Roly Poly Events Race Of Hope Handicap Stakes · 2m0f0y
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
SR 59 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 54 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Beaune | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Good Onya Mate | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 open 9.00 | 16/1 open 9.00 | 18/1 open 9.50 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 William Hill |
| 2 Golden Flame | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Lusaka | 10/3 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 4 Merrijig | 7/2 open 5.50 | 10/3 open 6.00 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Sneaky Blinder | 20/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 open 9.50 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 William Hill |
| 7 Simiyann | 8/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 17/2 William Hill |
| 8 Last Flight | 9/4 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 2/1 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 9 Make A Splash | 40/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Lusaka owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 62 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Merrijig (SR:62, 4/1, Wgt:10-0) shares the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Lusaka but carries 2lb less, and crucially holds a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground — the only runner in the shortlist with that advantage. The market has shortened 11% since opening, indicating informed support, and the blinkers (HG:b) are a positive headgear flag for a horse dropping a class. Trainer John Berry operates at a respectable 12% strike rate and the recent 1-6323 form shows a course place (W0P1 at Ffos Las) and a last-time-out win that confirms current readiness. The MarkMv:+1 is trivial and does not offset these advantages. Each-way alternative: Last Flight. Main danger: Last Flight — Last Flight (SR:60, 9/4) carries only 8-8 — a 10lb weight pull on Merrijig — with a confirmed GoingFit:+ and, as a 3-year-old, the lightest burden in the field gives it a real physical edge, even though the DistFit:? and a 6% market drift temper confidence.