racingtv.com/freetrial Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m5f212y
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 60 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Lady Dublin | 11/4 open 2.50 | — | 11/4 open 2.88 | 11/4 open 2.88 | 11/4 open 2.88 | 5/2 open 2.88 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Mardy Bum | 6/4 open 2.63 | — | 6/4 open 2.38 | 6/4 open 2.38 | 6/4 open 2.38 | 6/4 open 2.38 | 6/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Sunrise At Dawn | 9/4 open 4.00 | — | 9/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 2/1 open 3.50 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 4 Showmethebubbles | 10/1 open 13.00 | — | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mardy Bum owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 60 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Mardy Bum (SR:66, 6/4) shares the top SR with Lady Dublin but carries 3lb less (9-6 vs 9-9), a meaningful weight advantage in a tight Class 6 nursery over 5f212y. The market has moved in 5% since opening, suggesting stable confidence, and connections with David O'Meara (11% strike rate, 1155 runners — a yard that places horses with purpose) booking Mark Winn (12% strike rate) signals this is a yard running to win. The recent 7-day turnaround from last run is not a concern for a fit 2yo being aimed deliberately. Although DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are genuine flags, the weight relief and market support tip the balance over the drifting favourite. Each-way alternative: Sunrise At Dawn. Main danger: Lady Dublin — Lady Dublin matches Mardy Bum on SR:66 and the 3-class drop is significant, but the 5% market drift and heavier 9-9 weight burden — combined with a low-volume trainer at 5% strike rate — make it the danger rather than the pick.