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19:30 Wolverhampton (AW) 2 Nov 2026 AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap Stakes

  • 8 Runners
  • Class 5 Class
  • 1m142y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Sovereign Bay

Cieren Fallon James Owen

66SR 71RPR 67OR 3/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-28 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 44 · Field avg 43 +1

Going Record

on Good
40%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 43% +7

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Cieren Fallon 340 wins from 1947 rides 17 WIN %
  • James Owen 438 wins from 2361 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 24 wins from 135 together 18WIN %
2

Eduardo Calderon

George Wood Harry Eustace

74SR 79RPR 67OR 4/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+2 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 56 · Field avg 43 +12

Going Record

on Good
43%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 3 placed · 7 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 43% -10

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • George Wood 132 wins from 1240 rides 11 WIN %
  • Harry Eustace 77 wins from 605 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 8 wins from 111 together 7WIN %
3

Shes Got The Blues

Billy Loughnane Tony Carroll

73SR 65RPR 64OR 4/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+3 pts trend
→ Steady 5 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 72 · Field avg 43 +28

Going Record

on Good
45%
~ Mixed

4 wins, 6 placed · 22 runs

This runner 43% · Field avg 43% 0

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Billy Loughnane 595 wins from 3226 rides 18 WIN %
  • Tony Carroll 419 wins from 3309 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 7 wins from 38 together 18WIN %
4

Jamie Sommers

Hollie Doyle David Loughnane

53SR 70RPR 63OR 14/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 43 0

Going Record

on Good
36%
~ Mixed

1 win, 3 placed · 11 runs

This runner 57% · Field avg 43% +14

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Hollie Doyle 321 wins from 2292 rides 14 WIN %
  • David Loughnane 99 wins from 863 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 26 together 12WIN %
5

Moonlight Melody

Pierre-Louis Jamin Donald McCain

45SR 65RPR 62OR 28/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-17 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 43 -5

Going Record

on Good
14%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 7 runs

This runner 20% · Field avg 43% -23

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Pierre-Louis Jamin 109 wins from 764 rides 14 WIN %
  • Donald McCain 113 wins from 756 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 5 together 0WIN %
6

Rajendra

Callum Shepherd David Simcock

66SR 65RPR 56OR 7/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+12 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 39 · Field avg 43 -4

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

1 win, 1 placed · 6 runs

This runner 25% · Field avg 43% -18

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Callum Shepherd 260 wins from 1741 rides 15 WIN %
  • David Simcock 141 wins from 991 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 34 wins from 171 together 20WIN %
7

Carwyn

Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) Patrick Morris

34SR 68RPR 53OR 80/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 20 · Field avg 43 -23

Going Record

on Good
12%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 8 runs

This runner 14% · Field avg 43% -29

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) 52 wins from 563 rides 9 WIN %
  • Patrick Morris 51 wins from 604 runners 8 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 8 together 0WIN %
8

Labiche

Luke Morris James Owen

53SR 57RPR 50OR 5/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+3 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 43 -8

Going Record

on Good
29%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 2 placed · 7 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 43% +57

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Luke Morris 382 wins from 3137 rides 12 WIN %
  • James Owen 438 wins from 2361 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 26 wins from 151 together 17WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
3 Steamers
4 Drifters
1 Flat