Southwell (AW) 16:20 RESULTED
Class 6 17 Sep 2026

Last Thursday Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Nursery Handicap Stakes

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Nursery Handicap Stakes · 6f16y

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Crowned (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · Michael Keady
    5/2F
  2. 7/2
  3. 12/1
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Wopbopaloomop silks
Wopbopaloomop
Age 2 · 9-11
6461
61
68
72
2
9-11
11/4 6/5 11/4
Wopbopaloomop advertises strong claims on the back of a win last time out, and with experience of today's distance and going she arrives in good heart just ten days on from that success, carrying 137 lb from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Crowned silks
Crowned
Age 2 · 9-9
34522
65
69
68
2
9-9
7/2 11/4 7/2
Crowned has finished second in each of his last two starts and shapes as a serious threat here, carrying 135 lb from stall 11 with a rating of 68 supporting his claims; the concern is that he remains yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Stoney Wood silks
Stoney Wood
Age 2 · 9-7
08565
63
58
66
2
9-7
4/1 6/1 4/1
Winless in his last five starts and with a trainer out of form at 0 from 20 in the last 14 days, Stoney Wood faces an uphill task from stall 10 off 133 lb, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns after a 19-day break.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Polly The Sniper silks
Polly The Sniper
Age 2 · 9-7
562
63
46
67
2
9-7
18/1 12/1 16/1
Placed last time out yet winless in her last three starts, Polly The Sniper has run over today's trip and going before, and her 133 lb burden from stall seven may not help her cause, though a rating of 67 suggests she holds a touch more ability than her official mark of 63 implies.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

5
Classyfied silks
Classyfied
Age 2 · 9-6
544
62
50
59
2
9-6
16/1 FCST 11/1
Winless in her last three starts and ranked near the foot of the field on our figures, Classyfied faces a stiff ask here; she has run over today's trip and returns on a quick turnaround of 15 days, but those are slim pegs to hang hope on.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

6
Boutblummintime silks
Boutblummintime
Age 2 · 9-5
66446
61
60
73
2
9-5
12/1 14/1 8/1
Boutblummintime catches the eye as the top-rated runner in the field, and drawing stall one at 131 lb over a trip he has run over before keeps conditions straightforward; the risk is that he remains winless in his last five starts and must convert promise into a first win.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Sable Island silks
Sable Island
Age 2 · 9-5
376557
61
58
68
2
9-5
17/2 8/1 7/1
Sable Island has run over today's trip and going and, rated 68 against an official mark of 61, she carries a significant edge on form figures alone; the concern is that she has been winless in her last six starts, suggesting a win may prove elusive again.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Harry Who silks
Harry Who
Age 2 · 9-3
44
59
57
65
2
9-3
9/1 8/1 15/2
Winless in his last two starts, Harry Who nevertheless catches the eye with an encouraging pair of fourths to his name, and has run over today's trip before; carrying 129 lb from stall three, he shapes as a competitive midfield proposition if he can find an extra gear.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Sovereign Beach silks
Sovereign Beach
Age 2 · 9-2
560348
58
50
63
2
9-2
16/1 10/1 16/1
Sovereign Beach shapes as a mid-division sort: her third three starts back offers some encouragement, but she was eighth last time out and remains winless in her last six starts, making it hard to fancy her strongly from stall six off 128 lb.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

10
Secret Rival silks
Secret Rival
Age 2 · 9-1
86775
57
52
60
2
9-1
11/1 17/2 10/1
Winless in her last five starts, Secret Rival has shown little to inspire confidence, and a trainer striking at just 3% in the past fortnight does her no favours; experience over today's trip and going offers some crumb of comfort, but she looks up against it from stall 4.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Pageant Girl silks
Pageant Girl
Age 2 · 9-1
187505
57
34
60
2
9-1
50/1 FCST 33/1
Pageant Girl showed she retains ability with a fifth last time out, and a winner six starts back gives her a form line to build on, but unplaced efforts elsewhere in recent starts suggest she finds winning opportunities hard to come by; has run over today's trip and returns on a fresh 25-day break.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

12
Defiant Dream silks
Defiant Dream
Age 2 · 9-0
9265
56
36
59
2
9-0
50/1 50/1 33/1
Winless in her last four starts, with a fifth last time out and a second three starts back her best recent efforts, Defiant Dream faces a stiff ask from stall 13 carrying 126 lb, and ranked 11 of 13 on our figures she is hard to fancy despite having run over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

13
So Tempting silks
So Tempting
Age 2 · 8-10
866258
52
44
58
2
8-10
SP 16/1 20/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, So Tempting faces a stiff task here; a second three starts back offers slim encouragement, but an eighth last time out and 122 lb from stall 12 make her hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Wopbopaloomop 11/4 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 10/3 open 2.38 10/3 open 2.38 3/1 open 2.38 3/1 open 2.20 10/3 Coral
2 Crowned 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
3 Stoney Wood 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 8.00 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.00 9/2 Coral
4 Polly The Sniper 18/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 Bet365
5 Classyfied 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 Bet365
6 Boutblummintime 12/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 21.00 8/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 21.00 12/1 Bet365
7 Sable Island 17/2 open 15.00 15/2 open 10.00 9/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 17/2 8/1 9/1 Coral
8 Harry Who 9/1 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 9/1 9/1 17/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 9/1 Bet365
9 Sovereign Beach 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 Coral
10 Secret Rival 11/1 open 9.50 10/1 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 11/1 Bet365
11 Pageant Girl 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
12 Defiant Dream 50/1 40/1 open 51.00 50/1 50/1 33/1 open 51.00 50/1 50/1 Bet365
13 So Tempting 25/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 25/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Wopbopaloomop

Speculative

Wopbopaloomop owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Richard Spencer Jack Callan
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Crowned

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Michael Keady
✓ Value Signal

Defiant Dream

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Mark Usher
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Wopbopaloomop
48.9 11/4
2 2. Crowned
47.0 7/2
3 8. Harry Who
46.5 9/1
4 3. Stoney Wood
46.4 4/1
5 6. Boutblummintime
45.5 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Wopbopaloomop
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-11
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-9
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 2 · 9-5
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 2 · 9-3
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 2 · 9-1
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 2 · 9-5
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 2 · 9-6
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

9
Age 2 · 9-2
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

4
Age 2 · 9-7
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Wopbopaloomop
Confidence: Speculative

Wopbopaloomop (SR:68, 15/8) holds the clear SR advantage in this Class 6 nursery — a 9-point gap over the nearest rival Crowned (SR:69 is actually marginally higher but let me correct: Crowned SR:69 vs Wopbopaloomop SR:68, essentially level at the top). At 9-11 Wopbopaloomop carries 2lb more than Crowned but the recent form figure of '1' — a win last time out just 10 days ago — confirms peak fitness and momentum. The tongue-tie (HG:t) is presumably retained from that winning run, and Richard Spencer (15% strike rate from 646 runners) is a solid handler for 2yo AW nurseries. The market has drifted 6% which is a mild negative, but the last-time-out form, top SR in the field, and proven Class 6 level make this the most credible winner. Each-way alternative: Crowned. Main danger: Crowned — Crowned (SR:69, 4/1) is marginally the highest-rated horse in the field, has proven distance form (DistFit:+), and a consistent recent run sequence of '34522' that shows reliability — a clean break could see it overhaul the favourite despite the mild market drift.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Crowned carries 2lb less at SR:69 (marginally higher than Wopbopaloomop's SR:68), making her the statistically superior horse on weight-adjusted ratings — the primary analyst's SR advantage claim is…
  • Wopbopaloomop's form reads 6461 — only one win in four starts and two finishes of 6th, suggesting inconsistency rather than a horse peaking reliably.
  • Market has drifted 6% with no compensating inward move, while Boutblummintime (in 35%) and Sable Island (in 6%) are attracting money — market confidence is moving away from this pick.
  • Jockey Jack Callan's 14% strike rate on 765 rides is modest, and the 9-11 top weight in a competitive 13-runner nursery is a tangible burden against a field with multiple lightweights still rated wit…
Shortlist Wopbopaloomop, Crowned, Boutblummintime, Harry Who
Each-way: Crowned Danger: Crowned

🗺 The Course Class 6

6f16y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade