Leicester 15:04 RESULTED
Class 3 13 Oct 2026

Today British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m53y

Official Result

British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner New Year's Eve (GB) Tom Marquand · William Haggas
    9/4J
  2. 5/2
  3. 9/1
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 14 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Beryozka silks
Beryozka
Age 2 · 9-2
4
—
133
—
2
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
18/1 7/1 16/1
SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Catonahottinroof silks
Catonahottinroof
Age 2 · 9-2
6
—
151
—
2
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 10/1 7/1
SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Comrade Alexi silks
Comrade Alexi FAV
Age 2 · 9-2
7
—
148
—
2
9-2
★★★★☆
—
11/4 9/4 5/2
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Lady Phillips silks
Lady Phillips
Age 2 · 9-2
—
—
157
—
2
9-2
★★★★☆
—
2/1 3/2 2/1
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
New Year's Eve silks
New Year's Eve FAV
Age 2 · 9-2
5
—
154
—
2
9-2
★★★★☆
—
2/1 9/4 2/1
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Singing Blues silks
Singing Blues
Age 2 · 9-2
60
—
124
—
2
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
250/1 80/1 200/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Velora silks
Velora
Age 2 · 9-2
—
—
144
—
2
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
18/1 4/1 16/1
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Beryozka 18/1 open 8.50 18/1 open 8.50 18/1 open 8.50 18/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 8.00 18/1 open 10.00 18/1 Bet365
2 Catonahottinroof 9/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 9/1 Bet365
3 Comrade Alexi 11/4 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 5/2 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 Bet365
4 Lady Phillips 2/1 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.33 9/4 open 4.33 2/1 open 4.33 9/4 open 2.50 9/4 Paddy Power
5 New Year's Eve 2/1 open 4.00 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 Bet365
6 Singing Blues 250/1 open 81.00 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 81.00 200/1 open 81.00 250/1 open 81.00 200/1 open 151.00 250/1 Bet365
7 Velora 18/1 open 5.00 16/1 open 6.50 18/1 open 5.50 18/1 open 5.50 18/1 open 5.50 16/1 open 6.50 18/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

New Year's Eve

High conviction

New Year's Eve owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 William Haggas Tom Marquand
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lady Phillips

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Ralph Beckett
✓ Value Signal

Singing Blues

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

250/1 · Tom Ward
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. New Year's Eve
74.8 2/1
2 4. Lady Phillips
74.0 2/1
3 3. Comrade Alexi
71.7 11/4
4 2. Catonahottinroof
69.5 9/1
5 7. Velora
58.1 18/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lady Phillips
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 2 · 9-2
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 157 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 2 · 9-2
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
11/4
★★★★☆ SR 148 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 2 · 9-2
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 151 🐾 —

SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-2
18/1
★★★☆☆ SR 133 🐾 —

SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 2 · 9-2
18/1
★★★☆☆ SR 144 🐾 —

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lady Phillips
Confidence: Medium

Lady Phillips (SR 157, 7/4) is the top-rated filly in the field by a clear 3 points over New Year's Eve, and the market has backed that up emphatically — a 32% inward move signals strong stable and market confidence in a debutante. Ralph Beckett (19% strike rate from 1,726 runners) is a top trainer of fillies, and Rossa Ryan (18% strike rate from 2,951 rides) is a strong booking. On a card where every filly is unproven at the trip and going, the SR edge plus the decisive market support tips this firmly in Lady Phillips's favour over the second-favourite New Year's Eve, whose market has neither moved nor drifted, suggesting less conviction from connections. Each-way alternative: New Year's Eve. Main danger: New Year's Eve — New Year's Eve (SR 154, 5/2) is trained by William Haggas (23% strike rate) with Tom Marquand up, a formidable combination for a progressive filly stepping back to the same class — the second-highest SR in the race and a yard that routinely improves runners second time out.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Lady Phillips is a debutante (Form: ------) facing New Year's Eve who has already run and logged a racecourse experience edge — first-time-out fillies at Leicester in mid-October have a historically…
  • Catonahottinroof (SR:151) comes in with a massive 42% market move under the powerful Gosden/Havlin combination, creating a rival confidence signal that rivals or exceeds Lady Phillips's backing in ab…
  • New Year's Eve is trained by William Haggas (23% strike rate, the highest in this field) with Tom Marquand — a stronger trainer-jockey statistical combo than Beckett/Ryan — and races off just 18 days…
  • At 7/4 on a card of all-unproven fillies at an unproven trip, Lady Phillips offers thin value margin; if her SR edge is even partially explained by work-rider times rather than genuine trial form, th…
Shortlist Lady Phillips, New Year's Eve, Catonahottinroof
Each-way: New Year's Eve Danger: New Year's Eve

🗺 The Course Class 3

1m53y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Leicester Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade