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17:30 Kempton (AW) 23 Sep 2026 Racing Tv Fillies' Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)

  • 10 Runners
  • Class 5 Class
  • 1m Trip
  • Good to Soft Going
Racecard
1

Freda

Ashley Lewis(3) Pat Phelan

78SR 82RPR 70OR 7/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 43 -3

Going Record

on Good to Soft
60%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 26% +7

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Ashley Lewis 74 wins from 561 rides 13 WIN %
  • Pat Phelan 20 wins from 264 runners 8 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 2 together 0WIN %
2

Liberate

Finley Marsh Jim & Suzi Best

53SR 72RPR 70OR 22/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 43 -8

Going Record

on Good to Soft
7%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 0 placed · 15 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 26% -26

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Finley Marsh 223 wins from 1637 rides 14 WIN %
  • Jim & Suzi Best 32 wins from 356 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 55 together 4WIN %
3

Mollie Foster

Jason Watson Mark Loughnane

45SR 83RPR 68OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 23 · Field avg 43 -21

Going Record

on Good to Soft
42%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 3 placed · 12 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 26% +24

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Jason Watson 253 wins from 1906 rides 13 WIN %
  • Mark Loughnane 130 wins from 1309 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 8 together 0WIN %
4

Nothing But Love

Callum Hutchinson Dr Jon Scargill

71SR 72RPR 68OR 8/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+38 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 55 · Field avg 43 +12

Going Record

on Good to Soft
33%
~ Mixed

1 win, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 26% -26

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Callum Hutchinson 118 wins from 1007 rides 12 WIN %
  • Dr Jon Scargill 1 wins from 7 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 4 together 25WIN %
5

Too Too Divine

George Wood James Fanshawe

63SR 70RPR 70OR 15/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+8 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 46 · Field avg 43 +3

Going Record

on Good to Soft
50%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 1 placed · 2 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 26% +74

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • George Wood 133 wins from 1248 rides 11 WIN %
  • James Fanshawe 156 wins from 859 runners 18 WIN %
  • Pairing 8 wins from 51 together 16WIN %
6

Protectrix

Billy Loughnane John Butler

66SR 57RPR 68OR 2/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+42 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 50 · Field avg 43 +7

Going Record

on Good to Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 26% -26

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Billy Loughnane 599 wins from 3255 rides 18 WIN %
  • John Butler 155 wins from 1184 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 8 wins from 26 together 31WIN %
7

Bofa Beach

David Egan John Butler

63SR 81RPR 68OR 12/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+38 pts trend
↗ Climbing 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 56 · Field avg 43 +13

Going Record

on Good to Soft
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 2 placed · 6 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 26% -26

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • David Egan 288 wins from 2135 rides 13 WIN %
  • John Butler 155 wins from 1184 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 18 wins from 116 together 16WIN %
8

Goomah

Sean Levey John Butler

66SR 73RPR 68OR 7/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+12 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 43 -1

Going Record

on Good to Soft
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 2 placed · 6 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 26% -26

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Sean Levey 241 wins from 1888 rides 13 WIN %
  • John Butler 155 wins from 1184 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 31 together 3WIN %
9

Sunshine And Roses

Rose Dawes(5) Jack Channon

66SR 67RPR 62OR 17/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 50 · Field avg 43 +7

Going Record

on Good to Soft
44%
~ Mixed

1 win, 6 placed · 16 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 26% -26

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Rose Dawes 37 wins from 290 rides 13 WIN %
  • Jack Channon 135 wins from 941 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 10 wins from 88 together 11WIN %
10

Case Study

Luke Morris Laura Mongan

39SR 62RPR 57OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 43 -8

Going Record

on Good to Soft
14%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 7 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 26% -26

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Luke Morris 385 wins from 3160 rides 12 WIN %
  • Laura Mongan 10 wins from 188 runners 5 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 51 together 10WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
4 Steamers
6 Drifters
0 Flat