Winless in his last five starts but returns to 8f after finding 6f too sharp at Fairyhouse last time; competitively weighted on his official mark and partners a jockey with a strong record at this venue, acts on good ground.
Form last 674-047
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR—RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Low Saturday Rating of 52, poor form (74-047), and 10-2 weight burden make 7/1 odds unappealing.
Showed solid form including a win at 7/8f before a 104-day break, then was well held at Dundalk on his comeback in a manner that suggested the run was needed; handles today's going and has more to offer if recapturing that earlier level.
Form last 64123-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR—RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 10-0 with a modest Saturday Rating of 52 and a form run of 4123-0, the 6/1 shot offers little appeal.
Landed a handicap at Limerick 13 days ago by 2l — his sharpest effort in a year — and was placed in second the run before; effective 7f-9f on soft and good, stall 1 gives him the rail advantage and he is the one to beat despite a 6lb rise.
Form last 690-021
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
62SR—RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carvalhal's solid form (90-021) and competitive 5/2 odds are offset by a tough 9-12 weight burden in this 0-60 contest.
Ran with greater purpose at Leopardstown last time on quicker ground and operates well at 7-9f on a sound surface; first-time tongue-tie and cheekpieces could sharpen his focus and the handicapper has given him an opening, though draw 18 is a stiff ask in this large field.
Form last 6923006
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
46SR—RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight 9-12 with poor form 923006 and a weak Saturday Rating of 46 at 12/1 makes Rockbury Lad unconvincing.
Rates a solid 7/8f performer on good ground and has the figures to suggest he can go close, but his turf reappearance at the Curragh last time was laboured; first-time cheekpieces are a positive on his return from a short break, inconsistency the key reservation.
Form last 6-44730
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR—RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 41, poor form (-44730), and 14/1 odds signal Roman Harry has little realistic chance in this competitive 0-60 handicap.
His most recent effort at Leopardstown came on soft ground after a rapid back-to-back — he had competed just 24 hours earlier — and that run can easily be excused; effective at 7f/1m on a sounder surface and clearly capable of better, he is firmly in the mix.
Form last 631-039
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR—RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 51 with patchy form (31-039) and ignored by the market at 7/1, Dinamine lacks the profile to threaten here.
Form has been heading in the wrong direction with four unplaced or near-unplaced efforts in his last five starts, and draw 17 adds to the burden in this large field; has course experience at today's distance and going but faces a stiff task from his current trajectory.
Form last 6-50009
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
30SR—RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 30, 22/1 odds, and form figures of -50009 offer no compelling reason to support Captain Ciano.
Fourth in our ratings and a genuine threat; held his level at Leopardstown last time but failed to see out 9f and the return to 8f looks a natural fit; acts on any going, first-time blinkers a positive focus, though he is yet to score.
Form last 6080307
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
44SR—RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Poor form figures (080307) and a low Saturday Rating of 44 make 12/1 odds reflect justified market skepticism.
Absent for 239 days and his trainer has gone 0/27 in the past fortnight; failed to get into contention at Dundalk before that long break and is yet to win in recent outings, with form at 1m to his credit but plenty to prove on these combined indicators.
Form last 667870-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
27SR—RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 27 with uninspiring form of 67870- and drifting at 25/1, Virgil Tibbs offers minimal winning prospects.
Returning from a 139-day absence and her Dundalk claimer run before that break was well off what she can show; most effective at 6/7f, so today's 8f looks a stretch, and her inconsistency leaves her with plenty to find against this field.
Form last 683-570
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
28SR—RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 28, 33/1 odds, and dismal form figures of 83-570 leave Tortola with no credible winning claims.
Effective at 8/9f on today's going but has struggled badly in recent starts and was well held at Leopardstown last time; draw 16 is wide in a big field, and while his mark continues to ease, first-time tongue-tie and visor may help unlock something.
Form last 6708670
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR—RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 44 and dismal form reading 708670 at 10/1 make Rampage an unconvincing 9-7 burden.
Disappointing at Gowran Park last time and carries the added concern of a trainer who has gone 0/27 in recent weeks; effective at 7-10f on today's going, first-time cheekpieces offer some hope but more is needed than his current form has produced.
Form last 63070-7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
29SR—RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 29 with weak 3070-7 form and dismissed by the market at 22/1, Pinball Wizard offers negligible winning prospects.
Absent for 261 days and made no impression in his final run at Dundalk before that lengthy layoff; draw 14 is on the wide side and first-time tongue-tie and cheekpieces represent a fresh approach, though a significant step forward is needed given the evidence.
Form last 605620-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR—RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Micasso's Saturday Rating of 37, distant 14/1 odds, and poor form reading 05620- make this a deeply unconvincing handicap contender.
Last seen departing a claiming hurdle at Wexford and has something to prove returning to Flat action on turf; best flat form has come on the all-weather over 8-9f, so today's surface is a concern, and first-time cheekpieces are the only new positive on offer.
Form last 600856-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
16SR—RPR41OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 16, 40/1 odds, and a form string of 00856- make Plastic Paddy an unconvincing outsider.
Showed his keenness at Leopardstown last time on a longer trip and failed to see it out, but today's drop back to 1m suits better; at his best on a sounder surface, first-time cheekpieces may help him settle, though he sits towards the foot of the ratings.
Form last 6-23277
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
44SR—RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 44 with uninspiring form of -23277, Desert Of The Sea's 7/1 odds suggest the market sees limited winning potential.
Set out too fast in blinkers at Roscommon on his turf return last time and faded badly; better on the all-weather at 7/8f and draw 15 is inconvenient for one who likes to lead, with first-time tongue-tie and cheekpieces offering the main new angle here.
Form last 63-0046
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
38SR—RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 38, weak 3-0046 form, and 14/1 odds signal minimal market confidence in this 8-10 weighted runner.
Struggled to find his best on his turf return at Limerick last time, and typically operates best at 7f rather than today's extra furlong; that run may have put him sharper for this but he has ground to make up on our figures.
Form last 63200-6
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR—RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 55 and poor recent form (3200-6) at 9-9 weight make 9/2 odds hard to justify.
Struggled badly at Gowran Park last time after missing the kick and is without a win in five recent starts; most effective at 5-7f so today's 8f trip looks a stretch, and with a wide draw and an unreliable profile, she has plenty to overcome.
Form last 609-000
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
21SR—RPR41OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 21, odds of 33/1, and a form string of 09-000 offer no credible path to victory at any weight.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Shelbourne Flyer owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (31) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2Noel MeadeTBA
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Carvalhal
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/4 · R P Burns✓ Value Signal
Virgil Tibbs
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · John C McConnell◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Carvalhal (SR 62, 5/2) is the class standout in this 0-60 heat — his SR of 62 sits comfortably above every rival, with the next-best Shelbourne Flyer at SR 55 and Dynamic Force at SR 52. His form string of 90-021 shows a sharp return to form with a recent win (rightmost '1'), and he carries 9-12 which is not a burdensome weight given his SR advantage of 7+ lbs over the chasing pack. The 5/2 market reflects clear confidence and the Good ground at Bellewstown over 7f211y suits a horse who has shown progressive form at this sort of trip.
Each-way alternative: Shelbourne Flyer.
Main danger: Shelbourne Flyer — Shelbourne Flyer (SR 55, 9/2) is the second-strongest-rated runner, trained by Noel Meade who regularly targets these provincial handicaps, and carries 9-9 — 3lbs less than Carvalhal — meaning if his 3200-6 form string masks a return to form today, he has the weight edge to capitalise.
ShortlistCarvalhal, Shelbourne Flyer, Dynamic Force, Desert Of The Sea