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19:45 Chelmsford (AW) 2 Nov 2026 ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap Stakes

  • 13 Runners
  • Class 6 Class
  • 7f Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Enpassant

Kieran O'Neill Scott Dixon

49SR 67RPR 65OR 16/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-25 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 54 · Field avg 43 +11

Going Record

on Good
42%
~ Mixed

6 wins, 16 placed · 53 runs

This runner 38% · Field avg 32% +6

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Kieran O'Neill 173 wins from 1843 rides 9 WIN %
  • Scott Dixon 92 wins from 1341 runners 7 WIN %
  • Pairing 35 wins from 384 together 9WIN %
2

Shaw Park

Christian Howarth(3) Scott Dixon

64SR 70RPR 65OR 9/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+17 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 43 +10

Going Record

on Good
45%
~ Mixed

5 wins, 17 placed · 49 runs

This runner 36% · Field avg 32% +4

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Christian Howarth(3) 36 wins from 423 rides 9 WIN %
  • Scott Dixon 92 wins from 1341 runners 7 WIN %
  • Pairing 4 wins from 68 together 6WIN %
3

Obsidian Dream

William Cox J. S. Moore

36SR 72RPR 65OR 33/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-12 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 26 · Field avg 43 -17

Going Record

on Good
25%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 1 placed · 8 runs

This runner 67% · Field avg 32% +35

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • William Cox 34 wins from 689 rides 5 WIN %
  • J. S. Moore 65 wins from 902 runners 7 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 25 together 4WIN %
4

Intervention

Harry Davies Michael Appleby

67SR 69RPR 64OR 15/8Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+37 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 43 0

Going Record

on Good
40%
~ Mixed

16 wins, 33 placed · 122 runs

This runner 38% · Field avg 32% +6

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Harry Davies 169 wins from 1346 rides 13 WIN %
  • Michael Appleby 239 wins from 1767 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 13 wins from 92 together 14WIN %
5

Yachtsman

Neil Callan Jack Morland

64SR 70RPR 64OR 9/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-25 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 43 0

Going Record

on Good
15%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 1 placed · 13 runs

This runner 20% · Field avg 32% -12

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Neil Callan 125 wins from 910 rides 14 WIN %
  • Jack Morland 26 wins from 265 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 23 together 9WIN %
6

Dark Mandate

Charles Bishop Eve Johnson Houghton

64SR 67RPR 63OR 6/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+38 pts trend
↗ Climbing 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 61 · Field avg 43 +18

Going Record

on Good
30%
~ Mixed

1 win, 2 placed · 10 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 32% +1

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Charles Bishop 154 wins from 1568 rides 10 WIN %
  • Eve Johnson Houghton 178 wins from 1383 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 91 wins from 713 together 13WIN %
7

Fresh Fade

David Probert Michael Attwater

55SR 69RPR 63OR 12/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 43 -18

Going Record

on Good
24%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 3 placed · 17 runs

This runner 40% · Field avg 32% +8

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • David Probert 325 wins from 2437 rides 13 WIN %
  • Michael Attwater 97 wins from 1099 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 11 together 9WIN %
8

Shades of May

Alicia Perkins(7) Mark Usher

60SR 59RPR 61OR 10/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+2 pts trend
→ Steady 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 43 +20

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

4 wins, 3 placed · 21 runs

This runner 38% · Field avg 32% +6

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Alicia Perkins(7) 0 wins from 28 rides 0 WIN %
  • Mark Usher 71 wins from 678 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 24 together 0WIN %
9

Orange Emperor

Marco Ghiani Marco Botti

63SR 66RPR 61OR 11/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 57 · Field avg 43 +14

Going Record

on Good
36%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 4 placed · 11 runs

This runner 29% · Field avg 32% -3

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Marco Ghiani 281 wins from 1767 rides 16 WIN %
  • Marco Botti 148 wins from 914 runners 16 WIN %
  • Pairing 58 wins from 254 together 23WIN %
10

Candy Warhol

Tyler Heard Scott Dixon

31SR 56RPR 52OR 40/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-3 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 47 · Field avg 43 +4

Going Record

on Good
42%
~ Mixed

3 wins, 19 placed · 52 runs

This runner 40% · Field avg 32% +8

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Tyler Heard 52 wins from 728 rides 7 WIN %
  • Scott Dixon 92 wins from 1341 runners 7 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 42 together 2WIN %
11

Chloe's Courage

Warren Fentiman(3) John Ryan

30SR 50RPR 47OR 25/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-2 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 41 · Field avg 43 -2

Going Record

on Good
43%
~ Mixed

1 win, 9 placed · 23 runs

This runner 38% · Field avg 32% +6

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Warren Fentiman(3) 74 wins from 817 rides 9 WIN %
  • John Ryan 23 wins from 268 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing no recorded rides as a pair —NEW PAIR
12

Shush A Minute

Alexandra Egan(5) John Ryan

25SR 44RPR 46OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+8 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 21 · Field avg 43 -22

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 7 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 32% -32

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Alexandra Egan(5) 20 wins from 150 rides 13 WIN %
  • John Ryan 23 wins from 268 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 2 together 0WIN %
13

Hever Beauty

Jack Doughty Simon Pearce

18SR 39RPR 40OR 66/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 43 -18

Going Record

on Good
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 32% -32

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Jack Doughty 146 wins from 1162 rides 13 WIN %
  • Simon Pearce 25 wins from 195 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing no recorded rides as a pair —NEW PAIR

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
6 Steamers
6 Drifters
1 Flat