Top of our figures here, and operating from a yard currently in good form — he finished third at Cork on his most recent outing; however, he has stamina to prove over today's trip, his best form has come on softer conditions than today's, and he returns from a lengthy absence.
Form last 643543-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
91SR—RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 12-0 with modest form figures of 43543- and a Saturday Rating of 91 limits confidence despite short 5/6 odds.
Took a handicap with authority at Market Rasen last time off a 7lb lower mark than today, showing she is progressing — effective over staying trips and acts on good ground; a visor added here, and 7lb higher could test her, but she rates a genuine threat in this novice company.
Form last 6583-31
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
92SR—RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 12-0 and rated 92, Slack Alice's 9/4 odds and inconsistent 583-31 form justify a cautious mid-tier three-star rating.
Well held in hurdle starts to date and coming off an exit before the race properly developed in a point-to-point at Hexham, he has plenty to prove on current evidence and is difficult to make a compelling case for in this company.
Form last 6000-U
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR—RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 67 and poor form reading 000-U make North Account an unconvincing 17/2 shot at 10-12.
Third in a hurdle earlier this season, he has shown some ability and cheekpieces are applied for the first time here; he failed to complete at Bangor-on-Dee last time, and a step up in trip could suit — yet he has something to prove on recent form before he can be called a reliable danger.
Form last 6/563-P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR—RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 48, distant 28/1 odds, and form showing /563-P combine to make Vesalius an extremely weak selection.
Lowest-rated on our figures and consistently held in her last five outings, she has shown limited ability so far; she has the trip handled and acts on decent ground, but needs significant improvement to be a factor here.
Form last 665-896
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR—RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 46, 80/1 odds, and poor form figures of 65-896 make Mc'flo a very weak contender.
Sixth on handicap debut at Worcester last time without threatening, he steps up in trip today which could play to his strengths — effective at 2m on good ground, and tongue-tie applied for the first time; yet to score but this longer test may bring improvement.
Form last 69-476
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR—RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Weak form figures of 9-476, a 10/1 outsider carrying 10-4, and a low Saturday Rating of 70 signal limited winning prospects.
Making his handicap debut here with a first-time hood added, and the drop in weights could give him a better opportunity to show what he can do; yet to score over hurdles so far and failed to complete at Newton Abbot last time, he has considerable improvement to find.
Form last 668-P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
59SR—RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
French Diablo's 59 Saturday Rating, poor 68-P form, and 18/1 odds combine to make this a deeply unconvincing betting proposition.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Slack Alice owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2Mickey BowenSean Bowen
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Back To Cali
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
8/11 · John Joseph Hanlon✓ Value Signal
Vesalius
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Barry Brennan◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Slack Alice (SR 92, 9/4) shows the most encouraging recent form in the field with a 3-1 finish line, indicating she has found her feet in handicap company. She matches Back To Cali's SR of 91 while carrying the same weight of 12-0, so no lbs disadvantage, and her last two runs show a clear upward trajectory. The market is the second-shortest in the race at 9/4, reflecting genuine confidence, and crucially her form string ends in a win followed by a placed effort rather than the flat 43543- sequence that characterises the favourite Back To Cali, who has not won in this current form cycle at all. At 2m6f7y on Good to Firm, a horse that has recently demonstrated willingness to battle (the 31 finish) is preferred over one grinding out mid-pack finishes.
Each-way alternative: Alex The Great.
Main danger: Back To Cali — Back To Cali (SR 91, 5/6) is the market leader carrying top-weight 12-0 and while his form string of 43543- shows consistent mid-pack finishes without a win, the market's strong confidence at 5/6 suggests connections believe a course-and-distance performance is imminent and he cannot be fully discounted at the head of the market.
ShortlistSlack Alice, Back To Cali, Alex The Great