Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Handicap Stakes · 1m13y
SR 67 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 57 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 54 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 70 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 65 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 37 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avatar Jet | 7/2 open 11.00 | 7/2 open 9.00 | 7/2 open 10.00 | 7/2 open 10.00 | 3/1 open 10.00 | 3/1 open 8.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Volto di Medusa | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 17/2 Coral |
| 3 Relevant Range | 20/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Rusheen Boy | 20/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Portman Blue | 12/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Izzari | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 11/2 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 6/1 Coral |
| 7 Peaceful Spirit | 50/1 open 13.00 | 40/1 open 19.00 | 50/1 open 15.00 | 50/1 open 15.00 | 50/1 open 15.00 | 40/1 open 19.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Aspull | 66/1 open 21.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Just Typical | 11/4 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 6.00 | 11/4 open 5.50 | 11/4 open 5.50 | 11/4 open 5.50 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 10 Soames Forsyte | 14/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Bajan Bandit | 8/1 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 17/2 Coral |
| 12 Special Breeze | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Aim For The Bull | 16/1 open 6.00 | 14/1 open 6.50 | 16/1 open 6.00 | 16/1 open 6.00 | 16/1 open 6.00 | 16/1 open 6.50 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Mr Fustic | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Just Typical owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 70 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 57 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Just Typical (SR:70, 10/3) shares the joint-highest SR in the field with Izzari and Volto di Medusa, but holds two decisive edges: a 21% market inward move signals professional confidence, and the weight advantage is real — carrying 9-5 versus Izzari's 9-7 and Avatar Jet's 9-9, meaning a 2-4lb lbs benefit despite matching SR. Ian Williams posts a solid 13% stable strike rate with Billy Loughnane — one of the busiest and most effective jockeys in Britain at 19% — an elite booking that reinforces the market move. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) and off a mark 1lb below last win (MarkMv:-1) puts him in a structurally favoured position, and while DistFit:- is a flag, at 1m13y on AW it's a trip many 'non-proven' horses handle when conditions are benign. Each-way alternative: Aim For The Bull. Main danger: Izzari — Izzari (SR:70, 4/1) has shortened 20% in the market and matches Just Typical on raw ability — the concern is DistFit:- and GoingFit:- both firing negative, but the money coming in this strongly on an AW specialist course suggests connections believe those flags are misleading.