Ayr 16:10 31 Oct 2026
Class 5 31 Oct 2026

Tomorrow Hogmanay Ball At Western House Hotel Handicap Hurdle Race

Hogmanay Ball At Western House Hotel Handicap Hurdle Race · 3m0f70y

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Voting open
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 5 hours, 54 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Bollin Matilda silks
Bollin Matilda
Age 8 · 12-0
42212-
95
—
95OR
8
12-0
—
—
5/2
—
2
Secret Secret silks
Secret Secret
Age 10 · 11-13
453536
94
—
94OR
10
11-13
—
—
16/1 FCST 12/1
—
3
Better Be Definite silks
Better Be Definite
Age 8 · 11-13
/441P-
94
—
94OR
8
11-13
—
—
8/1 FCST 7/1
—
4
Maura Jeanne silks
Maura Jeanne
Age 9 · 11-11
2526-5
92
—
92OR
9
11-11
—
—
11/2
—
5
Ck O'Mara silks
Ck O'Mara
Age 5 · 11-6
54164-
87
—
87OR
5
11-6
—
—
9/2
—
6
Junior des Mottes silks
Junior des Mottes
Age 7 · 11-5
P1132-
86
—
86OR
7
11-5
—
—
11/2 FCST 9/2
—
7
Melbourne Ghost silks
Melbourne Ghost
Age 5 · 11-4
7057-
85
—
85OR
5
11-4
—
—
11/1
—
8
Coventry silks
Coventry
Age 9 · 11-2
367-17
83
—
83OR
9
11-2
—
—
12/1 FCST 10/1
—
9
Anamanda silks
Anamanda
Age 7 · 11-0
5542-0
81
—
81OR
7
11-0
—
—
11/1 FCST 8/1
—
10
Reagrove Lord silks
Reagrove Lord
Age 8 · 10-6
899/44
73
—
73OR
8
10-6
—
—
14/1 FCST 11/1
—
11
Bray Dale silks
Bray Dale
Age 9 · 10-4
5P8P-5
71
—
71OR
9
10-4
—
—
50/1
—
12
Run Baby Run silks
Run Baby Run
Age 5 · 10-2
P8078-
67
—
67OR
5
10-2
—
—
66/1 FCST 40/1
—
Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Bollin Matilda 5/2 3/1 — 11/4 11/4 — 3/1 Paddy Power
2 Secret Secret 16/1 12/1 — 14/1 14/1 — 16/1 Bet365
3 Better Be Definite 8/1 7/1 — 15/2 15/2 — 8/1 Bet365
4 Maura Jeanne 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 — 11/2 Bet365
5 Ck O'Mara 9/2 9/2 — 9/2 9/2 — 9/2 Bet365
6 Junior des Mottes 11/2 9/2 — 5/1 5/1 — 11/2 Bet365
7 Melbourne Ghost 11/1 16/1 — 14/1 14/1 — 16/1 Paddy Power
8 Coventry 12/1 10/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 — 12/1 Bet365
9 Anamanda 11/1 8/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 — 11/1 Bet365
10 Reagrove Lord 14/1 11/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 — 14/1 Bet365
11 Bray Dale 50/1 50/1 — 50/1 50/1 — 50/1 Bet365
12 Run Baby Run 66/1 40/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 — 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens Data thin · 0/12 rated

Bollin Matilda

Live signal

Bollin Matilda owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. With no SR/RPR/TS data on the winner, the Balanced lens leaned on market confidence (88) and pace fit instead. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Donald Whillans Murray Dodd(5)
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Junior des Mottes

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Leonard Kerr
✓ Value Signal

Run Baby Run

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · R. Mike Smith
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating No data
No data
⚖ Weight 38% +0.0 pts

No SR / RPR / TS data on the winner — its weight has been redistributed across the other signals.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +31.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +7.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +7.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Bollin Matilda
61.9 5/2
2 6. Junior des Mottes
60.3 11/2
3 4. Maura Jeanne
58.8 11/2
4 5. Ck O'Mara
57.2 9/2
5 7. Melbourne Ghost
54.8 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
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AI signals loading

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 8 · 12-0
5/2
🐾 —
5
Age 5 · 11-6
9/2
🐾 —
4
Age 9 · 11-11
11/2
🐾 —
6
Age 7 · 11-5
11/2
🐾 —
3
Age 8 · 11-13
8/1
🐾 —
7
Age 5 · 11-4
11/1
🐾 —
9
Age 7 · 11-0
11/1
🐾 —
8
Age 9 · 11-2
12/1
🐾 —
10
Age 8 · 10-6
14/1
🐾 —
2
Age 10 · 11-13
16/1
🐾 —

🗺 The Course Class 5

3m0f70y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Ayr Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade