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15:17 Southwell (AW) 31 Aug 2026 Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Handicap Stakes

  • 14 Runners
  • Class 6 Class
  • 1m13y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Avatar Jet

Zak Wheatley Declan Carroll

67SR 68RPR 65OR 7/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 41 -16

Going Record

on Good
21%
✗ Avoid

2 wins, 2 placed · 19 runs

This runner 24% · Field avg 29% -5

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Zak Wheatley 56 wins from 586 rides 10 WIN %
  • Declan Carroll 68 wins from 650 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 47 wins from 424 together 11WIN %
2

Volto di Medusa

Cieren Fallon Jack Jones

69SR 66RPR 64OR 8/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-15 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 33 · Field avg 41 -8

Going Record

on Good
31%
~ Mixed

3 wins, 5 placed · 26 runs

This runner 36% · Field avg 29% +7

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Cieren Fallon 345 wins from 1960 rides 18 WIN %
  • Jack Jones 77 wins from 614 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 15 together 20WIN %
3

Relevant Range

Elle-May Croot(5) Ivan Furtado

57SR 67RPR 63OR 20/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-30 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 41 0

Going Record

on Good
38%
~ Mixed

5 wins, 13 placed · 47 runs

This runner 44% · Field avg 29% +15

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Elle-May Croot(5) 16 wins from 176 rides 9 WIN %
  • Ivan Furtado 104 wins from 1086 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 15 wins from 152 together 10WIN %
4

Rusheen Boy

Sean Levey Julia & Shelley Birkett

45SR 63RPR 63OR 20/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 41 0

Going Record

on Good
31%
~ Mixed

6 wins, 5 placed · 36 runs

This runner 39% · Field avg 29% +10

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Sean Levey 241 wins from 1888 rides 13 WIN %
  • Julia & Shelley Birkett 30 wins from 221 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 7 together 29WIN %
5

Portman Blue

Luke Morris Joseph Parr

54SR 67RPR 63OR 12/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+25 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 41 -3

Going Record

on Good
18%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 2 placed · 11 runs

This runner 10% · Field avg 29% -19

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Luke Morris 385 wins from 3160 rides 12 WIN %
  • Joseph Parr 49 wins from 427 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 38 together 3WIN %
6

Izzari

Andrew Mullen Iain Jardine

70SR 67RPR 63OR 11/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 41 +12

Going Record

on Good
32%
~ Mixed

5 wins, 3 placed · 25 runs

This runner 25% · Field avg 29% -4

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Andrew Mullen 160 wins from 1610 rides 10 WIN %
  • Iain Jardine 188 wins from 1619 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 74 wins from 663 together 11WIN %
7

Peaceful Spirit

Alistair Rawlinson Lawrence Mullaney

36SR 64RPR 62OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 28 · Field avg 41 -13

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 5 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 29% -29

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Alistair Rawlinson 87 wins from 836 rides 10 WIN %
  • Lawrence Mullaney 13 wins from 172 runners 8 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 7 together 0WIN %
8

Aspull

Grace McEntee Phil McEntee

35SR 64RPR 61OR 66/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+12 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 31 · Field avg 41 -10

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

1 win, 3 placed · 12 runs

This runner 40% · Field avg 29% +11

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Grace McEntee 43 wins from 494 rides 9 WIN %
  • Phil McEntee 65 wins from 580 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 24 wins from 217 together 11WIN %
9

Just Typical

Billy Loughnane Ian Williams

70SR 66RPR 61OR 11/4Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-10 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 42 · Field avg 41 +1

Going Record

on Good
39%
~ Mixed

6 wins, 10 placed · 41 runs

This runner 41% · Field avg 29% +12

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Billy Loughnane 599 wins from 3255 rides 18 WIN %
  • Ian Williams 250 wins from 2236 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 37 wins from 188 together 20WIN %
10

Soames Forsyte

Tom Eaves Michael Herrington

40SR 67RPR 60OR 14/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+12 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 31 · Field avg 41 -10

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

7 wins, 12 placed · 58 runs

This runner 37% · Field avg 29% +8

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Tom Eaves 146 wins from 1744 rides 8 WIN %
  • Michael Herrington 118 wins from 815 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 14 wins from 159 together 9WIN %
11

Bajan Bandit

Paddy Bradley Patrick Morris

65SR 65RPR 60OR 8/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+23 pts trend
↗ Climbing 5 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 73 · Field avg 41 +33

Going Record

on Good
39%
~ Mixed

8 wins, 13 placed · 54 runs

This runner 40% · Field avg 29% +11

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Paddy Bradley 108 wins from 1162 rides 9 WIN %
  • Patrick Morris 51 wins from 609 runners 8 WIN %
  • Pairing 6 wins from 65 together 9WIN %
12

Special Breeze

Kieran O'Neill Pam Sly

42SR 56RPR 58OR 16/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 30 · Field avg 41 -10

Going Record

on Good
11%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 9 runs

This runner 12% · Field avg 29% -17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Kieran O'Neill 173 wins from 1857 rides 9 WIN %
  • Pam Sly 11 wins from 93 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 14 together 14WIN %
13

Aim For The Bull

Rob Hornby Mike Murphy

66SR 57RPR 57OR 16/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-10 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 55 · Field avg 41 +14

Going Record

on Good
35%
~ Mixed

4 wins, 5 placed · 26 runs

This runner 24% · Field avg 29% -5

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Rob Hornby 246 wins from 2166 rides 11 WIN %
  • Mike Murphy 31 wins from 271 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 7 wins from 50 together 14WIN %
14

Mr Fustic

Marco Ghiani Andi Brown

37SR 62RPR 57OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-10 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 50 · Field avg 41 +10

Going Record

on Good
30%
~ Mixed

6 wins, 6 placed · 40 runs

This runner 28% · Field avg 29% -1

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Marco Ghiani 285 wins from 1786 rides 16 WIN %
  • Andi Brown 8 wins from 67 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 7 together 0WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
3 Steamers
10 Drifters
1 Flat