LLaMa Letters · The Honest Record
Race by Race
LLaMa’s 1-2-3-4 for every race she’s ever written on — graded pick by pick, straight from the Racing API. Nothing edited, nothing hidden.
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Missed the frame 0/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
All Moonshine
unpricedThree wins from last four, lightest competitive weight in the leading group at 8-8, Watson retains the ride — the form and weight combination is the clearest edge in this field.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Rumba Numba
unpricedLast run was a win, same weight of 8-9, Varian and Mitchell a strong combination — Rumba Numba is the horse most likely to beat the selection.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Radiant Beauty
unpricedRyan Moore does not take Ascot rides for fun; 113 form earlier in her sequence is class that a bounce-back run can reproduce on Good to Firm ground.
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4Predicted 4th
Gaga Girl
unpricedSR 81 is the second-highest in the field and she ran a recent 12 sequence, but 9-4 at the top of the weights is a stiff ask in a 25-runner cavalry charge.
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Winner placed 1/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Indalo
8/1SR:92 on a fair 9-0, Dawson's claim reduces the burden further, and a form line of 1412-2 screams a horse ready to convert. The searching pace set by Holloway Boy plays directly t…
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Archivist
10/1SR:95 is the highest realistic claim among horses with live credentials, and James McDonald rarely gets on the wrong horse at Ascot; 9-7 prevents him from winning but not from fil…
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Mister Winston
14/1Form of 40-161 shows Oisin Murphy found the key last time; SR:93 on just 9-4 is a fair weight, and Balding knows how to target these heritage handicaps on Ascot's straight mile.
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4Predicted 4th
Jagged Edge
11/1Form reads 1010-1, three wins from five finishing positions — he knows how to win. SR:82 is modest but Colin Keane will place him perfectly and 9-4 is workable in this field.
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Winner called 4/4 in frame · Winner
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🥇Predicted 1st
Ombudsman
unpricedHighest SR in the field at 119, back-to-back wins, Buick booked, and a true Ascot gallop sets up his strong finish perfectly.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Daryz
unpricedSR 118, consecutive victories, and Barzalona for Graffard is a formidable cross-Channel combination — he'll be finishing fastest of all bar the winner.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Minnie Hauk
unpricedThe 3lb weight allowance and Ryan Moore are enough to pinch third; SR 115 is workmanlike but this pace and trip suits her better than last time.
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4Predicted 4th
Almaqam
unpricedSR 112 and a 1233-1 form line confirm he competes honestly; setting the pace off a good weight of 9-2, he'll be caught late but not disgraced.
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Winner called 1/4 in frame · Winner
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🥇Predicted 1st
Blue Bolt
unpricedSR-104, form 1122-1, last-time-out winner under Colin Keane — the strongest recent form in the field and the pace will be honest enough to suit her finishing style.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Carolina Jetstream
unpricedRyan Moore's booking on a 4yo who has twice won recently gives this 9-2 shot claims; SR-99 is workmanlike but Moore extracts every point from it.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Godspeed
unpricedSR-98, form 8147-2 shows a placed effort last time; James Doyle keeps this yard honest and a second consecutive placed run at this level is achievable.
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4Predicted 4th
Noche Clasica
unpricedForm of 131-14 shows a winner and a placed effort in recent starts; Kevin Stott can pinch a position off a strong pace and the 4yo profile fits the race.
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Winner placed 2/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Point Of Law
unpricedSR 141 tops the field, his 21 form is progressive, and a true-run Good to Firm Ascot mile-and-six plays directly to his sustained galloping style under James Doyle.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Galiyan
unpricedSR 139 makes Galiyan the only other horse in this field operating at Group 2 quality; Oisin Murphy will ensure he runs his race and he'll finish clear of the rest.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Limestone
unpricedForm figures of 321-11 show consistency if not class; Dylan Browne McMonagle will get the best out of him for third in a moderately-rated chasing pack.
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4Predicted 4th
Port Of Spain
unpricedRyan Moore drags Port Of Spain into the places through sheer horsemanship, but an SR of 90 and a stop-start form line of 1537-5 cap his ceiling at fourth.
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Missed the frame 0/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Love A Giggle
unpricedJoint-top SR of 143, unbeaten in two starts — the only filly in the field combining both signals. Burke and Lee have placed her perfectly.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Shining Moment
unpricedWesley Ward's more experienced runner; SR-140 and a runner-up on latest start shows she handles pressure. Oisin Murphy is the right jockey for a big-field sprint.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Big Negotiator
unpricedSR-142 and a form line of 321 shows consistent improvement; P J McDonald is quietly underrated in these big-field juvenile sprints.
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4Predicted 4th
Armor Supreme
unpricedSR-142 with form reading 12 — she has run at the top of this division already. Rossa Ryan will position her to take full advantage of any splits.
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Missed the frame 2/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Valiancy
unpricedSR 90, best form in the race on a 1321-1 string, 9-10 weight is workable, Haggas-Doyle axis, and a pace scenario that sets up her finishing kick perfectly.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Gamrai
unpricedJoint-top SR of 90 with Oisin Murphy aboard and a recent second suggests a horse close to peak fitness; Gosden horses rarely run badly at Ascot in midsummer.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Sing Us A Song
unpricedJames McDonald takes the ride and the 971-32 shows a horse that competes at this level; 9-9 is a fair weight and Ralph Beckett's four-year-olds often run well fresh.
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4Predicted 4th
Daiquiri Bay
unpricedRossa Ryan on a horse that last won at 4353-1 suggests confidence; Alan King targeting this race specifically, though a class rise makes the frame rather than the win more likely.
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Missed the frame 1/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Survie
unpricedSR joint-top at 102, carries 9-0 against a field uniformly on 9-5, Moore in the saddle, Boughey placing horses expertly. The weight edge does the work.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Dividend
unpricedSR 102, form -31125 reads progressive and consistent — Rossa Ryan takes the ride on a horse arriving here off back-to-back wins. Best rival at the weights.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Nahraan
unpricedThree wins from four starts, Oisin Murphy booked, Gosden yard never wastes a Ascot entry — the weight is the only thing stopping this three-year-old going closer.
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4Predicted 4th
Gaucher
unpricedWillie Mullins sending a seven-year-old to Ascot suggests confidence; /41-12 form shows ability to front-run and win. Colin Keane will make it honest.
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Winner placed 1/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Tim Toe
unpricedThree wins from three runs, joint-top SR of 86, carrying a fair 9-3. De Bromhead doesn't send horses to Ascot for a day out — this is a planned raid.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Bahadur
unpricedSR 86, form 11-651 with two earlier wins suggesting ability — Robert Havlin on a 4yo who has clearly had issues but holds talent worth respecting at this weights range.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Mordor
unpricedSR 83, won last time out (form 1020-1), Jamie Spencer knows exactly how to dictate at Ascot — the pace-setter often finds the frame in a truly-run marathon.
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4Predicted 4th
Glenroyal
unpricedSR 85, form 31011- shows consistent placing and three wins in the sequence — Joseph O'Brien's yard has significant firepower here and Glenroyal is the stable's best-credentialled …
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Winner called 3/4 in frame · Winner
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🥇Predicted 1st
Bow Echo
unpricedSR:118 leads this field; unbeaten 111-1 form and front-running style on stiff Ascot ground gives Loughnane the race in his own hands from the front.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Puerto Rico
unpricedSR:111 and a 4111-4 form line including three straight wins suggests Soumillon will be pressing hardest at the line for O'Brien.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Gstaad
unpricedSR:113 is the second-highest in the field and Moore's positional intelligence will get him into contention, but 221-21 form suggests he finds one too good.
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4Predicted 4th
Talk Of New York
unpricedSR:99 is a full 19 points below Bow Echo; Buick's hold-up style needs the leaders to come back to him, and on this evidence they won't.
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