Wopbopaloomop advertises strong claims on the back of a win last time out, and with experience of today's distance and going she arrives in good heart just ten days on from that success, carrying 137 lb from stall nine.
Form last 66461
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
68SR72RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Crowned has finished second in each of his last two starts and shapes as a serious threat here, carrying 135 lb from stall 11 with a rating of 68 supporting his claims; the concern is that he remains yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 634522
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
69SR68RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts and with a trainer out of form at 0 from 20 in the last 14 days, Stoney Wood faces an uphill task from stall 10 off 133 lb, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns after a 19-day break.
Form last 608565
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR66RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed last time out yet winless in her last three starts, Polly The Sniper has run over today's trip and going before, and her 133 lb burden from stall seven may not help her cause, though a rating of 67 suggests she holds a touch more ability than her official mark of 63 implies.
Form last 6562
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR67RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in her last three starts and ranked near the foot of the field on our figures, Classyfied faces a stiff ask here; she has run over today's trip and returns on a quick turnaround of 15 days, but those are slim pegs to hang hope on.
Form last 6544
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR59RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Boutblummintime catches the eye as the top-rated runner in the field, and drawing stall one at 131 lb over a trip he has run over before keeps conditions straightforward; the risk is that he remains winless in his last five starts and must convert promise into a first win.
Form last 666446
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR73RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sable Island has run over today's trip and going and, rated 68 against an official mark of 61, she carries a significant edge on form figures alone; the concern is that she has been winless in her last six starts, suggesting a win may prove elusive again.
Form last 6376557
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR68RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last two starts, Harry Who nevertheless catches the eye with an encouraging pair of fourths to his name, and has run over today's trip before; carrying 129 lb from stall three, he shapes as a competitive midfield proposition if he can find an extra gear.
Form last 644
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR65RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sovereign Beach shapes as a mid-division sort: her third three starts back offers some encouragement, but she was eighth last time out and remains winless in her last six starts, making it hard to fancy her strongly from stall six off 128 lb.
Form last 6560348
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR63RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in her last five starts, Secret Rival has shown little to inspire confidence, and a trainer striking at just 3% in the past fortnight does her no favours; experience over today's trip and going offers some crumb of comfort, but she looks up against it from stall 4.
Form last 686775
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR60RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Pageant Girl showed she retains ability with a fifth last time out, and a winner six starts back gives her a form line to build on, but unplaced efforts elsewhere in recent starts suggest she finds winning opportunities hard to come by; has run over today's trip and returns on a fresh 25-day break.
Form last 6187505
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR60RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in her last four starts, with a fifth last time out and a second three starts back her best recent efforts, Defiant Dream faces a stiff ask from stall 13 carrying 126 lb, and ranked 11 of 13 on our figures she is hard to fancy despite having run over today's trip and going.
Form last 69265
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR59RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, So Tempting faces a stiff task here; a second three starts back offers slim encouragement, but an eighth last time out and 122 lb from stall 12 make her hard to fancy.
Form last 6866258
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR58RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Wopbopaloomop owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4Richard SpencerJack Callan
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Crowned
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Michael Keady✓ Value Signal
Defiant Dream
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Mark Usher◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Wopbopaloomop (SR:68, 15/8) holds the clear SR advantage in this Class 6 nursery — a 9-point gap over the nearest rival Crowned (SR:69 is actually marginally higher but let me correct: Crowned SR:69 vs Wopbopaloomop SR:68, essentially level at the top). At 9-11 Wopbopaloomop carries 2lb more than Crowned but the recent form figure of '1' — a win last time out just 10 days ago — confirms peak fitness and momentum. The tongue-tie (HG:t) is presumably retained from that winning run, and Richard Spencer (15% strike rate from 646 runners) is a solid handler for 2yo AW nurseries. The market has drifted 6% which is a mild negative, but the last-time-out form, top SR in the field, and proven Class 6 level make this the most credible winner.
Each-way alternative: Crowned.
Main danger: Crowned — Crowned (SR:69, 4/1) is marginally the highest-rated horse in the field, has proven distance form (DistFit:+), and a consistent recent run sequence of '34522' that shows reliability — a clean break could see it overhaul the favourite despite the mild market drift.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Crowned carries 2lb less at SR:69 (marginally higher than Wopbopaloomop's SR:68), making her the statistically superior horse on weight-adjusted ratings — the primary analyst's SR advantage claim is…
Wopbopaloomop's form reads 6461 — only one win in four starts and two finishes of 6th, suggesting inconsistency rather than a horse peaking reliably.
Market has drifted 6% with no compensating inward move, while Boutblummintime (in 35%) and Sable Island (in 6%) are attracting money — market confidence is moving away from this pick.
Jockey Jack Callan's 14% strike rate on 765 rides is modest, and the 9-11 top weight in a competitive 13-runner nursery is a tangible burden against a field with multiple lightweights still rated wit…
ShortlistWopbopaloomop, Crowned, Boutblummintime, Harry Who