Nottingham 14:22 RESULTED
Class 4 17 Jul 2026

Friday 17 July British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race) · 1m2f50y

Official Result

British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Guesstimate (GB) Harry Davies · William Haggas
    15/8
  2. 28/1
  3. 10/11F
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 4 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Hauteluce silks
Hauteluce
Age 3 · 9-9
5-1
70
57
70OR
3
9-9
11/10 5/6 Evs
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at evn.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at evn.

2
Celestial Cen silks
Celestial Cen
Age 3 · 9-2
24
154
3
9-2
5/1 11/2 5/1
SR 154 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 154 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Guesstimate silks
Guesstimate
Age 3 · 9-2
2-0335
70
79
70OR
3
9-2
7/4 18/13 7/4
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Sax Avoidance silks
Sax Avoidance
Age 3 · 9-2
138
3
9-2
25/1 12/1 25/1
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Sweet Horizon silks
Sweet Horizon
Age 3 · 9-2
8
139
3
9-2
18/1 10/1 18/1
SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Hauteluce 11/10 open 2.25 11/10 open 2.25 11/10 open 2.25 11/10 open 2.25 evn open 1.83 11/10 Bet365
2 Celestial Cen 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
3 Guesstimate 7/4 open 2.63 7/4 open 2.38 7/4 open 2.38 7/4 open 2.38 7/4 7/4 Bet365
4 Sax Avoidance 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
5 Sweet Horizon 18/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Celestial Cen

High conviction

Celestial Cen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 Archie Watson Pierre-Louis Jamin
91% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sweet Horizon

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

18/1 · Tom Clover
✓ Value Signal

Sax Avoidance

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Charlie Pike
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
65 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Celestial Cen
71.9 5/1
2 5. Sweet Horizon
59.2 18/1
3 3. Guesstimate
56.0 7/4
4 4. Sax Avoidance
54.2 25/1
5 1. Hauteluce
49.9 11/10
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Celestial Cen
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-9
11/10
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at evn.

3
Age 3 · 9-2
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-2
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 154 🐾

SR 154 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-2
18/1
★★★☆☆ SR 139 🐾

SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Celestial Cen
Confidence: Medium

Celestial Cen's SR of 154 towers over this field — a 15-point gap over the next-best Sweet Horizon (SR:139) and Sax Avoidance (SR:138), and a massive 75-point gap over Guesstimate (SR:79). At 6/1 with no market drift flagged, the price appears to reflect a small, unraced or lightly-raced novice field where the market has leaned toward Hauteluce (steaming into evens) rather than ability. The 7lb weight advantage Celestial Cen carries over Hauteluce (9-2 vs 9-9) compounds the SR edge meaningfully. Trainer Archie Watson (12% strike rate) and jockey Pierre-Louis Jamin (14% strike rate) represent a capable combination, and the form figure of '24' — a recent second and fourth — shows consistent involvement at the business end on only two starts. Each-way alternative: Hauteluce. Main danger: Hauteluce — Hauteluce has steamed in 10% to evens and posted a win on its most recent start (form: 5-1), and trainer Ed Walker (14%) with jockey Ashley Lewis represent a confident yard booking — the market money is real and if the SR system is underrating an unexposed winner, Hauteluce is the one to beat.

Shortlist Celestial Cen, Hauteluce, Sweet Horizon
Each-way: Hauteluce Danger: Hauteluce

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m2f50y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade