LLaMa Letters · The Honest Record
Race by Race
LLaMa’s 1-2-3-4 for every race she’s ever written on — graded pick by pick, straight from the Racing API. Nothing edited, nothing hidden.
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Missed the frame 2/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Barbury Boy
7/2SR 88, last-time-out winner, lightest weight among the serious contenders at 9-3; Rossa Ryan will hunt the improving lead and Sandown's stiff finish suits a horse in ascending for…
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Akho Mezzna
5/1SR 84, runner-up last time, carries a workable 9-6 with Oisin Murphy aboard; consistent enough to fill the place frame if Barbury Boy gets first run.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Bridge Of Eagles
2/1Field-best SR 91 means he won't be far away, but the 9-7 burden and a third-place finish in two of his last three starts caps his likely ceiling today.
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4Predicted 4th
Sassicaia
13/2A winner on his form string and SR 80 keeps him honest, but 9-9 is a significant ask for a three-year-old that hasn't reappeared since that win.
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Missed the frame 2/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
King's Cavalry
evnSR 102, back-to-back wins, James Doyle booked, and a pace scenario that plays directly to his front-running profile over seven furlongs on Good ground.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Spirit Of Saxony
7/4SR 95 and two recent wins make her the clear second force; Charles Bishop will press hard but a seven-point SR deficit to the winner is likely decisive.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Sunny Smile
11/1SR 81 is modest but Oisin Murphy extracts maximum from a low draw at 8-13; the 142-02 sequence suggests capability when things fall right.
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4Predicted 4th
Richie's Rocket
12/1Topweight at 9-10 combined with a plummeting form line of 1-4570 and SR 79 puts Ralph Beckett's runner in the places frame only if the principals disappoint.
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Winner called 3/4 in frame · Winner
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🥇Predicted 1st
Constitution River
5/6SR 132, top of the field by 7 points, carrying 8-13, back-to-back wins, and Ryan Moore — every material signal points the same direction.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Hawk Mountain
7/1SR 125, near-perfect 111-12 record, and front-running potential makes him the likeliest to push Constitution River hardest in the straight.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Gethin
4/1SR 124 and consistent 122-12 form at 4/1 makes Gethin a genuine each-way proposition; James Doyle keeps him competitive throughout.
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4Predicted 4th
Saddadd
7/1SR 120 and a tidy 113-13 record earn a place in the frame, but the ceiling isn't high enough to troubling the top three today.
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Winner placed 2/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Sacred Ground
11/4SR 111, Ryan Moore, Gosden stable targeting this race — a tactical mile at Sandown sets up her sustained finishing kick, and the 12-224 form string shows consistent competitivenes…
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Pacific Mission
11/4SR 117 is the class ceiling of this field and Colin Keane won't waste the ride; loses only to a horse whose conditions suit her perfectly today.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Act Of Kindness
7/2SR 104 and four-star AI rating at 7/2 suggest Appleby's filly has more to offer than her current mark; Billy Loughnane's booking adds confidence to a third-place finish.
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4Predicted 4th
Estissa
9/1Form of 3-121 shows a filly who finds a way to be involved; SR 93 caps her ceiling here but Oisin Murphy can extract maximum value from limited raw material.
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Winner called 1/4 in frame · Winner
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🥇Predicted 1st
Indalo
7/2SR of 110 leads the field, 9-1 weight is workable, and Varian's yard targets these Saturday handicaps with precision. The true gallop set by the front group is the pace shape he n…
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Beagle Bay
13/2SR 105 and four consecutive placed efforts in the 2-1411 form string make Beagle Bay the most consistent horse in the race; Rossa Ryan will have him primed to finish fast from 8-1…
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🥉Predicted 3rd
River King
13/2SR 106 and a 31-215 form line show River King belongs at this level; Sean Levey will have him travelling well into the straight and the 8-11 weight suits a four-year-old lightly c…
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4Predicted 4th
Classic
11/1SR 98 is workable, weight of 9-1 is manageable, and the 28-219 form includes a recent second that shows Pat Dobbs can find the frame when conditions suit.
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Awaiting result 1/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Words Of Truth
3/1SR 116, ★★★★, form 113-21 with Billy Loughnane retained, 9-0 weight, and an honest pace to aim at — every signal aligns for the Appleby three-year-old.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Asfoora
2/1SR 118 is the field's second-highest and Oisin Murphy doesn't take a bad ride, but three consecutive disappointing runs mean second is her ceiling here.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Rumstar
11/4SR 112 and ★★★ at 11/4 — front-running profile suits the honest gallop and Rob Hornby is a competent partner, but the 560-20 form has too many blanks to go higher.
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4Predicted 4th
Shagraan
8/1SR 105 and early pace from Rossa Ryan could keep Shagraan competitive into the straight; 21-300 form suggests he gets beaten but rarely runs badly when fresh.
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Missed the frame 2/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Sure And Stedfast
10/3SR-high in the field at 72, recent 3-2 placed sequence, McDonald booked, and lightest credible weight among the leading market principals at 9-9 on the best evidence.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Big Win
2/1SR 73 and a clear improving run sequence of 535-21 justify market support, but 9-6 over a stamina trip edges him out of first at the line.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
It's Only Fun
7/1SR 68, three-star AI rating, and a form line finishing 4412 signals genuine placed form — 7/1 represents the field's best each-way value behind the two principals.
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4Predicted 4th
Golspie
10/1Consistent placed form of 442344 and the lowest-weight position among mid-field runners gives Golspie a claim to the minor money at 10/1.
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Winner called 3/4 in frame · Winner
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🥇Predicted 1st
Barnaby Rudge
13/8SR 152 leads the field, the only winner in the race, and Muscutt rides with yard confidence at 13/8 — the experience edge over five debutants is decisive.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Papercut
4/1SR 150 and Balding's market confidence at 4/1 with PJ McDonald aboard — strong latent ability, just lacks the race experience to overhaul the winner.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Flashing Star
8/1SR 147 and a run already in the legs over this trip; the single sixth-place finish masks a horse likely to improve sharply with race fitness.
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4Predicted 4th
Hell Of A Spin
9/1SR 146 from Keatley's yard; a debut runner who could break well and hold a prominent position, but experience and class likely cost him a podium finish.
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Missed the frame 2/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Power Fizz
11/4SR 101, form 1214-1, Cieren Fallon booked, and a genuine early pace to close into. Every signal points the same direction.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Tuco Salamanca
11/2SR 98, William Buick engaged, and a stalking position in the race-shape that puts him perfectly placed to take the runner-up spot if Power Fizz clears away.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Al Najashi
7/1SR 104 is the best raw number in the field, but the ninth last time out and 3-year-old status in a deep handicap keep him off the top spot; third is fair value for his talent.
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4Predicted 4th
Pocklington
15/2SR 92, PJ McDonald in the saddle, and a form line showing two wins in recent starts — carries 9-12 but deserves a place slot in an honest gallop.
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Missed the frame 2/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Team Player
13/2SR 102 is the highest in the field; the 13-115 form sequence confirms a horse peaking now. 9-1 weight is no burden at this trip for a four-year-old with a genuine staying profile.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Ride The Thunder
11/2SR 98, Roger Varian, and just 8-13 on his back — a horse like this in a true-run two-miler will be finishing hard. The 1442-3 form shows consistency rather than dominance; second …
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Synergism
12/1SR 98 and a win last time under Sir Mark Prescott's meticulous placing — 1253-1 is the form of a horse ready for this exact test. Each-way territory at 12/1.
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4Predicted 4th
Kirchner
8/1SR 91 and Cieren Fallon in the saddle gives Kirchner more upside than his 434-75 form implies; at 8/1 the market sees something, and he'll stay well enough to collect minor placin…
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