Enpassant arrives fresh from a third last time out, 16 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going, though a ninth two starts back and just one win in his last six, coming six starts back, temper enthusiasm. Our rating of 67 ranks him seventh of 13, with 138 lb from draw 11.
Form last 6143493
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR67RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Shaw Park arrives fit after just nine days, having finished in the frame in four of his last six, including a second three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. He is yet to win in that spell, which is the one risk, but our rating of 70 ranks him third of 13.
Form last 6353234
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR70RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Top of our ranking and with experience of today's trip and going, Obsidian Dream showed some promise with a third four starts back, and he's rated 72 by us against an official 65. The risk is a 132-day absence after two unplaced runs, plus 138 lb from stall six.
Form last 66-3500
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR72RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Intervention is our selection on profile: he won last time out just ten days ago, so he's fit and fresh, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 69 ranks him fourth, and the one reservation is a patchy record before that win.
Form last 6770301
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
67SR69RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Yachtsman has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 70 ranks him second of 13, while he last won six starts back and returns after 18 days. The main risk is form of a ninth and an eighth in his last two outings.
Form last 6149489
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR70RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Dark Mandate arrives in cracking form, second last time out, a winner two starts back, and fresh from a run just 12 days ago, with experience of both today's trip and going. Carrying 135 lb from draw 13, he's only sixth of 13 on our rating, and a modest speed figure of 58 suggests he may lack the pace to go one better.
Form last 63-4212
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
64SR67RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Fresh Fade is winless in his last six, with a sixth two starts back and a fifth three starts back the best of it, but he is fresh enough after 18 days and has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 69 ranks him fifth of 13, though 135 lb from stall three offers little leeway.
Form last 6060560
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR69RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Shades of May arrives on a solid recent run, third last time out and a winner two starts back, and he has experience of today's trip and going. Carrying 134 lb from draw 10 after 39 days off, he sits ninth of 13 on our rating, which tempers the appeal.
Form last 6183413
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR59RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Orange Emperor arrives with a third last time out and a second two starts back, yet he is winless in his last six and has had 51 days off since. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 66 sits eight of 13, so he looks a midfield sort from stall 8 off 133 lb.
Form last 6236523
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR66RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Candy Warhol is winless in his last six, unplaced last time and a sixth two starts back, so he is hard to fancy, though a second three starts back and two thirds before that show he can get involved. He has run over today's trip and going, and only 14 days since his last run keeps him fit, but our rating of 56 has him tenth of 13.
Form last 6335260
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
31SR56RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Chloe's Courage is consistent but yet to win in her last six, with a fourth last time out and a third two starts back, and she's ranked 11 of 13 on our figures, which makes her hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and going, and 20 days since her last run is fine.
Form last 6345434
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
30SR50RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in her last five, Shush A Minute has finished fifth, ninth, fifth, sixth and seventh, so it is hard to make a case, and our rating of 44 ranks her 12th of 13. Fit after 16 days and with experience of today's trip and going, she runs off 118 lb from stall five.
Form last 6765-95
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR44RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Hever Beauty is hard to fancy: she is winless in her last three, was only fifth last time out, and returns after 179 days off. She has run over today's trip and going, but our rating has her last of 13, and she's drawn 12.
Form last 6065
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
18SR39RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Intervention owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
15/8Michael ApplebyHarry Davies
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Yachtsman
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Jack Morland✓ Value Signal
Chloe's Courage
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · John Ryan◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Yachtsman (SR:64, 4/1) has steamed in by 47% since opening — the strongest market move in the field by a wide margin — and at 9-10 carries a pound less than the favourite Intervention (9-11) and 2lb less than Shaw Park (9-12). The 3-year-old is dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) and has had his mark trimmed 1lb (MarkMv:-1), easing conditions just as significant market confidence arrives. Trainer Jack Morland (10% strike rate) and jockey Neil Callan (14% strike rate) are a competent combination, and the weight-for-age allowance at 3 gives him a structural edge in a Class 6 field. The favourite Intervention (SR:67, 11/4) has a 3lb rise in mark (MarkMv:+3), is proven poor on this going (GoingFit:-), and has drifted 15% — money is leaving it, not arriving.
Each-way alternative: Dark Mandate.
Main danger: Intervention — Intervention (SR:67) is the highest-rated horse in the field and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) with trainer Michael Appleby running at a solid 14% strike rate — if the GoingFit:- flag proves less of a handicap on an all-weather surface than on turf, it could still prove best.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads 149489 — last two runs are an 8th and a 9th, suggesting current form is poor rather than a horse hitting peak fitness into today.
HG:t indicates Yachtsman is proven on turf, not specifically AW/Chelmsford — going suitability on this surface is unconfirmed by his record.
Trainer Jack Morland has only a 10% strike rate from a small yard (265 runners) and no notable AW handicap track record to suggest he manages this type of race well.
Dark Mandate (SR:64, 6/1) matches Yachtsman's rating, is trained by the stronger yard (Eve Johnson Houghton, 13%), and has a recent form string of 3-4212 showing consistent placing — a more live riva…
ShortlistYachtsman, Dark Mandate, Intervention, Shaw Park