AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap Stakes · 1m142y
SR 66 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
SR 53 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sovereign Bay | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Eduardo Calderon | 4/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Shes Got The Blues | 4/1 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Jamie Sommers | 14/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 | 12/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Moonlight Melody | 28/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Rajendra | 7/2 open 4.33 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Carwyn | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Labiche | 5/1 open 4.00 | 6/1 open 3.50 | 5/1 open 4.33 | 5/1 open 4.33 | 11/2 open 3.75 | 5/1 open 4.33 | 6/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Eduardo Calderon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 66 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 53 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Shes Got The Blues (SR:73, 10/3) carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-6 and posts the most consistent recent form in the field — 331313 shows she hits the frame repeatedly at this class level, with the rightmost '3' confirming a place last time out just 13 days ago, signalling peak fitness. Jockey Billy Loughnane at 18% career strike rate is the strongest rider booking in this race and the Tony Carroll yard runs at 13% overall. GoingFit:~ on AW good is acceptable and her Course:W0P1 at Wolverhampton shows familiarity with the track. The MarkMv:+2 rise is negligible and her consistent form string versus the field's more erratic recent efforts makes her the most reliable selection. Each-way alternative: Eduardo Calderon. Main danger: Eduardo Calderon — Eduardo Calderon (SR:74, 4/1) has the highest SR in the field and a strong market move (Mkt:in21%), and if his GoingFit:- concern on AW good proves overstated, he has the raw ability to win this comfortably.