Betmgm Challenge Cup (Class 2 Heritage Handicap)

15:35 Ascot Sat 03 Oct 2026 0m7f0y Class 2 Good to Firm 18 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Moonfall

SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 28%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Moonfall (SR 112, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in this 18-runner Class 2 Heritage Handicap and carries a manageable 9-6, giving him a meaningful SR edge over the next-best Thunder Call (SR 106) and Mezcala (SR 103). The market has spoken loudly — a 26% inward move to 4/1 is the strongest steaming signal in the field and confirms professional confidence behind Billy Loughnane, a jockey hitting 18% career strike rate. Course form is solid (W1P2 at Ascot), and while the distance fit is only moderate (~), his form string of -51422 shows consistent competitiveness at the top level with no blowout runs. Running off a mark 11lb higher than his last win is a concern, but the light weight of 9-6 and the SR dominance make him the value play. Each-way alternative: Mezcala. Main danger: Thunder Call — Thunder Call (SR 106, 4/1) has course form (W1P2 at Ascot), proven distance fit (+) and going fit (+) on good to firm, and a strong form string of -11321 — the primary concern is the heavy 34% market drift which must be factored in, but the underlying profile is competitive enough to finish in the frame and potentially outrun the drifting odds if that drift is simply positional booking noise.

Verify· #21264

Full result

Winner: Mezcala (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.