Amiata brings two wins in his last five starts — a winner last time out and a winner three starts back — over today's trip and going, making him a potent threat at 140 lb; the 61-day absence is the one question mark.
Form last 6-55141
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
89SR—RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Red Evolution won four starts back and was second five starts back, giving him a solid recent foundation, and he arrives here fresh enough on 16 days' rest with experience of today's trip and going. The top-rated runner on 140 lb, he's the one to beat despite back-to-back disappointing efforts.
Form last 621-407
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR—RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Gavoo arrives here fit on a 16-day turnaround, and his second two starts back hints at strong contention under 137 lb from stall four — though his fifth last time out will need reversing if he's to land the spoils.
Form last 61-4925
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
87SR—RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Moltophino nonetheless brings distance and going experience to the table, and at 137 lb from stall 11 he remains a serious threat with our rating putting him third of eleven — though his recent string of unplaced efforts is the chief concern.
Form last 650-979
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR—RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed second last time out and a winner three starts back, Spodo Komodo brings solid recent form to this, and he has experience of today's trip and going; however, that unplaced run two starts back and a rating of 78 suggest he'll need to find more against the stronger-rated rivals here.
Form last 6431-02
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR—RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Leveraging has won two starts back but has finished unplaced on his most recent outing, and a ranking of 11th of 11 on our figures makes him genuinely hard to fancy; he has run over today's trip and returns after just 16 days, but that is about the extent of the encouragement.
Form last 60961-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR—RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Winless in his last six starts, Clonmacash does at least bring distance and going experience to the table and was third two starts back, though a seventh last time out tempers expectations; 130 lb from stall eight makes life no easier.
Form last 6535437
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR—RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Twice a winner in his last six starts, but ranked tenth of eleven on our figures and carrying 130 lb makes him hard to fancy, despite the experience over today's trip and distance and his recent back-to-back victories lending some hope from stall one.
Form last 6769611
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
87SR—RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, Flaming Rib does bring distance and going experience to the table, and 12 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh; however, a return of two fourths and an eighth from stall seven off 128 lb makes a bold bid tough to envisage.
Form last 640-548
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR—RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Lohoobb is hard to fancy, though he has experience over today's trip and going, and his two runner-up finishes in recent starts suggest he isn't without ability.
Form last 64-5252
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR—RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Red Evolution owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1M D O'CallaghanDylan Browne McMonagle
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Gavoo
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · David Marnane✓ Value Signal
Leveraging
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
66/1 · Ms Sheila Lavery◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Red Evolution (SR:86, 5/1) combines the strongest single market move in the field — steaming in 23% — with a proven DistFit:+ at today's 5f205y trip and a MarkMv:-5 indicating a current mark 5lb below last win level, giving the handicapper a real edge to exploit. The tongue-tie (HG:t) is a first-time application or continuation headgear tweak that connections clearly believe will unlock improvement, and jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle's 16% career strike rate from 966 rides is the best booking among the leading contenders. Trainer O'Callaghan's 9% strike rate is modest, but the market confidence here is unusually strong and specific for this level. Carrying 10-0 is not ideal but is shared with top-rated Amiata, so there is no relative weight disadvantage against the co-topweight.
Each-way alternative: Gavoo.
Main danger: Gotta Catch'em All — Gotta Catch'em All (SR:87, 5/1) arrives in career-best form with a 769611 string showing back-to-back wins, carries only 9-4 (a full 10lb less than Red Evolution), has GoingFit:+ for today's good ground, and trainer H Rogers fires at a 20% strike rate — the best in the field — making the weight-and-form combination a genuine threat.
ShortlistRed Evolution, Gavoo, Gotta Catch'em All, Amiata