Tattersalls £40,000 EBF Newcomers' "Confined" Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses Which Have Never Run) (GBB Race) · 7f
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 138 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Danse Royale | 7/4 | — | — | — | — | — | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Godspeed Girl | 8/1 | — | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 Coral |
| 3 Harlequin Dream | 16/1 open 26.00 | — | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Just Scarlet | 10/1 open 26.00 | — | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Lex Victoria | 5/2 open 4.50 | — | 9/4 open 2.75 | 9/4 open 2.75 | 9/4 open 2.75 | 9/4 open 2.75 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Rubyroo | 15/2 open 10.00 | — | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Thi Qar | 4/1 open 5.50 | — | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Watch Party | 3/1 open 6.50 | — | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Thi Qar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (85) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 138 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Lex Victoria carries the highest SR in the field at 154, a clear step above the joint-second rated Thi Qar and Watch Party (both SR 153), and is trained by Simon & Ed Crisford whose 20% career strike rate is the best in this field. The Crisford yard is extremely well-equipped for juvenile debut winners at Newmarket July course, and the market reflects genuine confidence: already favourite at 15/8 with a 10% inward move since opening. The tongue-tie application (HG:t) on debut signals the yard has done serious work at home and wants the filly fully switched on first time — a purposeful declaration. Against the likes of Godspeed Girl (drifted 23%) and Rubyroo (drifted 35%), the directional market signals strongly favour Lex Victoria as the horse connections are running to win. Each-way alternative: Thi Qar. Main danger: Thi Qar — Thi Qar matches Lex Victoria's SR at 153 and is trained by the formidable John & Thady Gosden yard (24% career strike rate — highest in the field), with only a modest 5% inward market move suggesting quiet rather than overt confidence, but Gosden's record with well-bred juvenile fillies at Newmarket July makes this a live danger at 10/3.