Longines Valiant Stakes (Group 3) · 0m7f213y
SR 88 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 89 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 8-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Arisaig | 18/1 open 26.00 | — | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | — | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Cheshire Dancer | 50/1 open 41.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | — | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Kon Tiki | 7/2 open 5.00 | — | 10/3 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | — | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Pina Sonata | 12/1 open 11.00 | — | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | — | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Sukanya | 14/1 open 13.00 | — | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 | 14/1 open 12.00 | — | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Esna | 25/1 open 19.00 | — | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | — | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Skydance | 8/1 open 10.00 | — | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | — | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Touleen | 5/6 open 1.80 | — | 8/11 open 1.80 | 8/11 open 1.80 | 5/6 open 1.73 | — | 5/6 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Touleen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (68) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 8-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 88 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Kon Tiki (SR 114, 7/2) is the second-highest rated runner and carries 9-5 with Ryan Moore aboard — Moore's 27% career strike rate is the strongest jockey stat in the field by a significant margin. The market has shortened 14% since opening, confirming stable confidence behind a horse that holds a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good-to-firm ground, the only runner in the field with a positive going profile. The form string 117-24 shows back-to-back wins before a pair of placed efforts at Group level, and a MarkMv:+17 rise is manageable given the step up in class is already baked into that mark — Jane Chapple-Hyam's 11% strike rate is modest but Moore's booking on a steamer overrides that concern. Touleen is the clear danger at 5/6 with William Buick and the top SR of 123, but GoingFit:~ rather than a confirmed positive on good-to-firm leaves a material question mark, and the market shortening on Kon Tiki suggests connections fancy they have found that vulnerability. Each-way alternative: Skydance. Main danger: Touleen — Touleen holds the highest SR in the field at 123, has William Buick booked, carries the lightest weight at 8-11, and DistFit:+ confirms she handles this trip — she is the clear market leader for good reason and only the going uncertainty (GoingFit:~) prevents her from being the outright selection.