Chepstow 13:25 RESULTED
Class 4 4 Nov 2026

Today LSL Racing 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)

LSL Racing 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race) · 2m16y

Official Result

LSL Racing 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner St James's Finest (IRE) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton
    5/2
  2. 1/2F
  3. 25/1
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 10 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Aye Over Tee silks
Aye Over Tee
Age 4 · 11-4
0
—
122
—
4
11-4
★★☆☆☆
—
50/1 33/1 40/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Dance Ifyoucan silks
Dance Ifyoucan
Age 5 · 11-4
21-F
—
130
—
5
11-4
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 40/1 22/1
SR 130 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 130 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Horethorne silks
Horethorne
Age 4 · 11-4
3-07
—
122
—
4
11-4
★★☆☆☆
—
150/1 80/1 125/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Jeu Magic silks
Jeu Magic
Age 4 · 11-4
—
—
122
—
4
11-4
★★☆☆☆
—
100/1 50/1 66/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Just Jaffa silks
Just Jaffa
Age 7 · 11-4
—
—
123
—
7
11-4
★★☆☆☆
—
200/1 100/1 125/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Moonrise Monarch silks
Moonrise Monarch
Age 4 · 11-4
—
—
138
—
4
11-4
★★★☆☆
—
12/1 9/2 10/1
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Order On Time silks
Order On Time FAV
Age 5 · 11-4
21-
—
160
—
5
11-4
★★★★☆
—
8/11 8/11 2/3
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

8
Plan de Stan silks
Plan de Stan
Age 4 · 11-4
22-6
—
137
—
4
11-4
★★★☆☆
—
11/1 14/1 10/1
SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Stagge Hyll silks
Stagge Hyll
Age 5 · 11-4
5-
—
125
—
5
11-4
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 50/1 28/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
St James's Finest silks
St James's Finest
Age 5 · 11-4
41-
—
156
—
5
11-4
★★★★☆
—
7/4 11/10 7/4
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

11
The Two Four silks
The Two Four
Age 5 · 11-4
2-
—
125
—
5
11-4
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 25/1 28/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Timmie Two silks
Timmie Two
Age 4 · 11-4
23-
—
126
—
4
11-4
★★☆☆☆
—
66/1 33/1 40/1
SR 126 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 126 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Lady Bam silks
Lady Bam
Age 5 · 10-11
613-80
—
127
—
5
10-11
★★★☆☆
—
250/1 125/1 200/1
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Aye Over Tee 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 50/1 Bet365
2 Dance Ifyoucan 25/1 open 41.00 25/1 open 67.00 22/1 open 51.00 22/1 open 51.00 25/1 open 51.00 22/1 open 41.00 25/1 Bet365
3 Horethorne 150/1 open 81.00 125/1 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 — 150/1 Bet365
4 Jeu Magic 100/1 open 51.00 80/1 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 66/1 100/1 Bet365
5 Just Jaffa 200/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 201.00 150/1 150/1 150/1 125/1 200/1 Bet365
6 Moonrise Monarch 12/1 open 5.50 11/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 12/1 Bet365
7 Order On Time 8/11 open 2.00 4/6 open 1.91 4/6 open 1.73 4/6 open 1.73 8/11 4/6 open 1.73 8/11 Bet365
8 Plan de Stan 11/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 19.00 12/1 Paddy Power
9 Stagge Hyll 28/1 open 81.00 28/1 open 81.00 28/1 open 67.00 28/1 open 67.00 28/1 open 67.00 28/1 open 51.00 28/1 Bet365
10 St James's Finest 7/4 open 2.38 2/1 open 2.10 15/8 open 2.20 15/8 open 2.20 2/1 open 2.20 15/8 open 2.20 2/1 Paddy Power
11 The Two Four 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 28/1 28/1 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 33/1 Bet365
12 Timmie Two 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 open 34.00 66/1 Bet365
13 Lady Bam 250/1 open 126.00 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 — 250/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Order On Time

High conviction

Order On Time owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (89) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/11 Paul Nicholls Sam Twiston-Davies
84% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

St James's Finest

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/4 · Dan Skelton
✓ Value Signal

Timmie Two

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · I Chanin
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
89 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.3 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Order On Time
79.2 8/11
2 10. St James's Finest
70.5 7/4
3 8. Plan de Stan
64.4 11/1
4 6. Moonrise Monarch
59.7 12/1
5 12. Timmie Two
53.3 66/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Order On Time
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 5 · 11-4
8/11
★★★★☆ SR 160 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

10
Age 5 · 11-4
7/4
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

8
Age 4 · 11-4
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 137 🐾 —

SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 11-4
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 138 🐾 —

SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Order On Time
Confidence: Medium

Order On Time (SR:160, 4/6) is in a different ability bracket to every other runner in this maiden — the next-best SR is 156 (St James's Finest) and then there is a significant drop to 138. At 160 SR, this is a top-class rating for a Class 4 maiden hurdle, Paul Nicholls trained (22% strike rate from 591 runners) and ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies (18%, 1074 runners) — a confident, high-volume booking. The market has tightened 7% since opening, confirming professional confidence, and the equal-weight conditions (all 11-4) mean Order On Time carries no penalty disadvantage. St James's Finest (SR:156, 13/8) has drifted 25% and is 290 days off the track, which is a meaningful concern for a horse stepping down two classes — that drift is the market telling us something is not right today. Each-way alternative: St James's Finest. Main danger: St James's Finest — SR:156 and Dan Skelton/Harry Skelton (22%/27% strike rates) are elite connections, and dropping two classes (ClassMv:↓2) suggests a horse being aimed at a winnable race — if the 290-day absence and 25% drift are explained away on the day, this is the only runner with the ability to threaten Order On Time.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Order On Time's form reads '21-' — the dash indicates a run with no recorded finish (fell, unseated or pulled up) last time out, meaning the horse may have an unresolved jumping or soundness issue he…
  • At 4/6 in a Class 4 maiden hurdle, Order On Time is priced as though the race is a formality; any minor underperformance or jumping error will be punished hard, and the SR gap to St James's Finest (1…
  • St James's Finest carries the Dan Skelton/Harry Skelton combination (22%/27% strike rates) — arguably the strongest trainer-jockey pairing in the race — and a 25% drift can reflect a lay-day concern…
  • No days-off-track figure is listed for Order On Time, making it impossible to confirm recency; if the last run ended abruptly (the dash in form), fitness and confidence over hurdles could both be in…
Shortlist Order On Time, St James's Finest, Dance Ifyoucan
Each-way: St James's Finest Danger: St James's Finest

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m16y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Chepstow Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade