Gowran Park 16:16 RESULTED
2 Oct 2026

Yesterday Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (Div II) · 2m4f40y

Official Result

Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner The Ducks Walk (IRE) Richard Condon · N Dooly
    7/1
  2. 9/1
  3. 5/2F
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Gowran Park

13:21–17:20 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 23 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Lariat silks
Lariat
Age 10 · 10-5
99-PP0
TBA
77
55
83
10
10-5
★☆☆☆☆
—
SP FCST 33/1
Lariat has been pulled up in two of his last three and is winless in recent starts, with ninths further back, though he has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after 13 days. Carrying 145 lb off 77, he sits 16th of 20 on our rating of 83.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

?
Arctic Piper silks
Arctic Piper
Age 7 · 11-1
8P-F90
TBA
87
52
92
7
11-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 33/1 20/1
Arctic Piper has been out of sorts, unplaced last time, a ninth two starts back, and she fell and was pulled up in the two runs before that, though she has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 92 sits above her official 87, but 155 lb is a hefty burden for a winless mare.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

?
Trixaboutmaisie silks
Trixaboutmaisie
Age 5 · 10-9
870-70
TBA
81
69
75
5
10-9
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 10/1 9/1
Trixaboutmaisie is winless in her last five, with a seventh and an eighth among her finishes and unplaced last time out, and she returns after 71 days off. Carrying 149 lb off an official rating of 81, she looks outclassed, and our figures put her among the lowest-rated in the field.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Jonny Carrol silks
Jonny Carrol
Age 5 · 12-0
3P-784
100
67
101
5
12-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 12/1 16/1
Ranked second of 20 by our rating of 101, Jonny Carrol was fourth last time out and has run over today's trip, while he carries 168 lb and has a chance to figure; the risk is a 56-day absence and a winless last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

2
Free Flow silks
Free Flow
Age 6 · 11-10
90-640
96
78
104
6
11-10
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 12/1 14/1
Free Flow has run over today's trip and on this going, and a break of 21 days suggests he should arrive fresh, though he is yet to win in his last five starts. Our top-rated runner at 104 against an official 96, he looks the one to beat despite carrying 164 lb.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Le Roi Arthur silks
Le Roi Arthur
Age 5 · 11-8
439-F0
94
71
97
5
11-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 25/1 11/1
Le Roi Arthur is unplaced last time out and fell two starts back, yet he was third four starts ago and is yet to win in his last five. Our rating of 97 sits above his official 94, but 162 lb and a 42-day break temper the case.
AI verdict

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

4
Minority Interest silks
Minority Interest
Age 6 · 11-8
1805-0
94
76
93
6
11-8
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 9/1 17/2
Minority Interest has just the one win in his last five starts, five runs back, and he's been unplaced last time out after a fifth two starts ago, so form is on the slide. He has run over today's trip and going, but 145 days off and 162 lb temper enthusiasm.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Bold Reflection silks
Bold Reflection
Age 8 · 11-7
/P-048
93
64
94
8
11-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 14/1 18/1
Bold Reflection was eighth last time out after a fourth two starts back, and she returns from 71 days off having run over today's trip before, while a yard going 0/22 and 161 lb on a mark of 93 hold her back, though our rating of 94 is a fair level.
AI verdict

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

6
Lady Felicia silks
Lady Felicia
Age 5 · 11-7
454
93
73
90
5
11-7
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 10/1 11/1
Lady Felicia has been consistent without troubling the judge, finishing fourth last time out, a fifth two starts back and a fourth three starts back, and she is yet to win in that spell. A 42-day break and 161 lb are hurdles, though our rating of 90 sits just below her official 93.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Wildhorserider silks
Wildhorserider
Age 6 · 11-7
4/006-
93
72
90
6
11-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 10/1 11/1
Wildhorserider has run over today's trip and going, but he is winless in his last four, finishing sixth last time out, and returns after 183 days off. Carrying 161 lb off 93, he looks held on our rating of 90, which ranks him 11th of 20.
AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

8
Comanche Moon silks
Comanche Moon
Age 6 · 11-4
/479-0
90
77
90
6
11-4
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 11/2 9/2
Comanche Moon has been fading, with a ninth and a seventh behind an unplaced run last time out, and he returns after 139 days off. He has run on today's going and carries 158 lb off a mark of 90, which keeps him in midfield on our rating.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Allroadsleadtorome silks
Allroadsleadtorome
Age 5 · 11-3
5-5799
89
65
90
5
11-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 14/1 18/1
Without a win in his last five, Allroadsleadtorome has finished a ninth last time out and a ninth two starts back, and returns after 90 days off. He has run over today's trip and our rating of 90 is close to his official 89, but the stable is 0/22 lately.
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

10
Hidalgo Des Mottes silks
Hidalgo Des Mottes
Age 9 · 11-2
25-829
88
80
89
9
11-2
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 8/1 15/2
Hidalgo Des Mottes has twice finished second in his last five starts, a second two starts back among them, but he was only ninth last time and returns after 91 days off. He has run over today's trip and carries 156 lb off an official 88, so he looks a midfield sort.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Midnight Musical silks
Midnight Musical
Age 5 · 11-2
-58509
88
61
99
5
11-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1
Midnight Musical has been out of the frame lately, but our rating of 99 ranks her third of 20 and she has run on today's going before, while a 37-day break should leave her fresh. The risk is her form, with a ninth last time out and yet to win in her last five, and she carries 156 lb.
AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

12
Thurman silks
Thurman
Age 6 · 11-1
P/79-8
87
50
79
6
11-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1
Thurman is hard to fancy, having finished eighth, ninth and seventh before being pulled up four starts back, and she has been off for 56 days. She has run over today's trip and our figures rank her 19th of 20, with 155 lb to carry off 87.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

13
Stumblin In silks
Stumblin In
Age 7 · 10-13
0-600F
85
54
87
7
10-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 FCST 20/1
Stumblin In fell last time out and is without a win in her last five starts, with a sixth four starts back her best recent finish, and she returns after 71 days off. She has run over today's trip and our rating of 87 is a shade above her 85 mark, but 153 lb is a lot to carry.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

14
Ardera Gun silks
Ardera Gun
Age 6 · 10-12
007P-U
84
76
98
6
10-12
★★☆☆☆
—
4/1 16/1 4/1
Our rating of 98 puts Ardera Gun fourth of 20 and well clear of his official 84, while he has run on today's going and returns after 35 days carrying 152 lb. The risk is obvious, though: he unseated last time and was pulled up the run before.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Sunrise Strider silks
Sunrise Strider
Age 5 · 10-11
90060-
83
69
81
5
10-11
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 12/1 16/1
Sunrise Strider is winless in his last five, with a sixth two starts back the best of a run of unplaced efforts, and he returns after 263 days off. He has run over today's trip and runs off 83, but 151 lb is a lot to carry, and our figures rank him 18th of 20.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Silin Alainn silks
Silin Alainn
Age 7 · 10-9
7880/0
81
74
78
7
10-9
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 8/1 15/2
Silin Alainn is hard to fancy, unplaced in her last two and without a win in her last five, with an eighth, an eighth and a seventh before that, and the yard is cold at 1/48 in the last 14 days. She has run over today's trip, but 149 lb off 81 and a 41-day break don't help, and our rating of 78 ranks her last of 20.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

17
The Ducks Walk silks
The Ducks Walk
Age 8 · 10-9
0-7460
81
69
83
8
10-9
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 10/1 11/1
The Ducks Walk is winless in his last five, with an unplaced effort last time out and a sixth, fourth and seventh before that, so he is hard to fancy off 149 lb. He has run over today's trip and returns after 35 days, but our rating of 83 ranks him 17th of 20.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Rose Mountain silks
Rose Mountain
Age 6 · 10-8
00/P90
80
47
76
6
10-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 33/1 40/1
Rose Mountain is hard to fancy, winless in her last five starts with a ninth two starts back and a pulled up three runs ago, and she returns after 42 days carrying 148 lb off an official rating of 80. Our figures rate her an outsider, with little in the form to argue otherwise.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

19
Talas Kera silks
Talas Kera
Age 5 · 10-5
-75404
77
80
90
5
10-5
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 11/2 13/2
Talas Kera was fourth last time out and has been consistent without a win in her last five starts, with a fourth three starts back too, and she has run over today's trip and going. A 50-day layoff and 145 lb under an official 77 temper the appeal, though our rating of 90 hints at some latent promise.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

20
Glory Sky silks
Glory Sky
Age 6 · 10-4
/778-5
76
54
72
6
10-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1 16/1 20/1
Glory Sky is winless in her last four, finishing a fifth last time out after an eighth, a seventh and another seventh, so she is hard to fancy at 144 lb off a mark of 76. On the plus side, she has run over today's trip and is fresh from a run just 14 days ago.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Lariat 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 Bet365
0 Arctic Piper 25/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 33/1 33/1 25/1 open 34.00 33/1 33/1 Coral
0 Trixaboutmaisie 10/1 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 Bet365
1 Jonny Carrol 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 Bet365
2 Free Flow 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
3 Le Roi Arthur 12/1 open 34.00 11/1 open 26.00 11/1 open 29.00 11/1 open 29.00 12/1 open 29.00 11/1 open 29.00 12/1 Bet365
4 Minority Interest 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 9/1 9/1 9/1 Bet365
5 Bold Reflection 18/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 Paddy Power
6 Lady Felicia 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Bet365
7 Wildhorserider 12/1 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 11/1 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 12/1 Bet365
8 Comanche Moon 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 5/1 Paddy Power
9 Allroadsleadtorome 18/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 Paddy Power
10 Hidalgo Des Mottes 8/1 8/1 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 8/1 8/1 8/1 Bet365
11 Midnight Musical 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 Bet365
12 Thurman 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 Bet365
13 Stumblin In 22/1 open 26.00 20/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 Bet365
14 Ardera Gun 4/1 open 19.00 9/2 open 17.00 4/1 open 17.00 4/1 open 17.00 4/1 open 17.00 4/1 open 17.00 9/2 Paddy Power
15 Sunrise Strider 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 Paddy Power
16 Silin Alainn 8/1 8/1 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 8/1 Bet365
17 The Ducks Walk 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
18 Rose Mountain 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
19 Talas Kera 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 7.00 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 Bet365
20 Glory Sky 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Ardera Gun

Speculative

Ardera Gun owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Eoin Doyle Donagh Meyler
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Comanche Moon

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · C Byrnes
✓ Value Signal

Midnight Musical

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · A. McCann
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 14. Ardera Gun
53.4 4/1
2 8. Comanche Moon
53.1 9/2
3 19. Talas Kera
52.2 7/1
4 4. Minority Interest
49.1 9/1
5 10. Hidalgo Des Mottes
48.8 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Ardera Gun
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

14
Age 6 · 10-12
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 11-4
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

19
Age 5 · 10-5
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 9 · 11-2
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Age 7 · 10-9
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 11-8
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

0
Age 5 · 10-9
10/1
J: TBA
T: Colin Bowe
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 11-8
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

6
Age 5 · 11-7
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 11-7
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

17
Age 8 · 10-9
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 11-10
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Age 5 · 10-11
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 12-0
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

5
Age 8 · 11-7
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

9
Age 5 · 11-3
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

20
Age 6 · 10-4
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ardera Gun
Confidence: Speculative

Ardera Gun (SR:76, 9/1, Wgt:10-12) carries a favourable weight relative to higher-rated rivals and has steamed in by 35% in the market — the strongest inbound move in this 23-runner field and a clear signal that connections and informed money are confident. Jockey Donagh Meyler posts a 12% career strike rate from 1,048 rides, the best jockey booking among contenders, and the DistFit:? tag means the trip is untested rather than proven negative. The trainer Eoin Doyle's 5% strike rate is modest, but the 35% market steam overrides that concern — this horse is being backed with purpose. The form string 007P-U is messy but the U (unseated) dismisses the last run as a non-event, and the headgear change (tb — tongue-tie and blinkers) applied for today suggests connections are seeking a sharper response. Each-way alternative: Comanche Moon. Main danger: Comanche Moon — Comanche Moon (SR:77, 13/2, Wgt:11-4) is the joint highest SR among horses with no proven negative at today's trip, trainer C Byrnes posts a 12% strike rate and jockey Philip Byrnes 11%, and at 13/2 it remains reasonably priced if the market drift of 15% is simply position-adjustment rather than genuine opposition from the yard.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 007P-U shows zero top-3 finishes across all recorded starts — not a single placed effort to suggest this horse can compete competitively in a 23-runner field.
  • Trainer Eoin Doyle at just 5% strike rate is a significant negative; even with market support, a handler who wins 1-in-20 rarely delivers on gambled-up runners in big-field handicaps.
  • Le Roi Arthur steamed in 43% — a stronger inbound move than Ardera Gun's 35% — yet received no mention, suggesting the market signal around Ardera Gun may not be as uniquely compelling as presented.
  • DistFit:? means no confirmed evidence the horse stays or handles this trip; combined with the 'tb' headgear first-time blinkers combination in a 23-runner field, the unpredictability risk is concentr…
Shortlist Ardera Gun, Comanche Moon, Minority Interest, Silin Alainn
Each-way: Comanche Moon Danger: Comanche Moon

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m4f40y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
23 Confirmed runners
Gowran Park Track and setting