← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Prohibition Bar Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Bradbury
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Bradbury (SR:80, 11/4) is the class standout in this field by a clear margin — 8 SR points above the next best Yafaarr (SR:72) and 10+ above everyone else. Carrying just 9-6, the lightest weight among the main contenders, and DistFit:+ confirms genuine competence at 1m2f. His form string 116361 shows a win last time out, and trainer Edward Bethell at 18% strike rate with Oisin Orr (14%) is a strong booking. The market has him at 11/4 favourite, and while no Mkt movement is flagged, the absence of a drift on a horse in this company is itself telling — no money moving away. GoingFit:~ rather than + is the one note of caution on good ground, but nothing in the field exploits that meaningfully. Each-way alternative: Woodleigh. Main danger: Woodleigh — Woodleigh (SR:70, 4/1) has an outstanding course record of W3P5 at Redcar plus DistFit:+, making him a proven specialist at this exact track and trip, and while GoingFit:- is a concern, his course familiarity could compensate on a fair surface.
Full result
Winner: Yafaarr (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Yafaarr Fox #3 4/1
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2
Sassy Glory 16/1
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3
Hibernate 13/2
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4
Naturalia 9/1
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5
Woodleigh Fox #2 4/1
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6
Bradbury Fox #1 3/1
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7
Jewel Maker 11/1
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8
Sunny Orange 9/1
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9
Panelli 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Bradbury 11/4 6TH
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2
Woodleigh 4/1 5TH
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3
Yafaarr 10/3 SP 9/2 🏆 WON