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19:00 Wolverhampton (AW) 28 Sep 2026 Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes

  • 10 Runners
  • Class 6 Class
  • 1m5f219y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Trojan Truth

Luke Morris Ed de Giles

56SR 62RPR 55OR 13/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 47 · Field avg 40 +7

Going Record

on Good
44%
~ Mixed

7 wins, 11 placed · 41 runs

This runner 44% · Field avg 26% +18

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Luke Morris 374 wins from 3046 rides 12 WIN %
  • Ed de Giles 43 wins from 437 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 4 wins from 48 together 8WIN %
2

Lednikov

Elle-May Croot(5) Ivan Furtado

42SR 53RPR 50OR 14/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+7 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 33 · Field avg 40 -6

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

7 wins, 10 placed · 52 runs

This runner 24% · Field avg 26% -2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Elle-May Croot 16 wins from 170 rides 9 WIN %
  • Ivan Furtado 99 wins from 1033 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 15 wins from 146 together 10WIN %
3

Wonderful Wendy

Joe Leavy James Evans

50SR 53RPR 49OR 15/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-10 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 40 -5

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 6 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 26% -26

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Joe Leavy 147 wins from 1276 rides 12 WIN %
  • James Evans 67 wins from 482 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 25 wins from 124 together 20WIN %
4

Zafaan

Billy Loughnane Charlie Clover

63SR 52RPR 49OR 11/8Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+35 pts trend
↗ Climbing 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 73 · Field avg 40 +33

Going Record

on Good
38%
~ Mixed

5 wins, 7 placed · 32 runs

This runner 43% · Field avg 26% +17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
★ Both hot
  • Billy Loughnane 571 wins from 3102 rides 18 WIN %
  • Charlie Clover 38 wins from 177 runners 21 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 7 together 14WIN %
5

Baileys Warrior

Robert Havlin Thomas Faulkner

43SR 54RPR 48OR 14/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+12 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 31 · Field avg 40 -9

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 11 placed · 39 runs

This runner 40% · Field avg 26% +14

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Robert Havlin 242 wins from 1572 rides 15 WIN %
  • Thomas Faulkner 35 wins from 292 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 9 wins from 73 together 12WIN %
6

Billingsgate Gold

Marco Ghiani Stuart Williams

40SR 48RPR 54OR 12/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 23 · Field avg 40 -17

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 5 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 26% -26

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Marco Ghiani 273 wins from 1686 rides 16 WIN %
  • Stuart Williams 163 wins from 1199 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 65 wins from 375 together 17WIN %
7

Bigz Belief

Gina Mangan Miss Celine De La Haye

31SR 53RPR 46OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-2 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 49 · Field avg 40 +10

Going Record

on Good
25%
✗ Avoid

2 wins, 9 placed · 44 runs

This runner 36% · Field avg 26% +10

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Gina Mangan 101 wins from 899 rides 11 WIN %
  • Miss Celine De La Haye 6 wins from 51 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 2 together 0WIN %
8

Late Claim

Finlay Bassett(7) John Mackie

26SR 48RPR 46OR 28/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-8 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 40 -2

Going Record

on Good
32%
~ Mixed

1 win, 5 placed · 19 runs

This runner 38% · Field avg 26% +12

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Finlay Bassett 0 wins from 49 rides 0 WIN %
  • John Mackie 33 wins from 309 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 24 together 0WIN %
9

Dijon Gone

George Bass Denis Coakley

55SR 54RPR 50OR 5/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+20 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 40 -5

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 7 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 26% -26

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • George Bass 69 wins from 556 rides 12 WIN %
  • Denis Coakley 35 wins from 325 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 13 wins from 111 together 12WIN %
10

Long Reign

Tyler Heard Marcus Tregoning

35SR 39RPR 49OR 14/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+15 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 34 · Field avg 40 -6

Going Record

on Good
25%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 4 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 26% +7

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Tyler Heard 52 wins from 702 rides 7 WIN %
  • Marcus Tregoning 32 wins from 403 runners 8 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 3 together 0WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
2 Steamers
6 Drifters
2 Flat