Southwell (AW) 20:00 RESULTED
Class 6 3 Oct 2026

Today Bettingsites.co.uk Find Your Bookmaker Handicap Stakes

Bettingsites.co.uk Find Your Bookmaker Handicap Stakes · 0m4f215y

Official Result

Bettingsites.co.uk Find Your Bookmaker Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Toptime (GB) Darragh Keenan · Roy Bowring
    5/1
  2. 7/1
  3. 50/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 42 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
South Parade silks
South Parade
Age 5 · 9-9
496315
64
67
64
5
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 7/2 11/2
South Parade arrives with a win two starts back and a third the run before, and she has run over today's trip and on this going before, so she's a leading danger. The main risk is a fifth last time out and a 39-day break, while she carries 135 lb from stall ten.
AI verdict

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Guernsey Angel silks
Guernsey Angel
Age 3 · 9-7
625075
62
63
71
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 12/1 13/2
Guernsey Angel is our pick on profile: she is quick back after nine days, has run over today's trip and going, and a second five starts back shows she has ability. Fifth last time out is solid enough, though the yard's cold spell is a reservation.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
General Assembly silks
General Assembly
Age 5 · 9-6
250458
61
63
71
5
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 15/2 11/2
Our top-rated runner at 71, General Assembly has run over today's trip and going and sits 10 lb clear of his official mark of 61, with a fourth and fifth in his last three outings; the risk is an eighth last time out and no win in his last six.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Hi Lord silks
Hi Lord
Age 4 · 9-5
373050
60
64
65
4
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 11/2 7/2
Hi Lord arrives fresh enough after 16 days, has run over today's trip and going, and a third four starts back suggests he can sneak into the frame; our rating of 65 ranks him third of ten, above his official 60. The risk is a winless record in his last six, including an unplaced run last time out.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Toptime silks
Toptime
Age 8 · 9-5
-31327
60
68
60
8
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 FCST 7/2
Toptime was beaten into seventh last time out after a second two starts back and a third before that, so the form has tailed off, and our rating ranks him eighth of ten. In his favour, he has run over today's trip and going and won four starts back, while he's off 131 lb from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Opal Storm silks
Opal Storm
Age 6 · 9-4
894615
59
55
61
6
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 9/1 12/1
Fifth last time out and a winner two starts back, Opal Storm is in decent shape after just 11 days off, and she has run over today's trip and going. Mixed form before that and 130 lb from draw 7 keep her in the midfield pack.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Marra Donna silks
Marra Donna
Age 3 · 9-3
324593
58
63
64
3
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 10/3 13/2
Marra Donna was third last time out and has been placed in three of his last six, though he's yet to win in that spell and returns after 103 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 64 sits above his official 58, but 129 lb from draw 2 is no small burden.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Fletcher's Flight silks
Fletcher's Flight
Age 6 · 9-2
U41740
57
41
60
6
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 28/1 33/1
Fletcher's Flight has been out of the frame lately, unplaced last time, a seventh three starts back, and a win four starts back is his only success in his last six, so he is hard to fancy. In his favour, he has run over today's trip and going, and he returns after 19 days with an official mark of 57.
AI verdict

SR 41 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Midnight Lir silks
Midnight Lir
Age 5 · 9-0
444894
55
56
59
5
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 8/1 9/1
Midnight Lir is winless in his last six, with a fourth last time out the best of a modest run, and a yard going 0/34 in the last 14 days gives little encouragement. In his favour, he has run over today's trip and going and was out just 18 days ago.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Popular Dream silks
Popular Dream
Age 6 · 9-0
666894
55
58
63
6
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 7/1 10/1
Popular Dream comes into this fresh from a fourth last time out just seven days ago, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he is winless in his last six and carries 126 lb from stall 6. Our rating of 63 sits above his official 55, though that only ranks him sixth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 South Parade 11/2 open 4.50 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 Paddy Power
2 Guernsey Angel 15/2 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 13/2 open 13.00 15/2 Bet365
3 General Assembly 13/2 open 17.00 13/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 Bet365
4 Hi Lord 9/2 open 9.00 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.00 9/2 Bet365
5 Toptime 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 7/2 9/2 Bet365
6 Opal Storm 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 Bet365
7 Marra Donna 7/1 open 4.33 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 7/1 Bet365
8 Fletcher's Flight 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 Bet365
9 Midnight Lir 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 Bet365
10 Popular Dream 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Toptime

Speculative

Toptime owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Roy Bowring Darragh Keenan
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

South Parade

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Richard & Peter Fahey
✓ Value Signal

Fletcher's Flight

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Charlie Wallis
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Toptime
49.6 9/2
2 1. South Parade
49.4 11/2
3 4. Hi Lord
47.3 9/2
4 3. General Assembly
46.5 13/2
5 2. Guernsey Angel
45.6 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Guernsey Angel
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 4 · 9-5
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 8 · 9-5
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 9-9
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 9-6
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-3
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-7
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 6 · 9-0
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾 —

SR 58 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 5 · 9-0
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾 —

SR 56 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 6 · 9-4
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Guernsey Angel
Confidence: Speculative

Guernsey Angel (SR:63, 17/2) carries the clearest multi-signal case in this modest Class 6 field. The 30% market steam — the sharpest move in the race — from a yard (David Evans, 13% strike rate) that knows its horses on AW surfaces is the headline flag. A drop of one class combined with a mark 8lb below the last win (MarkMv:-8) puts this horse in an advantageous handicap position, and Course:W1P1 at Southwell confirms the track suits. The moderate GoingFit:~ on today's good surface is a slight caveat, but the weight relief and class drop comfortably offset that concern. Each-way alternative: Toptime. Main danger: Toptime — Toptime holds the race's highest SR at 68, boasts an outstanding Course:W3P8 record at Southwell which is a genuine specialist track, and Roy Bowring's 14% yard strike rate is the best in the field — the drift of 15% is the only real concern, likely reflecting the age of 8 rather than any fitness worry given just 25 days since its last run.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 625075 shows a '0' (pulled up or last) most recently before the 5 — no win in 6 starts and last two runs suggest the horse is struggling to complete competitively, not building toward a w…
  • South Parade (SR:67, 5/1) and Toptime (SR:68, 9/2) both carry higher Speed Ratings than Guernsey Angel (SR:63) and are priced shorter — Toptime has Course:W3P8 at Southwell, a far stronger course rec…
  • At 17/2, Guernsey Angel is joint-longest of the fancied runners; despite the 30% market steam it has drifted to a price that suggests the market overall is not fully convinced, with shorter-priced ri…
  • GoingFit:~ (untested or poor fit) on today's surface is a genuine concern for a 3yo in a field where Toptime and Popular Dream (Course:W4P9) have proven Southwell AW course form under similar conditi…
Shortlist Guernsey Angel, Toptime, South Parade, Hi Lord
Each-way: Toptime Danger: Toptime

🗺 The Course Class 6

0m4f215y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade