Ascot 15:35 RESULTED
Class 2 3 Oct 2026

Today Betmgm Challenge Cup (Class 2 Heritage Handicap)

Ascot — Class 2 · 0m7f0y

Mr Fox tips Realign 28/1 Read the verdict
0m7f0yDistance
£92,772Prize Fund
Official Result

Betmgm Challenge Cup (Class 2 Heritage Handicap)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Mezcala (GB) George Bass · Jack Channon
    5/1
  2. 7/2F
  3. Third Realign (FR)
    12/1
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Settled
  • 18 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 42 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Comment
1
Poet Master silks
Poet Master
Age 6 · 9-12
-25377
105
81
112
6
9-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 18/1 11/1
Poet Master has run over today's trip and going before, and a second and a third in his last five starts show he's capable of this level. Our rating has him top of the 18, but two sevenths last twice and a 67-day layoff are the worry.
AI verdict

SR 81 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

2
Pellitory silks
Pellitory
Age 4 · 9-11
020131
98
89
107
4
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 FCST 16/1
Pellitory heads our shortlist on profile: he won last time out, 14 days ago, and also scored three starts back, with a third two starts back in between. He has run over today's trip and going before, and carries 137 lb from stall 17.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Two Tribes silks
Two Tribes
Age 5 · 9-10
720530
103
85
106
5
9-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 14/1 16/1
Two Tribes returns just 14 days after his last run and has a third two starts back and a second five starts back, while he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 106 ranks him third of 18, though the main risk is that he is yet to win in his last six and was unplaced last time out.
AI verdict

SR 85 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

4
Arctic Dawn silks
Arctic Dawn
Age 5 · 9-10
106184
103
76
99
5
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 25/1 28/1
Fourth last time out and only eighth two starts back, so Arctic Dawn is hard to fancy at 136 lb from stall 18, with our rating of 99 ranking him 14th of 18. Back in just seven days, he has run over this trip and going, and won three and six starts back.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Five Ways silks
Five Ways
Age 3 · 9-9
504609
104
73
103
3
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 33/1 40/1
Winless in his last six, Five Ways was beaten into ninth last time out just seven days ago, though he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 135 lb from stall 10 off an official 104, he looks a mid-pack type, and our rating of 103 backs that up.
AI verdict

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

6
Thunder Call silks
Thunder Call
Age 3 · 9-7
-11321
102
106
98
3
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 11/4 9/2
Thunder Call arrives in cracking form, a winner last time out, a second two starts back and three wins in his last five, and he has run over today's trip and going. Even so, 133 lb off an official 102 is a big ask, and our figures rank him only 15th of 18.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Great Acclaim silks
Great Acclaim
Age 5 · 9-6
323897
99
81
104
5
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 16/1 18/1
Great Acclaim is yet to win in his last six, with a seventh last time out and a ninth and eighth before that, though he was third four starts back and second five back. He has run over today's trip and going, but 49 days off and 132 lb from draw 14 temper the appeal.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Hickory silks
Hickory
Age 8 · 9-6
606151
99
85
100
8
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 14/1 20/1
Hickory arrives a winner last time out, and also won three starts back, though a fifth two starts back shows his form can wobble. He has run over today's trip and going, but 132 lb from draw 9 and a 12th-ranked rating of 100 leave him midfield.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Moonfall silks
Moonfall
Age 3 · 9-6
-51422
101
112
104
3
9-6
★★★★☆
—
9/2 11/2 9/2
Moonfall arrives in solid nick, runner-up last time out and again two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. A winless spell since his success four starts back and a hefty 132 lb from stall 11 keep him in the midfield picture.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

10
Mezcala silks
Mezcala
Age 4 · 9-4
-13106
97
103
102
4
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 13/2 5/1
Mezcala won twice in his last five starts, including three starts back, but he has since slipped to an unplaced run and a sixth last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going. A cold-running yard (0/21) and 130 lb from stall 16 temper things, while our rating of 102 only ranks him ninth of 18.
AI verdict

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Desert Shadow silks
Desert Shadow
Age 4 · 9-3
052112
96
85
92
4
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 11/1 16/1
Desert Shadow arrives in cracking form, second last time out and a winner two starts back, with experience over today's trip and going, but our figures rank him last of 18. Carrying 129 lb off a mark of 96 after 35 days off, he looks a tough ask.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Golden Mind silks
Golden Mind
Age 5 · 9-2
480000
95
75
105
5
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
50/1 40/1 28/1
Golden Mind has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 105 ranks him fourth of 18, well clear of his official 95 off 128 lb from stall four. The risk is a run of four unplaced efforts, leaving him winless in his last six.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
River King silks
River King
Age 4 · 9-2
1-2154
95
101
100
4
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 8/1 7/1
River King has tailed off lately, a fifth two starts back and a fourth last time out after winning three starts back, and he sits 13th of 18 on our ratings. In his favour, he has run over today's trip and going, and returns after 21 days.
AI verdict

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Machadadorp silks
Machadadorp
Age 3 · 9-1
611261
96
97
102
3
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 7/1 14/1
Winner last time out and three times a victor in her last six starts, Machadadorp has run over today's trip and on this going, though a sixth two starts back shows her form can wobble. A 44-day break and 127 lb from draw 13 add to the questions, and our rating of 102 ranks her tenth of 18.
AI verdict

SR 97 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Realign silks
Realign
Age 4 · 9-1
-91800
94
91
105
4
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 18/1 14/1
Realign won four starts back but has been unplaced in his last two, and he returns after 42 days off; he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 104 ranks him fifth of 18. Carrying 127 lb from draw 7, he's capable of better but must prove he's rediscovered that winning form.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
The Fingal Raven silks
The Fingal Raven
Age 4 · 9-0
939273
93
73
97
4
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 20/1 25/1
The Fingal Raven was third last time out and is only seven days fresh, but he is winless in his last six and has finished ninth twice in that spell, which makes him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, and carries 126 lb from draw 12, though our figures rank him 16th of 18.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Hawksbill silks
Hawksbill
Age 4 · 8-13
075742
92
91
101
4
8-13
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 18/1 9/1
Hawksbill bounced back with a second last time out, a fourth two starts back before that, and has run over today's trip and going, but he is winless in his last six and was beaten in the three runs before those. Our rating of 101 sits above his official 92, though he carries 125 lb from stall 15.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Aalto silks
Aalto
Age 6 · 8-11
021332
90
92
93
6
8-11
★★★☆☆
—
14/1 12/1 11/1
Aalto's recent form reads well, with a second last time out, two thirds before that and a win four starts back, and he is fresh enough after 14 days, having run over this trip and on this going. Even so, our figures rank him 17th of 18, and 123 lb off an official mark of 90 makes it hard to fancy him.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Poet Master 18/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 19.00 18/1 Bet365
2 Pellitory 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 18/1 Bet365
3 Two Tribes 18/1 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 open 19.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 Bet365
4 Arctic Dawn 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 33/1 Bet365
5 Five Ways 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 50/1 Bet365
6 Thunder Call 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 open 3.75 5/1 open 3.75 9/2 open 3.75 5/1 William Hill
7 Great Acclaim 22/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365
8 Hickory 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 William Hill
9 Moonfall 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 Bet365
10 Mezcala 11/2 open 9.50 11/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 9.00 5/1 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 Bet365
11 Desert Shadow 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 Bet365
12 Golden Mind 50/1 open 67.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 67.00 33/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 81.00 28/1 open 51.00 50/1 Bet365
13 River King 15/2 open 11.00 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 8/1 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 8/1 William Hill
14 Machadadorp 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 8.50 16/1 William Hill
15 Realign 18/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 15/1 open 29.00 14/1 open 23.00 18/1 Bet365
16 The Fingal Raven 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365
17 Hawksbill 11/1 open 26.00 10/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 23.00 9/1 open 23.00 11/1 Bet365
18 Aalto 14/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

River King

Speculative

River King owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (66). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/2 Richard Hannon Sean Levey
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Moonfall

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · George Boughey
✓ Value Signal

Golden Mind

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Richard & Peter Fahey
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +14.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
71 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 13. River King
58.8 15/2
2 9. Moonfall
58.2 9/2
3 6. Thunder Call
57.7 9/2
4 10. Mezcala
54.1 11/2
5 17. Hawksbill
51.5 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🦊 Mr Fox
Realign
Experience over noise

The benchmark pick. If you beat the Fox, you're ahead of the field.

See full Fox reasoning →
🤖 AI view
Thunder Call
2 of 3 agree

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 3 · 9-7
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾 —

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 3 · 9-6
9/2
★★★★☆ SR 112 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

10
Age 4 · 9-4
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 103 🐾 —

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Age 4 · 9-2
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 101 🐾 —

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

17
Age 4 · 8-13
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾 —

SR 91 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 3 · 9-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 97 🐾 —

SR 97 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Age 6 · 8-11
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 9-12
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

2
Age 4 · 9-11
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾 —

SR 89 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 9-10
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

11
Age 4 · 9-3
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Age 4 · 9-1
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾 —

SR 91 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 8 · 9-6
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Three engines. Independent analysis.

Claude
Thunder Call

Thunder Call owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. With no SR/RPR/TS data on the winner, the Balanced lens leaned on market confidence (87) and pace fit instead. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

ChatGPT
Thunder Call

Thunder Call owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. With no SR/RPR/TS data on the winner, the Favourite Focus lens leaned on market confidence (87) and pace fit instead. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

Gemini
Two Tribes

Two Tribes owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. With no SR/RPR/TS data on the winner, the Value Hunter lens leaned on market confidence (17) and pace fit instead. There is still enough pricing upside to keep the pick from looking overexposed. The profile is live enough to win even with more instability in the simulation.

🦊 Mr Fox's SelectionRealignFull analysis →

This is where Cubs make their call. This is where the Fox sharpens his edge. This is where the race is decided — before it's run.

🗺 The Course Class 2

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
18 Confirmed runners
Ascot Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade