Par Inn Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m4f216y
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Ellerton | 5/4 open 3.25 | — | 6/5 open 3.50 | 11/10 open 3.50 | 5/4 open 3.50 | 11/10 open 1.83 | 5/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Limerick Leader | 11/4 open 2.75 | — | 3/1 open 2.63 | 5/2 open 2.63 | 11/4 open 2.63 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 3/1 Coral |
| 3 The Gypsy Davey | 9/1 open 8.00 | — | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 Coral |
| 4 It's A Breeze | 11/4 open 3.50 | — | 5/2 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 11/4 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ellerton owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Ellerton (SR 112, 5/4) is the clear ability leader in this small field and has steamed in by 30% in the market — the most compelling single signal in a four-runner heat. Despite carrying top-weight of 12-0, the SR gap over the field is meaningful: 8 points clear of Limerick Leader and 20+ clear of the others. Course form of W1P2 at Newton Abbot is a concrete advantage on this track, and blinkers applied suggest connections are targeting a win today. The +5 mark move is a minor negative but is outweighed by the market confidence and course familiarity. Each-way alternative: Limerick Leader. Main danger: Limerick Leader — Limerick Leader (SR 104, 11/4) has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) and confirmed going suitability (GoingFit:+), W1P4 course record, and a consistent form string of 222-23 suggesting a horse that fires every time even if it doesn't always win — the market drift of 29% is a concern but may reflect the class rise rather than a fundamental problem.