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Mr Fox’s call
Guernsey Angel
SPECULATIVE Advised 17/2 Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
Guernsey Angel (SR:63, 17/2) carries the clearest multi-signal case in this modest Class 6 field. The 30% market steam — the sharpest move in the race — from a yard (David Evans, 13% strike rate) that knows its horses on AW surfaces is the headline flag. A drop of one class combined with a mark 8lb below the last win (MarkMv:-8) puts this horse in an advantageous handicap position, and Course:W1P1 at Southwell confirms the track suits. The moderate GoingFit:~ on today's good surface is a slight caveat, but the weight relief and class drop comfortably offset that concern. Each-way alternative: Toptime. Main danger: Toptime — Toptime holds the race's highest SR at 68, boasts an outstanding Course:W3P8 record at Southwell which is a genuine specialist track, and Roy Bowring's 14% yard strike rate is the best in the field — the drift of 15% is the only real concern, likely reflecting the age of 8 rather than any fitness worry given just 25 days since its last run.
Full result
Winner: Toptime (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Toptime Fox #2 9/2
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2
Guernsey Angel Fox #1 15/2
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3
Fletcher's Flight 40/1
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4
General Assembly 13/2
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5
Popular Dream 10/1
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6
Midnight Lir 11/1
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7
Opal Storm 12/1
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8
Hi Lord Fox #4 9/2
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9
Marra Donna 7/1
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10
South Parade Fox #3 11/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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4