Redcar 14:17 RESULTED
Class 5 3 Oct 2026

Today Prohibition Bar Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Prohibition Bar Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 1m2f1y

Official Result

Prohibition Bar Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Yafaarr (IRE) Shane Gray · Sam England
    9/2
  2. 12/1
  3. 11/2
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 41 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Hibernate silks
Hibernate
Age 4 · 10-0
152423
69
65
70
4
10-0
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 11/2 6/1
Hibernate arrives in fine heart after a third last time out and a second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on the going before, so he looks a leading threat off a 19-day break. The one concern is a stable struggling for winners, with just one from 21 lately.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Yafaarr silks
Yafaarr
Age 4 · 9-12
132461
67
72
74
4
9-12
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 9/4 10/3
Yafaarr arrives a winner last time out, 24 days ago, with a second and a third also in his last six starts, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 74 sits well clear of his official 67, though 138 lb is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Naturalia silks
Naturalia
Age 5 · 9-10
224418
65
65
67
5
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 10/1 13/2
Naturalia was last seen finishing eighth after a win two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before, though the latest effort was a step backwards. Carrying 136 lb from stall four, she is an honest midfield sort whose rating of 67 ranks her fifth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Panelli silks
Panelli
Age 4 · 9-8
244776
63
42
77
4
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 28/1 18/1
Panelli has run over today's trip and on the going before, and he's fresh enough after 18 days off, though he's yet to win in his last six starts, with a second six runs back his best finish. Our rating of 77 sits well clear of his official 63, which makes him the one to beat from draw 3.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

5
Bradbury silks
Bradbury
Age 3 · 9-6
116361
65
80
69
3
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 11/4 3/1
Bradbury arrives in fine heart, a winner last time out and three times successful in his last six starts, fresh from a 13-day turnaround and with experience of today's trip and going. The main risk is a sixth two starts back showing he can underperform.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Woodleigh silks
Woodleigh
Age 5 · 9-4
545162
59
70
64
5
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 FCST 7/2
Woodleigh was second last time out and has a win three starts back, but a sixth and fifth either side of that show inconsistency, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 130 lb from stall 2, he is hard to fancy, with our figures ranking him eighth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Jewel Maker silks
Jewel Maker
Age 11 · 9-3
764179
58
56
64
11
9-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
11/1 14/1 15/2
Jewel Maker comes here off a ninth last time out and a seventh two starts back, though he did win three starts back and has run over today's trip and going. Fifteen days since his last run keeps him fit, but 129 lb from stall seven and a sixth-of-nine ranking leave him a midfield proposition.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

8
Sunny Orange silks
Sunny Orange
Age 6 · 9-1
253465
56
62
64
6
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 13/2 17/2
Sunny Orange is winless in his last six, with a fifth last time out and a sixth before that, so he is hard to fancy; on the plus side, he has run over today's trip and going, is fresh enough after 16 days, and was second six starts back.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Sassy Glory silks
Sassy Glory
Age 5 · 8-13
210519
54
39
59
5
8-13
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 20/1 10/1
Sassy Glory was beaten into ninth last time out, just eight days ago, which makes her hard to fancy, though she won two starts back and five starts back and has run over today's trip and going. Ranked last of nine on our figures, she has plenty to find from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 39 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Hibernate 13/2 open 6.50 6/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 William Hill
2 Yafaarr 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 4/1 Bet365
3 Naturalia 9/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 11.00 13/2 open 12.00 13/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 12.00 8/1 open 12.00 9/1 Bet365
4 Panelli 28/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 28/1 28/1 Bet365
5 Bradbury 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 Bet365
6 Woodleigh 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 4/1 4/1 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 4/1 Bet365
7 Jewel Maker 11/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 11/1 Bet365
8 Sunny Orange 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 Bet365
9 Sassy Glory 16/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Bradbury

Speculative

Bradbury owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Edward Bethell Oisin Orr
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Yafaarr

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Sam England
✓ Value Signal

Panelli

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Mike Sowersby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Bradbury
53.1 3/1
2 2. Yafaarr
51.3 4/1
3 6. Woodleigh
49.4 4/1
4 1. Hibernate
48.1 13/2
5 3. Naturalia
46.0 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Bradbury
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-6
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-12
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 5 · 9-4
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-0
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 9-10
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 9-1
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 11 · 9-3
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾 —

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

9
Age 5 · 8-13
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 39 🐾 —

SR 39 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Bradbury
Confidence: Speculative

Bradbury (SR:80, 11/4) is the class standout in this field by a clear margin — 8 SR points above the next best Yafaarr (SR:72) and 10+ above everyone else. Carrying just 9-6, the lightest weight among the main contenders, and DistFit:+ confirms genuine competence at 1m2f. His form string 116361 shows a win last time out, and trainer Edward Bethell at 18% strike rate with Oisin Orr (14%) is a strong booking. The market has him at 11/4 favourite, and while no Mkt movement is flagged, the absence of a drift on a horse in this company is itself telling — no money moving away. GoingFit:~ rather than + is the one note of caution on good ground, but nothing in the field exploits that meaningfully. Each-way alternative: Woodleigh. Main danger: Woodleigh — Woodleigh (SR:70, 4/1) has an outstanding course record of W3P5 at Redcar plus DistFit:+, making him a proven specialist at this exact track and trip, and while GoingFit:- is a concern, his course familiarity could compensate on a fair surface.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Bradbury's form string 116361 shows a '6' two runs back and a '3' before last — the win last time may flatter; he hasn't strung consecutive wins together and could regress to mid-field form.
  • GoingFit:~ on today's good ground is a genuine flag — his HG note shows t/ce (tight/course & easy?), suggesting he has not been confirmed effective on good, which is today's conditions.
  • Yafaarr holds Course:W2P4 at Redcar specifically and is drifting only modestly (out 31% from morning line) — course form here is a meaningful edge Bradbury cannot match.
  • Bradbury is a 3yo taking on older horses at a mile-and-a-quarter at Redcar in October — 3yo weight-for-age allowances narrow late-season, and this is a stamina-biased track where older, more settled…
Shortlist Bradbury, Woodleigh, Yafaarr
Each-way: Woodleigh Danger: Woodleigh

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m2f1y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Redcar Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade