Chelmsford (AW) 19:45 2 Nov 2026
Class 6 2 Nov 2026

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AI rates Yachtsman Speculative Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 10 hours, 47 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Enpassant silks
Enpassant
Age 5 · 9-12
143493
65
49
67
5
9-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 13/2 16/1
Enpassant arrives fresh from a third last time out, 16 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going, though a ninth two starts back and just one win in his last six, coming six starts back, temper enthusiasm. Our rating of 67 ranks him seventh of 13, with 138 lb from draw 11.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

2
Shaw Park silks
Shaw Park
Age 7 · 9-12
353234
65
64
70
7
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 7/1 15/2
Shaw Park arrives fit after just nine days, having finished in the frame in four of his last six, including a second three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. He is yet to win in that spell, which is the one risk, but our rating of 70 ranks him third of 13.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Obsidian Dream silks
Obsidian Dream
Age 4 · 9-12
6-3500
65
36
72
4
9-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 33/1 20/1
Top of our ranking and with experience of today's trip and going, Obsidian Dream showed some promise with a third four starts back, and he's rated 72 by us against an official 65. The risk is a 132-day absence after two unplaced runs, plus 138 lb from stall six.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

4
Intervention silks
Intervention
Age 9 · 9-11
770301
64
67
69
9
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
15/8 2/1 32/17
Intervention is our selection on profile: he won last time out just ten days ago, so he's fit and fresh, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 69 ranks him fourth, and the one reservation is a patchy record before that win.
AI verdict

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Yachtsman silks
Yachtsman
Age 3 · 9-10
149489
64
64
70
3
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 9/2 4/1
Yachtsman has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 70 ranks him second of 13, while he last won six starts back and returns after 18 days. The main risk is form of a ninth and an eighth in his last two outings.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Dark Mandate silks
Dark Mandate
Age 3 · 9-9
3-4212
63
64
67
3
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 10/3 6/1
Dark Mandate arrives in cracking form, second last time out, a winner two starts back, and fresh from a run just 12 days ago, with experience of both today's trip and going. Carrying 135 lb from draw 13, he's only sixth of 13 on our rating, and a modest speed figure of 58 suggests he may lack the pace to go one better.
AI verdict

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Fresh Fade silks
Fresh Fade
Age 3 · 9-9
060560
63
55
69
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 12/1 11/1
Fresh Fade is winless in his last six, with a sixth two starts back and a fifth three starts back the best of it, but he is fresh enough after 18 days and has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 69 ranks him fifth of 13, though 135 lb from stall three offers little leeway.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Shades of May silks
Shades of May
Age 6 · 9-8
183413
61
60
59
6
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 6/1 10/1
Shades of May arrives on a solid recent run, third last time out and a winner two starts back, and he has experience of today's trip and going. Carrying 134 lb from draw 10 after 39 days off, he sits ninth of 13 on our rating, which tempers the appeal.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Orange Emperor silks
Orange Emperor
Age 3 · 9-7
236523
61
63
66
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 4/1 5/1
Orange Emperor arrives with a third last time out and a second two starts back, yet he is winless in his last six and has had 51 days off since. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 66 sits eight of 13, so he looks a midfield sort from stall 8 off 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Candy Warhol silks
Candy Warhol
Age 7 · 8-13
335260
52
31
56
7
8-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 16/1 40/1
Candy Warhol is winless in his last six, unplaced last time and a sixth two starts back, so he is hard to fancy, though a second three starts back and two thirds before that show he can get involved. He has run over today's trip and going, and only 14 days since his last run keeps him fit, but our rating of 56 has him tenth of 13.
AI verdict

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

11
Chloe's Courage silks
Chloe's Courage
Age 4 · 8-8
345434
47
30
50
4
8-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 16/1 22/1
Chloe's Courage is consistent but yet to win in her last six, with a fourth last time out and a third two starts back, and she's ranked 11 of 13 on our figures, which makes her hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and going, and 20 days since her last run is fine.
AI verdict

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

12
Shush A Minute silks
Shush A Minute
Age 3 · 8-6
765-95
46
25
44
3
8-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 25/1 40/1
Winless in her last five, Shush A Minute has finished fifth, ninth, fifth, sixth and seventh, so it is hard to make a case, and our rating of 44 ranks her 12th of 13. Fit after 16 days and with experience of today's trip and going, she runs off 118 lb from stall five.
AI verdict

SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

13
Hever Beauty silks
Hever Beauty
Age 3 · 8-6
065
40
18
39
3
8-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 25/1 50/1
Hever Beauty is hard to fancy: she is winless in her last three, was only fifth last time out, and returns after 179 days off. She has run over today's trip and going, but our rating has her last of 13, and she's drawn 12.
AI verdict

SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Enpassant 16/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 7.50 — — 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 18/1 Paddy Power
2 Shaw Park 9/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 8.00 — — 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 9/1 Bet365
3 Obsidian Dream 33/1 25/1 open 51.00 — — 25/1 open 51.00 20/1 open 67.00 33/1 Bet365
4 Intervention 15/8 open 3.00 2/1 open 3.50 — — 2/1 open 3.25 15/8 open 3.25 2/1 Paddy Power
5 Yachtsman 9/2 open 17.00 4/1 open 10.00 — — 9/2 9/2 9/2 Bet365
6 Dark Mandate 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 4.33 — — 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 William Hill
7 Fresh Fade 12/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 26.00 — — 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 12/1 Bet365
8 Shades of May 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 9.00 — — 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 Bet365
9 Orange Emperor 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 5.00 — — 5/1 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 Bet365
10 Candy Warhol 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 26.00 — — 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 Bet365
11 Chloe's Courage 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 41.00 — — 22/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 Bet365
12 Shush A Minute 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 26.00 — — 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
13 Hever Beauty 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 26.00 — — 66/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 29.00 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Intervention

Speculative

Intervention owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Michael Appleby Harry Davies
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Yachtsman

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Jack Morland
✓ Value Signal

Chloe's Courage

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · John Ryan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Intervention
51.3 15/8
2 5. Yachtsman
49.4 9/2
3 9. Orange Emperor
48.5 11/2
4 2. Shaw Park
46.4 9/1
5 6. Dark Mandate
45.9 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Yachtsman
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 9 · 9-11
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-10
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-7
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-9
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 7 · 9-12
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 9-8
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-9
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 9-12
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾 —

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Yachtsman
Confidence: Speculative

Yachtsman (SR:64, 4/1) has steamed in by 47% since opening — the strongest market move in the field by a wide margin — and at 9-10 carries a pound less than the favourite Intervention (9-11) and 2lb less than Shaw Park (9-12). The 3-year-old is dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) and has had his mark trimmed 1lb (MarkMv:-1), easing conditions just as significant market confidence arrives. Trainer Jack Morland (10% strike rate) and jockey Neil Callan (14% strike rate) are a competent combination, and the weight-for-age allowance at 3 gives him a structural edge in a Class 6 field. The favourite Intervention (SR:67, 11/4) has a 3lb rise in mark (MarkMv:+3), is proven poor on this going (GoingFit:-), and has drifted 15% — money is leaving it, not arriving. Each-way alternative: Dark Mandate. Main danger: Intervention — Intervention (SR:67) is the highest-rated horse in the field and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) with trainer Michael Appleby running at a solid 14% strike rate — if the GoingFit:- flag proves less of a handicap on an all-weather surface than on turf, it could still prove best.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 149489 — last two runs are an 8th and a 9th, suggesting current form is poor rather than a horse hitting peak fitness into today.
  • HG:t indicates Yachtsman is proven on turf, not specifically AW/Chelmsford — going suitability on this surface is unconfirmed by his record.
  • Trainer Jack Morland has only a 10% strike rate from a small yard (265 runners) and no notable AW handicap track record to suggest he manages this type of race well.
  • Dark Mandate (SR:64, 6/1) matches Yachtsman's rating, is trained by the stronger yard (Eve Johnson Houghton, 13%), and has a recent form string of 3-4212 showing consistent placing — a more live riva…
Shortlist Yachtsman, Dark Mandate, Intervention, Shaw Park
Each-way: Dark Mandate Danger: Intervention

🗺 The Course Class 6

7f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Chelmsford (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade