Race Card Explorer BETA

15:20 Kempton (AW) 5 Sep 2026 William Hill Sirenia Stakes (Group 3)

9 Runners
Class 1 Class
6f Trip
Good to Soft Going

Racecard

Adaay of Scarlett

Rossa Ryan Hugo Palmer

113SR 104RPR 106OR 4/1Odds

Cross-lens signals 3 chips

Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

-35 pts trend

↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 43 · Field avg 61 -19

Going Record

on Good to Soft

✓ Proven

1 win, 1 placed · 4 runs

25% 25% 50%

This runner 0% · Field avg 42% -42

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

↑ Jockey hot

Rossa Ryan 538 wins from 3035 rides 18 WIN %
Hugo Palmer 208 wins from 1623 runners 13 WIN %
Pairing 1 win from 21 together 5WIN %

Agamemnon

Finley Marsh Richard Hughes

96SR 102RPR 104OR 15/2Odds

Cross-lens signals 1 chip

Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

-2 pts trend

→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 51 · Field avg 61 -11

Going Record

on Good to Soft

✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 5 runs

20% 40% 40%

This runner 0% · Field avg 42% -42

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

♨ Warm pairing

Finley Marsh 223 wins from 1637 rides 14 WIN %
Richard Hughes 216 wins from 1431 runners 15 WIN %
Pairing 103 wins from 612 together 17WIN %

Moonrise

Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding

111SR 103RPR 100OR 3/1Odds

No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs

-12 pts trend

→ Steady 4 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 85 · Field avg 61 +24

Going Record

on Good to Soft

✓ Proven

1 win, 0 placed · 1 run

100%

This runner 100% · Field avg 42% +58

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

🔥 Hot pairing

Oisin Murphy 611 wins from 2840 rides 22 WIN %
Andrew Balding 572 wins from 3169 runners 18 WIN %
Pairing 193 wins from 898 together 21WIN %

Social Symbol

Rob Hornby Simon & Ed Crisford

89SR 102RPR 96OR 14/1Odds

No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

+3 pts trend

→ Steady 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 62 · Field avg 61 0

Going Record

on Good to Soft

✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 3 runs

33% 67%

This runner 0% · Field avg 42% -42

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

↑ Trainer hot

Rob Hornby 246 wins from 2166 rides 11 WIN %
Simon & Ed Crisford 224 wins from 1165 runners 19 WIN %
Pairing 0 wins from 2 together 0WIN %

Tawakal

Jack Mitchell Simon & Ed Crisford

96SR 71RPR 93OR 11/8Odds

Cross-lens signals 1 chip

Going question Headline rating is strong, but they've never been tested on today's going. The unknown bit of the form. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs

0 pts trend

→ Steady 2 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 70 · Field avg 61 +9

Going Record

on Good to Soft

No runs on Good to Soft — untested.

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

🔥 Hot pairing

Jack Mitchell 304 wins from 1906 rides 16 WIN %
Simon & Ed Crisford 224 wins from 1165 runners 19 WIN %
Pairing 40 wins from 151 together 26WIN %

Bated Benevolence

Benoit de la Sayette Marco Botti

75SR 89RPR 86OR 33/1Odds

Cross-lens signals 1 chip

Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

-30 pts trend

↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 60 · Field avg 61 -1

Going Record

on Good to Soft

✓ Proven

2 wins, 1 placed · 4 runs

50% 25% 25%

This runner 50% · Field avg 42% +8

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

~ Mixed

Benoit de la Sayette 87 wins from 680 rides 13 WIN %
Marco Botti 148 wins from 920 runners 16 WIN %
Pairing 5 wins from 58 together 9WIN %

Efsixteen

Callum Rodriguez George Scott

89SR 95RPR 88OR 11/1Odds

No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs

0 pts trend

→ Steady 1 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 55 · Field avg 61 -6

Going Record

on Good to Soft

No runs on Good to Soft — untested.

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

🔥 Hot pairing

Callum Rodriguez 268 wins from 1371 rides 20 WIN %
George Scott 177 wins from 917 runners 19 WIN %
Pairing 7 wins from 23 together 30WIN %

Nicely

Rowan Scott Kevin Philippart De Foy

77SR 94RPR 89OR 22/1Odds

Cross-lens signals 2 chips

Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

-25 pts trend

↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 63 · Field avg 61 +1

Going Record

on Good to Soft

✓ Proven

1 win, 1 placed · 4 runs

25% 25% 50%

This runner 100% · Field avg 42% +58

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

♨ Warm pairing

Rowan Scott 176 wins from 1550 rides 11 WIN %
Kevin Philippart de Foy 112 wins from 713 runners 16 WIN %
Pairing 14 wins from 72 together 19WIN %

Shimmering Sun

Daniel Muscutt Harry Eustace

80SR 96RPR 94OR 20/1Odds

No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

0 pts trend

→ Steady 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 65 · Field avg 61 +4

Going Record

on Good to Soft

✓ Proven

2 wins, 1 placed · 4 runs

50% 25% 25%

This runner 0% · Field avg 42% -42

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

♨ Warm pairing

Daniel Muscutt 250 wins from 1800 rides 14 WIN %
Harry Eustace 77 wins from 609 runners 13 WIN %
Pairing 3 wins from 16 together 19WIN %

Anomalies

cross-lens disagreement

3 Value

3 Caution

2 Trap

Flags fire when two lenses disagree. Gold = value crack; Amber = caution; Rust = trap.

Pace Map

FRONT ↔ REAR · last 6 runs

🐢 Slow pace

Slow pace likely — lone front-runner gets an easy lead.

FRONT REAR

Draw Map

stall 1 ↔ 10

Stall layout only. Course bias analysis ships when historical draw data lands.

LOW · 1 HIGH · 10

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Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers

3 Steamers

5 Drifters

1 Flat