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14:22 Nottingham 17 Jul 2026 British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

  • 5 Runners
  • Class 4 Class
  • 1m2f50y Trip
  • Good to Firm Going
Racecard
1

Hauteluce

Ashley Lewis(5) Ed Walker

57SR 70OR 11/10Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-22 pts trend
↘ Fading 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 73 · Field avg 57 +16

Going Record

on Good to Firm
71%
✓ Proven

3 wins, 2 placed · 7 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 40% +10

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Ashley Lewis 74 wins from 561 rides 13 WIN %
  • Ed Walker 259 wins from 1645 runners 16 WIN %
  • Pairing 19 wins from 98 together 19WIN %
2

Celestial Cen

Pierre-Louis Jamin Archie Watson

154SR 5/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
-36 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 41 · Field avg 57 -16

Going Record

on Good to Firm
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 40% -40

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Pierre-Louis Jamin 109 wins from 766 rides 14 WIN %
  • Archie Watson 212 wins from 1430 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 42 together 7WIN %
3

Guesstimate

Harry Davies William Haggas

79SR 70OR 7/4Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-30 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 50 · Field avg 57 -7

Going Record

on Good to Firm
67%
✓ Proven

1 win, 5 placed · 9 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 40% +10

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Harry Davies 169 wins from 1355 rides 12 WIN %
  • William Haggas 504 wins from 2201 runners 23 WIN %
  • Pairing 11 wins from 71 together 15WIN %
4

Sax Avoidance

Thomas Greatrex Charlie Pike

138SR 25/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+65 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 57 +6

Going Record

on Good to Firm
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 1 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 40% -40

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Thomas Greatrex 13 wins from 223 rides 6 WIN %
  • Charlie Pike 11 wins from 135 runners 8 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 37 together 0WIN %
5

Sweet Horizon

Jason Watson Tom Clover

139SR 18/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+7 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 59 · Field avg 57 +2

Going Record

on Good to Firm
60%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 40% +60

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Jason Watson 253 wins from 1906 rides 13 WIN %
  • Tom Clover 117 wins from 700 runners 17 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 14 together 21WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
2 Steamers
3 Drifters
0 Flat