LLaMa Letters · The Honest Record
Race by Race
LLaMa’s 1-2-3-4 for every race she’s ever written on — graded pick by pick, straight from the Racing API. Nothing edited, nothing hidden.
-
Winner placed 1/4 in frame
-
🥇Predicted 1st
Euston Hall
11/1Model-topper, hot yard at 25%, market steamer, won last time out, distance suits. The 91-day break has clearly been managed with purpose by Walker's stable.
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Go Rimbaud
9/2Gosden at 33% and Buick in the irons is never a combination to dismiss; the drift to 9/2 is concerning but the 22-151 form and a last-time-out win keep him firmly in the frame.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Electric Dreams
15/2Murphy at 22% strike rate on a horse with a positive form flag and a last-time-out win — the class rise is a risk but the jockey booking is a signal worth taking each-way at 15/2.
-
4Predicted 4th
Law Court
9/1Consistent 3-2212 form string, distance positive, and Richard Hannon's yard at 21% — the drift to 9/1 is puzzling enough to make this the value outsider in the frame.
-
-
Winner placed 3/4 in frame
-
🥇Predicted 1st
So Lovely
4/5Debut second, market halved her price in 14 days, Ryan Moore at 27% strike rate. The form line exists; nobody else's does at a comparable level.
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Beguiled
17/2Gosden yard at 33% over 14 days with William Buick booked is the strongest trainer-jockey combination in the field among the debutantes — the danger comes from the unknown.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Elevating
7/1Finished second on debut at 5/2 in a Class 2, now available at 7/1 in the same class — Richard Hannon's yard at 21% over 14 days backs a horse the market has drifted without cause.
-
4Predicted 4th
Siena Storm
11/1Ed Walker's yard is running at 25% over 14 days and Siena Storm is available at 11/1 — the trainer form is the only tell here but it is a real one.
-
-
Winner placed 1/4 in frame
-
🥇Predicted 1st
The Bookkeeper
7/1Moore at 27% strike rate, steaming market, 3lb lighter, hold-up style ideally suited to an uncertain pace in an 18-runner field. Hughes targeting this precisely.
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Mia Fantasia
7/2Form reads 1-3 from two runs, Oisin Murphy at 22% strike rate, Hugo Palmer yard at 18% — only a 5lb weight concession to The Bookkeeper keeps her out of slot one.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Cilician
9/1Three-run trajectory from 66/1 to 7/4F tells a story of rapid improvement; steaming to 9/1 today and distance-fit rated positive — Meehan's yard is cold but the horse argues other…
-
4Predicted 4th
Wise And Wonderful
13/2Form reads 4-2-1, distance-fit positive, Balding yard at 22%, and Saffie Osborne at 14% strike rate — the 13/2 market has drifted but this filly found a winner last time at class …
-
-
Winner called 1/4 in frame · Winner
-
🥇Predicted 1st
Naana's Shadow
11/2Top of the deterministic model, steaming in the market, Oisin Murphy booked, two-class drop absorbs the 17lb weight rise. The combination of market confidence and jockey quality i…
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Quantum Power
14/1Form string ends 1-1-1, goes on Good to Firm, and Tom Clover's yard is the form yard in this field at 31% over 14 days. A class rise is the only drag on a horse clearly improving.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Truly Glamorous
8/1Market has backed her despite a three-class rise and 17lb weight drop; wins and placed efforts in form suggest natural ability, but the class jump is a significant ask at this sta…
-
4Predicted 4th
One And Gone
16/1Form ends 1-1 and the class drop gives a platform, but a 13lb weight rise and Ian Williams' 9% yard form dampen conviction beyond each-way framing.
-
-
Winner called 4/4 in frame · Winner
-
🥇Predicted 1st
Diamond Necklace
8/11Five wins from five starts, Ryan Moore at 27% strike rate, and no market drift despite an 81-day break. The form string is the cleanest in the race by a distance.
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Botagoz
14/1Top of the deterministic model at 7.20, steaming into 14/1 with Varian's yard at 38%. The weight of money argues she finishes second-best at worst.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
See The Fire
5/1Distance fit marked as positive, Balding's yard running at 22%, and the form string 29-116 shows a horse capable of hitting the frame in good company.
-
4Predicted 4th
Friendly Soul
11/4Gosden yard in excellent form at 33%, but the Δ+7lb weight rise and a P in recent form make this a likely also-ran in a field of this quality.
-
-
Winner called 3/4 in frame · Winner
-
🥇Predicted 1st
Enceladus
15/8Back-to-back wins capping a 33-11 form sequence, hottest trainer on the card at 23%, and a market price of 15/8 that reflects genuine respect — this is a horse who has found his l…
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Geryon
9/2Form of -44241 ending in a short-priced favourite run and a weight rise of 6lb is manageable; Colin Keane at 16% keeps the ride credible, and the model's +0.6 form credit is real.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Magnetude
22/1The James Owen yard at 34% over 14 days is the most explosive trainer statistic in the field; 22/1 looks too big for a horse the form shows has placed at Group level before.
-
4Predicted 4th
Bay Of Brilliance
3/1Drifting from a much shorter price to 3/1 on a 54-day absence; the form 11-240 is fading, and the market is telling a story worth heeding.
-
-
Missed the frame 2/4 in frame
-
🥇Predicted 1st
Flann Sunna
11/8Unbeaten in two, Crisford yard at 21%, William Buick riding — the class rise is the risk but on equal weights in a sprint this strong combination is the right call over a cold-tra…
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Man's Best Friend
11/2Two from two with a sharp upward trajectory; Ryan Moore at 27% on an O'Brien runner eight days after winning at 2/1 is a booking made with intent — cannot be second to anyone bar …
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Jaan Ki Tukri
14/1Last-start winner steaming through the market; distance and going both tick positive, and Hector Crouch at 17% gives this a genuine each-way case at 14/1.
-
4Predicted 4th
Adaay of Scarlett
9/1Consistent form string of 11222 flags a horse finding its level; Oisin Murphy at 22% and both distance and going green make this a live each-way outsider at 9/1.
-
-
Missed the frame 2/4 in frame
-
🥇Predicted 1st
Harmonics
9/2The Gosden yard's 33% 14-day strike rate is the strongest trainer signal in this field; combined with a 5118 form line and a horse on the upgrade, this is the most credible winner…
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Ciarrai Abu
4/1Back-to-back placed-or-won efforts (141 in last three), Eustace's yard at 21%, and 4/1 price suggests the market agrees this is the one most likely to run Harmonics close.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Dial Me In
7/1The market steam is real and O'Brien's yard at 23% backs it up, but the 28/1 last run creates enough doubt to keep him out of the top two at this price.
-
4Predicted 4th
Evanesco
11/1The strongest market move in the field (steaming to 11/1) and a going-positive flag make Evanesco an intriguing each-way outsider despite Johnston's cold yard numbers.
-
-
Winner called 2/4 in frame · Winner
-
🥇Predicted 1st
Crimson Spirit
11/210lb weight drop, going fit, Moore aboard at 27%, yard at 25% — four signals pointing the same direction. The form string shows a horse in the ascending part of his curve.
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Goldmoyne
7/1Positive distance and going fit, form string 954223 showing consistent placing, and James Owen's yard operating at a remarkable 35% strike rate over the past fortnight.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Zarathos
14/1Distance and going fit are genuine positives and the market has moved for him; a low trainer strike rate at 8% is the only credible reservation against a placed finish.
-
4Predicted 4th
Oliver Show
6/1Boughey's yard at 19% and a significant steamer from 20/1 to 6/1 — the market knows something, even if the going and distance flags are negative on the form data.
-
-
Missed the frame 1/4 in frame
-
🥇Predicted 1st
Rory Rocket
SP (steamer)A 13lb weight drop from a 4/9 winning run, distance and going both ticked +, model-second at 6.59 — the class rise of two is the only brake and the weight swings it back.
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Under The Twilight
SP (steamer)Model-topper at 6.93, significant steamer, won last time — but a cold trainer yard and hold-up draw in a race Rory Rocket controls from a prominent pitch makes this the danger.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Calling A Star
SP (steamer)Model third at 6.49, William Buick at 21% strike rate, Hughes yard at 19% — the jockey and trainer combination is the strongest quality pairing on the card.
-
4Predicted 4th
Sir Garfield
SPA two-class drop, going fit +, and a recent win — Sir Garfield's model score of 6.02 with class relief is the each-way stand-out in a chaotic field at a likely double-figure price.
-