Fairyhouse 17:30 RESULTED
5 Jun 2026

Last Friday Fiver Fridays At Fairyhouse Rated Race

Fiver Fridays At Fairyhouse Rated Race · 7f

748-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Fiver Fridays At Fairyhouse Rated Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Ocean's Breath (IRE) Gary Carroll · G M Lyons
    15/8F
  2. 3/1
  3. 9/2
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Kindergarten silks
Kindergarten
Age 3 · 10-0
1-46
90
71
90
3
10-0
6/1
That bit sharper on their respective debuts when beating Ocean's Breath over 6f at Navan in October; fourth to the classy Charles Darwin in Listed race back there in April; didn't finish off in Group 3 at Naas since; comes off the bridle fairly early in her races.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
County Carlow silks
County Carlow
Age 3 · 9-9
241
W J Lee 15%
P Twomey 26%
85
74
92
3
9-9
9/4 7/4 9/4
Promise on AW (found 1m too far on second start) before making all in first-time cheekpieces at Sligo (6f, soft); had returning Substance well back that day; will need to have improved again to take this.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Morehampton silks
Morehampton
Age 3 · 9-8
350-40
84
68
94
3
9-8
8/1
7f winner at two and fair fifth in Listed contest over C&D; hasn't settled over 7f in both runs this term and has faded; drop back in trip a good move and will have more to offer if they can get him to race on an even keel.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Ocean's Breath silks
Ocean's Breath
Age 3 · 9-8
24-19
84
77
95
3
9-8
11/4 7/2 5/2
Has 11lb pull for three-quarters of a length with Kindergarten from last year's debut clash at Navan; beaten at odds-on next time but he was a backward juvenile; off the mark by 3l on AW in April and runner-up now rated 82; nothing went right when favourite for premier handicap at Naas, got warm beforehand and rider decided to follow his draw up the stands' side but all the action was far side; tongue-tie.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Luna Mia silks
Luna Mia
Age 3 · 9-7
42182-
83
74
89
3
9-7
9/1 6/1 9/1
That bit more exposed than the rest after eight starts at two; ran in some hot contests before getting off the mark in 6f Naas maiden in September and good second in Birdcatcher Nursery back there when last seen the following month; trainer feels she's best on easy ground; ran well first time out last term.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Breaking Dawn silks
Breaking Dawn
Age 3 · 9-5
44-10
81
71
91
3
9-5
10/1 13/2 10/1
Solid runs at two and dropped back to 6f to win on heavy ground at the Curragh in March (form not worked out); only 10-3 for Madrid Handicap at Naas a week later, but it must have come too soon as he weakened to finish last; freshened up since and headgear left off.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Substance silks
Substance
Age 3 · 9-1
06-410
77
73
94
3
9-1
6/1 13/2 6/1
Was dropped out on handicap debut over 7.5f at Roscommon and luckily they went hard and he came through to easily beat a subsequent winner; only 5-1 at Curragh next time, never landed a blow over 7f after getting out of his ground at halfway; will need a good pace to aim at, so a hostage to fortune in that respect.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Kindergarten 6/1 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 Coral
2 County Carlow 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 2.75 9/4 open 2.75 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 Bet365
3 Morehampton 8/1 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 Bet365
4 Ocean's Breath 11/4 open 5.00 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 11/4 Bet365
5 Luna Mia 9/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 Coral
6 Breaking Dawn 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 Bet365
7 Substance 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 13/2 13/2 Betfred

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

County Carlow

Speculative

County Carlow owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 P Twomey W J Lee
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ocean's Breath

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · G M Lyons
✓ Value Signal

Breaking Dawn

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

10/1 · M D O'Callaghan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. County Carlow
53.1 9/4
2 4. Ocean's Breath
51.4 11/4
3 7. Substance
50.5 6/1
4 5. Luna Mia
50.4 9/1
5 1. Kindergarten
50.4 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Ocean's Breath
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-9
9/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-8
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 3 · 10-0
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-1
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-8
8/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Age 3 · 9-7
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-5
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ocean's Breath
Confidence: Medium

Ocean's Breath leads the field with SR 77 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-8 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Ocean's Breath, County Carlow, Luna Mia, Substance, Kindergarten
Each-way: County Carlow Danger: Luna Mia

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Fairyhouse Track and setting