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16:47 Leicester 21 Sep 2026 Fireworks Festival 7th November 2026 - Book Now Handicap Stakes

  • 14 Runners
  • Class 4 Class
  • 1m0f53y Trip
  • Good to Firm Going
Racecard
1

Breakdancer

Mason Paetel(3) Simon & Ed Crisford

70SR 85RPR 82OR 10/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-12 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 36 · Field avg 43 -7

Going Record

on Good to Firm
38%
~ Mixed

1 win, 4 placed · 13 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 39% -39

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • Mason Paetel 57 wins from 526 rides 11 WIN %
  • Simon & Ed Crisford 224 wins from 1165 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 9 together 11WIN %
2

Wesam

Stevie Donohoe Saeed bin Suroor

82SR 78RPR 81OR 6/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 4 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-42 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 41 · Field avg 43 -2

Going Record

on Good to Firm
20%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 0 placed · 5 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 39% -39

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • Stevie Donohoe 43 wins from 359 rides 12 WIN %
  • Saeed bin Suroor 71 wins from 357 runners 20 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 2 together 0WIN %
3

Spy Kingdom

William Carson Adam Kirby

60SR 84RPR 79OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
-38 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 27 · Field avg 43 -16

Going Record

on Good to Firm
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 1 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 39% -39

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • William Carson 123 wins from 1273 rides 10 WIN %
  • Adam Kirby 24 wins from 205 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 19 together 11WIN %
4

Metallo

David Egan John Butler

79SR 88RPR 76OR 13/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+17 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 43 0

Going Record

on Good to Firm
29%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 4 placed · 17 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 39% +61

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • David Egan 288 wins from 2135 rides 13 WIN %
  • John Butler 155 wins from 1184 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 18 wins from 116 together 16WIN %
5

Home Hero

Cieren Fallon Hugo Palmer

85SR 78RPR 79OR 11/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-45 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 43 +10

Going Record

on Good to Firm
30%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 1 placed · 10 runs

This runner 25% · Field avg 39% -14

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Jockey hot
  • Cieren Fallon 345 wins from 1960 rides 18 WIN %
  • Hugo Palmer 208 wins from 1623 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 46 together 11WIN %
6

Burdett Estate

Duran Fentiman Brian Toomey

52SR 68RPR 78OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-37 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 43 -5

Going Record

on Good to Firm
60%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 39% -39

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Duran Fentiman 62 wins from 892 rides 7 WIN %
  • Brian Toomey 19 wins from 160 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
7

Trio

Charles Bishop Eve Johnson Houghton

83SR 78RPR 78OR 9/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-45 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 43 +10

Going Record

on Good to Firm
33%
★ Specialist

2 wins, 0 placed · 6 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 39% +11

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Charles Bishop 155 wins from 1585 rides 10 WIN %
  • Eve Johnson Houghton 179 wins from 1388 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 92 wins from 717 together 13WIN %
8

Bearin Up

Sean Kirrane Tim Easterby

85SR 84RPR 77OR 10/3Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+8 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 41 · Field avg 43 -2

Going Record

on Good to Firm
54%
✓ Proven

3 wins, 4 placed · 13 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 39% +11

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Sean Kirrane 131 wins from 1224 rides 11 WIN %
  • Tim Easterby 510 wins from 4797 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 79 wins from 674 together 12WIN %
9

Dovey Moon

P. J. McDonald David Evans

66SR 84RPR 73OR 11/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+7 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 37 · Field avg 43 -6

Going Record

on Good to Firm
37%
~ Mixed

4 wins, 3 placed · 19 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 39% -39

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • P. J. McDonald 211 wins from 1547 rides 14 WIN %
  • David Evans 132 wins from 1038 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 20 together 15WIN %
10

Glen Nevis

Silvestre De Sousa Charlie Johnston

75SR 79RPR 76OR 10/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-25 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 43 -6

Going Record

on Good to Firm
38%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 3 placed · 8 runs

This runner 40% · Field avg 39% +1

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Silvestre De Sousa 223 wins from 1615 rides 14 WIN %
  • Charlie Johnston 341 wins from 2613 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 57 together 9WIN %
11

Tortured Soul

Molly Gunn(5) Tony Carroll

52SR 72RPR 71OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 43 -8

Going Record

on Good to Firm
52%
✓ Proven

8 wins, 7 placed · 29 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 39% -39

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Molly Gunn 15 wins from 179 rides 8 WIN %
  • Tony Carroll 420 wins from 3318 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 14 wins from 162 together 9WIN %
12

Magnatura

Kieran Shoemark Tom Ward

76SR 85RPR 75OR 8/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-8 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 29 · Field avg 43 -14

Going Record

on Good to Firm
33%
~ Mixed

1 win, 2 placed · 9 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 39% -6

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Kieran Shoemark 286 wins from 2054 rides 14 WIN %
  • Tom Ward 70 wins from 667 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 41 together 7WIN %
13

Tamzan

Rob Hornby Marcus Tregoning

79SR 72RPR 75OR 10/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 6 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 84 · Field avg 43 +41

Going Record

on Good to Firm
67%
✓ Proven

2 wins, 4 placed · 9 runs

This runner 75% · Field avg 39% +36

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Rob Hornby 246 wins from 2166 rides 11 WIN %
  • Marcus Tregoning 34 wins from 417 runners 8 WIN %
  • Pairing 4 wins from 39 together 10WIN %
14

Island Bear

Billy Loughnane Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole

76SR 82RPR 73OR 8/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+37 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 48 · Field avg 43 +5

Going Record

on Good to Firm
50%
✓ Proven

1 win, 3 placed · 8 runs

This runner 60% · Field avg 39% +21

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Billy Loughnane 599 wins from 3255 rides 18 WIN %
  • Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole 109 wins from 969 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 6 wins from 33 together 18WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
5 Steamers
8 Drifters
1 Flat