winner: The Ducks Walk (IRE) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.