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16:47 Leicester 21 Sep 2026 Fireworks Festival 7th November 2026 - Book Now Handicap Stakes

  • 14 Runners
  • Class 4 Class
  • 1m0f53y Trip
  • Good to Firm Going
Racecard
1

Breakdancer

Mason Paetel(3) Simon & Ed Crisford

70SR 85RPR 82OR 10/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+12 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 36 · Field avg 46 -10

Going Record

on Good to Firm
42%
~ Mixed

1 win, 4 placed · 12 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 38% -38

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • Mason Paetel 56 wins from 508 rides 11 WIN %
  • Simon & Ed Crisford 219 wins from 1128 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 7 together 14WIN %
2

Wesam

Stevie Donohoe Saeed bin Suroor

82SR 78RPR 81OR 6/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 5 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Pace collision Wants the lead, but three or more rivals want it too. A contested lead burns the front-runner and sets the race up for the closers. pace_map
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
-60 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 44 · Field avg 46 -2

Going Record

on Good to Firm
25%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 0 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 38% -38

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • Stevie Donohoe 42 wins from 343 rides 12 WIN %
  • Saeed bin Suroor 69 wins from 339 runners 20 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 2 together 0WIN %
3

Spy Kingdom

William Carson Adam Kirby

60SR 84RPR 79OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 33 · Field avg 46 -12

Going Record

on Good to Firm
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 1 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 38% -38

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • William Carson 121 wins from 1215 rides 10 WIN %
  • Adam Kirby 17 wins from 155 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 15 together 13WIN %
4

Metallo

David Egan John Butler

79SR 88RPR 76OR 13/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+10 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 46 -6

Going Record

on Good to Firm
25%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 3 placed · 16 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 38% +62

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • David Egan 273 wins from 2009 rides 14 WIN %
  • John Butler 148 wins from 1122 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 15 wins from 93 together 16WIN %
5

Home Hero

Cieren Fallon Hugo Palmer

85SR 78RPR 79OR 11/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Pace collision Wants the lead, but three or more rivals want it too. A contested lead burns the front-runner and sets the race up for the closers. pace_map

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-45 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 46 +7

Going Record

on Good to Firm
30%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 1 placed · 10 runs

This runner 25% · Field avg 38% -13

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Jockey hot
  • Cieren Fallon 327 wins from 1840 rides 18 WIN %
  • Hugo Palmer 201 wins from 1537 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 43 together 12WIN %
6

Burdett Estate

Duran Fentiman Brian Toomey

52SR 68RPR 78OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-58 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 44 · Field avg 46 -2

Going Record

on Good to Firm
60%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 38% -38

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Duran Fentiman 58 wins from 847 rides 7 WIN %
  • Brian Toomey 16 wins from 150 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
7

Trio

Charles Bishop Eve Johnson Houghton

83SR 78RPR 78OR 9/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-45 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 46 +7

Going Record

on Good to Firm
33%
★ Specialist

2 wins, 0 placed · 6 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 38% +12

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Charles Bishop 148 wins from 1473 rides 10 WIN %
  • Eve Johnson Houghton 171 wins from 1318 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 87 wins from 672 together 13WIN %
8

Bearin Up

Sean Kirrane Tim Easterby

85SR 84RPR 77OR 10/3Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-28 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 51 · Field avg 46 +5

Going Record

on Good to Firm
54%
✓ Proven

3 wins, 4 placed · 13 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 38% +12

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Sean Kirrane 129 wins from 1176 rides 11 WIN %
  • Tim Easterby 485 wins from 4580 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 77 wins from 651 together 12WIN %
9

Dovey Moon

P. J. McDonald David Evans

66SR 84RPR 73OR 11/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-25 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 46 · Field avg 46 0

Going Record

on Good to Firm
38%
~ Mixed

4 wins, 2 placed · 16 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 38% -38

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • P. J. McDonald 203 wins from 1476 rides 14 WIN %
  • David Evans 130 wins from 984 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 19 together 16WIN %
10

Glen Nevis

Silvestre De Sousa Charlie Johnston

75SR 79RPR 76OR 10/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+3 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 46 -2

Going Record

on Good to Firm
43%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 3 placed · 7 runs

This runner 40% · Field avg 38% +2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Silvestre De Sousa 218 wins from 1584 rides 14 WIN %
  • Charlie Johnston 326 wins from 2495 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 57 together 9WIN %
11

Tortured Soul

Molly Gunn(5) Tony Carroll

52SR 72RPR 71OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-52 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 51 · Field avg 46 +5

Going Record

on Good to Firm
56%
✓ Proven

8 wins, 7 placed · 27 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 38% -38

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Molly Gunn 15 wins from 169 rides 9 WIN %
  • Tony Carroll 413 wins from 3205 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 14 wins from 152 together 9WIN %
12

Magnatura

Kieran Shoemark Tom Ward

76SR 85RPR 75OR 8/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-13 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 32 · Field avg 46 -14

Going Record

on Good to Firm
33%
~ Mixed

1 win, 2 placed · 9 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 38% -5

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Kieran Shoemark 270 wins from 1942 rides 14 WIN %
  • Tom Ward 70 wins from 628 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 33 together 9WIN %
13

Tamzan

Rob Hornby Marcus Tregoning

79SR 72RPR 75OR 10/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+15 pts trend
↗ Climbing 5 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 74 · Field avg 46 +28

Going Record

on Good to Firm
67%
✓ Proven

2 wins, 4 placed · 9 runs

This runner 75% · Field avg 38% +37

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Rob Hornby 238 wins from 2046 rides 12 WIN %
  • Marcus Tregoning 31 wins from 394 runners 8 WIN %
  • Pairing 4 wins from 39 together 10WIN %
14

Island Bear

Billy Loughnane Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole

76SR 82RPR 73OR 8/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Pace collision Wants the lead, but three or more rivals want it too. A contested lead burns the front-runner and sets the race up for the closers. pace_map

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+25 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 46 -3

Going Record

on Good to Firm
50%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 6 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 38% +12

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Billy Loughnane 558 wins from 3031 rides 18 WIN %
  • Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole 109 wins from 968 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 6 wins from 33 together 18WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
5 Steamers
8 Drifters
1 Flat