Wolverhampton (AW) 19:00 RESULTED
Class 6 28 Sep 2026

Last Monday Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes · 1m5f219y

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Zafaan (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Charlie Clover
    11/10F
  2. 9/1
  3. 14/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Trojan Truth silks
Trojan Truth
Age 7 · 9-12
632535
55
56
62
7
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 11/2 13/2
Trojan Truth shaped with promise when third two starts back and second four starts back, and he returns on a quick ten-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and going to call upon; yet to score in recent starts, but our rating marks him as the one to beat here.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Lednikov silks
Lednikov
Age 8 · 9-7
557435
50
42
53
8
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 13/2 14/1
Lednikov has run over today's trip and going before, and a third two starts back offers encouragement, but he remains winless in his last six and faces a stiff task from a mark of 50 carrying 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 42 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Wonderful Wendy silks
Wonderful Wendy
Age 4 · 9-6
-56254
49
50
53
4
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 4/1 7/1
Wonderful Wendy shaped with promise when second three starts back, and our rating of 53 suggests she holds solid claims here despite carrying 132 lb; the risk is that she has been winless in her last five starts and must convert that promise.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Zafaan silks
Zafaan
Age 6 · 9-6
55-145
49
63
52
6
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
11/8 28/15 5/4
Zafaan won three starts back but has struggled to recapture that form since, finishing fourth and then fifth on his two most recent outings, and 24 days off the track adds a small question mark; he has run over today's going before and carries 132 lb in a competitive heat.
AI verdict

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Baileys Warrior silks
Baileys Warrior
Age 8 · 9-5
000-36
48
43
54
8
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 17/2 12/1
Placed third two starts back, Baileys Warrior brings legitimate claims having run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 54 marks her out as a strong threat; the risk is that she has been winless in her last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 43 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Billingsgate Gold silks
Billingsgate Gold
Age 3 · 9-4
06067
54
40
48
3
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 12/1 11/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Billingsgate Gold faces a stiff ask here, though she returns on a going surface she has encountered before and a 30-day break may have freshened her up.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

7
Bigz Belief silks
Bigz Belief
Age 9 · 9-3
428325
46
31
53
9
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 16/1 33/1
Bigz Belief has shown he can compete at this level, finishing second and third in recent starts, yet he remains winless in his last six and a fifth last time out is a concern; experience over today's trip and going at least removes any unknowns about conditions.
AI verdict

SR 31 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Late Claim silks
Late Claim
Age 5 · 9-3
643786
46
26
48
5
9-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 18/1 25/1
Winless in her last six starts, with a sixth last time out and little encouragement in recent efforts, Late Claim ranks ninth of ten on our figures and looks hard to fancy, though she has run over today's distance and going before and is at least quickly back in action.
AI verdict

SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

9
Dijon Gone silks
Dijon Gone
Age 3 · 9-0
087626
50
55
54
3
9-0
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 9/2 5/1
Dijon Gone shaped with promise when second two starts back and, having run over today's going before, retains solid claims as one of the leading dangers here; the risk is that she has been winless in recent starts and will need to find more to go one better.
AI verdict

SR 55 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Long Reign silks
Long Reign
Age 3 · 8-13
0977
49
35
39
3
8-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 14/1 12/1
Long Reign is winless in his last four starts, finishing no better than seventh in that time, and our rating ranks him last of the ten runners here; the sole crumb of comfort is a quick turnaround, just four days after his latest outing.
AI verdict

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Trojan Truth 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 Bet365
2 Lednikov 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 Bet365
3 Wonderful Wendy 15/2 open 5.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 15/2 Bet365
4 Zafaan 11/8 open 3.25 11/8 open 3.00 5/4 open 2.87 5/4 open 2.88 11/8 open 2.88 5/4 open 2.88 11/8 Bet365
5 Baileys Warrior 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 14/1 Bet365
6 Billingsgate Gold 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 Bet365
7 Bigz Belief 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 Bet365
8 Late Claim 28/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 31.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365
9 Dijon Gone 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 Bet365
10 Long Reign 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 14/1 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Zafaan

Speculative

Zafaan owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (35) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 Charlie Clover Billy Loughnane
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Dijon Gone

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Denis Coakley
✓ Value Signal

Late Claim

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · John Mackie
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Zafaan
48.4 11/8
2 9. Dijon Gone
46.3 5/1
3 1. Trojan Truth
46.0 13/2
4 3. Wonderful Wendy
42.5 15/2
5 6. Billingsgate Gold
37.0 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Zafaan
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 6 · 9-6
11/8
★★★☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 3 · 9-0
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 9-12
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾 —

SR 56 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-6
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾 —

SR 50 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-4
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾 —

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

2
Age 8 · 9-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 42 🐾 —

SR 42 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 8 · 9-5
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾 —

SR 43 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 8-13
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 35 🐾 —

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Zafaan
Confidence: Speculative

Zafaan (SR:63, 6/4) is the clear class leader in this field, carrying just 9-6 despite dropping two class tiers — a significant advantage that opens up a 53lb drop in mark since last win, making this a very winnable assignment. The market has firmed 16% since opening, reflecting informed confidence from Charlie Clover's yard (21% strike rate, one of the stronger trainers in the field) with Billy Loughnane booked at 18% career strike rate. GoingFit:~ is a minor concern on the All-Weather good surface, but the class drop of two tiers is the dominant signal here — SR:63 towers over the next-best Trojan Truth at SR:56 and Dijon Gone at SR:55, and both of those carry significant baggage (DistFit:- and GoingFit:- respectively). Each-way alternative: Dijon Gone. Main danger: Trojan Truth — Trojan Truth (SR:56, 13/2) has Course:W1P6 — an exceptional Wolverhampton record that suggests a genuine course specialist, and despite DistFit:-, that course familiarity on an AW track can override trip concerns at this level.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 55-145: the dash indicates a layoff mid-sequence and the two most recent runs were fifths, suggesting Zafaan is not hitting top form right now despite the class drop.
  • A -53 mark drop is a red flag for a horse being hunted down in the ratings — connections may have struggled to find a winnable opening, implying physical or ability decline rather than a straightforw…
  • GoingFit:~ on today's AW surface is a genuine question mark; with headgear recorded as 'hp' (hood/pad combination), any going sensitivity on this particular track surface could blunt the expected cla…
  • Dijon Gone (SR:55, 11/2) and Trojan Truth (SR:56, 13/2) are both on shorter recent form cycles (18 and 10 days respectively) and could be sharper on the day than a horse 24 days off its last run that…
Shortlist Zafaan, Dijon Gone, Trojan Truth
Each-way: Dijon Gone Danger: Trojan Truth

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m5f219y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade