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16:20 Southwell (AW) 17 Sep 2026 Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Nursery Handicap Stakes

  • 13 Runners
  • Class 6 Class
  • 6f16y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Wopbopaloomop

Jack Callan Richard Spencer

68SR 72RPR 61OR 11/4Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+22 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 41 · Field avg 39 +2

Going Record

on Good
20%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 0 placed · 5 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 27% +6

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Jack Callan 121 wins from 874 rides 14 WIN %
  • Richard Spencer 100 wins from 691 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 18 together 17WIN %
2

Crowned

Lewis Edmunds Michael Keady

69SR 68RPR 65OR 7/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+35 pts trend
↗ Climbing 5 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 78 · Field avg 39 +39

Going Record

on Good
80%
★ Specialist

2 wins, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 27% +73

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Lewis Edmunds 236 wins from 1973 rides 12 WIN %
  • Michael Keady 26 wins from 427 runners 6 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 7 together 29WIN %
3

Stoney Wood

Callum Shepherd Michael Bell

58SR 66RPR 63OR 4/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+35 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 39 +4

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 2 placed · 6 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 27% +23

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Callum Shepherd 261 wins from 1754 rides 15 WIN %
  • Michael Bell 138 wins from 1041 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 13 wins from 106 together 12WIN %
4

Polly The Sniper

William Cox Tom Dascombe

46SR 67RPR 63OR 18/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+10 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 45 · Field avg 39 +6

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 2 placed · 6 runs

This runner 25% · Field avg 27% -2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • William Cox 34 wins from 692 rides 5 WIN %
  • Tom Dascombe 63 wins from 502 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 4 wins from 64 together 6WIN %
5

Classyfied

James Sullivan Tim Easterby

50SR 59RPR 62OR 16/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+7 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 39 -1

Going Record

on Good
20%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 5 runs

This runner 25% · Field avg 27% -2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • James Sullivan 119 wins from 1416 rides 8 WIN %
  • Tim Easterby 510 wins from 4797 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 12 wins from 162 together 7WIN %
6

Boutblummintime

Oisin McSweeney Adrian Keatley

60SR 73RPR 61OR 12/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 30 · Field avg 39 -9

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 5 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 27% -27

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Oisin McSweeney 67 wins from 656 rides 10 WIN %
  • Adrian Keatley 119 wins from 780 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 20 wins from 127 together 16WIN %
7

Sable Island

Silvestre De Sousa Chris Dwyer

58SR 68RPR 61OR 17/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+12 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 31 · Field avg 39 -8

Going Record

on Good
22%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 2 placed · 9 runs

This runner 29% · Field avg 27% +2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Silvestre De Sousa 223 wins from 1615 rides 14 WIN %
  • Chris Dwyer 31 wins from 237 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 11 wins from 93 together 12WIN %
8

Harry Who

Ryan Sexton Richard & Peter Fahey

57SR 65RPR 59OR 9/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 37 · Field avg 39 -2

Going Record

on Good
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 27% -27

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Ryan Sexton 95 wins from 779 rides 12 WIN %
  • Richard & Peter Fahey 71 wins from 727 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 4 together 0WIN %
9

Sovereign Beach

David Probert Ollie Sangster

50SR 63RPR 58OR 16/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-22 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 31 · Field avg 39 -8

Going Record

on Good
14%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 7 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 27% -27

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • David Probert 326 wins from 2455 rides 13 WIN %
  • Ollie Sangster 111 wins from 811 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 7 together 14WIN %
10

Secret Rival

Ashley Lewis(3) Ed Walker

52SR 60RPR 57OR 11/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+20 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 39 -4

Going Record

on Good
20%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 5 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 27% +6

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Ashley Lewis 74 wins from 561 rides 13 WIN %
  • Ed Walker 259 wins from 1645 runners 16 WIN %
  • Pairing 19 wins from 98 together 19WIN %
11

Pageant Girl

Luke Morris James Owen

34SR 60RPR 57OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 23 · Field avg 39 -16

Going Record

on Good
14%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 0 placed · 7 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 27% +23

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Luke Morris 385 wins from 3160 rides 12 WIN %
  • James Owen 444 wins from 2381 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 26 wins from 153 together 17WIN %
12

Defiant Dream

Tyler Heard Mark Usher

36SR 59RPR 56OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+30 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 39 +1

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 6 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 27% -27

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Tyler Heard 52 wins from 729 rides 7 WIN %
  • Mark Usher 72 wins from 683 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 12 wins from 146 together 8WIN %
13

So Tempting

Rob Hornby Tom Ward

44SR 58RPR 52OR -Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 39 -4

Going Record

on Good
12%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 8 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 27% -27

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Rob Hornby 246 wins from 2166 rides 11 WIN %
  • Tom Ward 70 wins from 667 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 29 together 7WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
4 Steamers
5 Drifters
4 Flat