Ran to form stepped up in trip, a half-length second off 104 last time and only 2lb higher here; won by a length at Fontwell from a 5lb lower mark penultimate start and handles a sound surface well over staying trips. First-time cheekpieces may help, though a tendency to pull up is the main concern.
Form last 65PP-12
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
105SR—RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight 12-0 at 7/1 with inconsistent form 5PP-12 and a Saturday Rating of 105 limits Belgarum's appeal.
Took this race by two and a half lengths off a 3lb lower mark three starts back and remains well treated given older efforts; effective over 2m-3m on any ground and shaped respectably at last start despite a sizeable defeat. First-time blinkers add interest, though the most recent display was well below par.
Form last 6951-45
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
93SR—RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 12-0 at 11/1 with patchy form of 951-45 limits confidence despite a Saturday Rating of 93.
Inconsistent in recent starts, finishing seventh and unseating before another poor effort last time out — hard to trust. Does handle today's trip and conditions, and the mark has eased, but must demonstrate improved reliability over hurdles before demanding inclusion.
Form last 656P-U7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
74SR—RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Outsider odds of 66/1, poor form of 56P-U7, and a low Saturday Rating of 74 make Balkardy an unlikely contender.
Progressing as the trip increases over hurdles, going a close second off 102 last time with only 2lb more in hand here; won by a length and a quarter at a lower mark penultimate start and acts well on good ground as a reliable stayer. First-time hood fitted and our figures put him clear at the head of the market.
Form last 6325-12
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
110SR—RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid recent form of 325-12 and a competitive 9/2 market price are offset by a hefty 11-12 weight and Saturday Rating of 110.
Runner-up last time, beaten a length off 99 after travelling well but tending to lug under pressure, and steps up in trip having taken a race at Ludlow from a lower mark; the yard is in strong form and he looks capable of stepping forward now his problems have been addressed. Only 2lb higher than that last success and well treated given earlier form.
Form last 69/7-12
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
107SR—RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carries top weight of 11-9 with patchy form (9/7-12) and a 107 Saturday Rating, limiting confidence despite 5/2 odds.
Third and second in the last two starts, holding up and staying on without threatening at Cartmel last time, shaping as though an even longer test would be welcome; on a fair mark and the course and distance suit. Yet to score in recent starts and needs the pieces to fall right in behind the pace.
Form last 6P7-223
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
106SR—RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid 106 Saturday Rating and consistent form figures of P7-223 at 11-8 weight justify mid-tier 4/1 market appeal.
Third beaten two lengths off a 1lb lower mark last time and handles this sort of trip well on good ground; effective out to 3m-plus and connections probably feel a little more is to come. Ranked last of eight on our figures, though, and has not shown enough to demand serious respect.
Form last 6221-43
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
95SR—RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated 95 with solid 221-43 form, Jager Time's 15/2 odds and 11-7 weight suggest mid-tier market confidence.
Third here last time out, beaten four and a half lengths after being allowed an easy lead early and then finding plenty under pressure; in decent form of late over 2m-3m on soft and good to soft, and a first-time visor is fitted. Yet to score in recent starts and likely needs everything to fall right.
Form last 67/64-3
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
96SR—RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Saturday Rating of 96 and recent form showing a third suggests ability, but 6/1 odds and 11-2 weight limit confidence.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
I Am Spider Man owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (59) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Barry T MurphyJames Bowen
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Cinnodin
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Jamie Snowden✓ Value Signal
Balkardy
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Mrs C Williams◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Cinnodin (SR 110, 9/2) posts the highest Saturday Rating in the field and arrives on a career-best form line of 325-12 — two consecutive wins most recently, suggesting peak form heading into this 3m2f105y test on Good ground. At 11-12, the weight is manageable and sits 2lb below co-topweights Belgarum and Striking A Pose, giving a marginal lbs edge over rivals rated below it. At 6, it is the youngest horse in the field by three years, which on Good ground over an extreme trip is an asset in terms of stamina reserves not yet fully tapped. The market's second-shortest price at 9/2 reflects quiet confidence rather than hype, behind the favourite Jafimgoso who carries 3lb less but rates 3 points inferior on SR.
Each-way alternative: Jafimgoso.
Main danger: Jafimgoso — Jafimgoso (SR 107, 5/2) is the market leader, carries a favourable 11-9, and a form line of 9/7-12 shows two straight wins most recently for the in-form Dan Skelton yard — if those wins came at a competitive class level, the 3lb weight advantage over Cinnodin could prove decisive at this price.