Newly Weds Sara & Nigel Irish EBF Fillies Maiden · 1m4f0y
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Essential Comedy | 16/1 open 11.00 | — | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Express Choise | 16/1 open 19.00 | — | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Mawhibah | 13/8 open 3.50 | — | 13/8 open 3.25 | 13/8 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.50 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 13/8 Bet365 |
| 4 Phlox | 11/4 open 4.50 | — | 11/4 open 4.33 | 11/4 open 4.33 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 4.33 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Sea Of The Celts | 2/1 open 2.20 | — | 15/8 open 2.10 | 15/8 open 2.10 | 15/8 open 2.20 | 15/8 open 2.10 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 6 U S Navy Spearhead | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 25/1 open 41.00 | 25/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mawhibah owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Phlox (SR:154, 3/1) is the strongest value proposition in this field. The market move of 18% inward is a compelling signal that informed money is landing on this filly, and JP Murtagh's yard (11% strike rate from 654 runners) is a credible operation for producing well-prepared maidens. Her form of 5-6 (rightmost last run) shows she has been competitive without winning, consistent with a filly building toward her moment. Crucially, Sea Of The Celts is the SR leader at 155 but carries a significant red flag: a 19% drift in the market from a Twomey yard that typically knows its horses' readiness — when a 6/5 favourite drifts, connections are telling you something. Phlox's SR is effectively equivalent to Sea Of The Celts once the market adjustment is factored, and at 3/1 she represents a far superior risk-reward profile. Each-way alternative: Mawhibah. Main danger: Sea Of The Celts — Sea Of The Celts holds the highest SR in the field at 155 and is trained by Twomey (24% strike rate from 234 runners, an elite figure), meaning even a debut runner from this yard commands respect — if the drift is merely tactical or market noise rather than a readiness concern, she is capable of winning on raw ability alone.