LLaMa Letters · The Honest Record
Race by Race
LLaMa’s 1-2-3-4 for every race she’s ever written on — graded pick by pick, straight from the Racing API. Nothing edited, nothing hidden.
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Missed the frame 1/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Arc Zoosve
10/1Four-win streak (251111), 9-3 weight, and 10/1 price represent the best value-to-momentum combination in the field; Costello's ability to track through a big field is the executio…
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Believitanducan
11/4SR of 91 is class of the field and 1/2-11 form is irrefutable; Buick will have him perfectly placed but the price has compressed too far for a 20-runner stamina handicap.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Shrimp Shady
4/1SR 93, Andrew Balding yard, and 44121 recent form make Shrimp Shady the logical pace-setter and a sturdy each-way candidate despite the 9-11 impost.
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4Predicted 4th
St Faz
11/1117152 form and 9-2 weight give St Faz a legitimate stamina profile at 11/1; Adrian Paul Keatley's runner is the forgotten runner in a market fixated on the top two.
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Winner placed 3/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Marvelman
11/2SR 117, McDonald booked by Balding with purpose, and three placed runs before his break suggest a horse ready to graduate; pace scenario suits a hold-up ride perfectly.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Diligent Harry
3/1Highest SR in the field at 121 and Saffie Osborne is capable, but eight years old at level weights in a genuine gallop will find younger legs outkicking him late.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Symbol Of Honour
13/2Buick-Appleby combination rarely turns up without intent; SR 104 undersells him if the Godolphin operation has targeted this and the pace collapse suits his finishing style.
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4Predicted 4th
Paborus
7/1SR 105 and form showing a win in his penultimate run makes Paborus the most likely pace-influence to stay honest into fourth at 7/1 with Bethell's yard in decent nick.
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Missed the frame 1/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Supido
11/2Field-leading SR of 94, a recent win on the form string, 9-5 weight manageable at this class, and William Buick in the saddle — every major signal aligns.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Caviar Cowboy
11/2SR of 91 and four recent placings in five starts confirm consistency; the light weight of 8-2 helps in a true-run race, even if winning proves beyond a three-year-old here.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Tremolo
17/2Three-win sequence gives Tremolo the form book credentials at SR 93, but a post-break return and 17/2 market caution leave too many questions to promote higher.
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4Predicted 4th
Bobby Bennu
7/2At 7/2 and SR 86, Bobby Bennu is overbet; setting the pace suits him but his form string of 2550-4 shows he doesn't finish the job off the front under pressure.
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Missed the frame 2/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
A Piece Of Heaven
6/1Highest SR in the field at 115, winning on most recent start, peaking at eight over a trip that plays to his strengths — the 6/1 is a gift.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Le Destrier
11/4SR 109, Buick booked, and a form string that includes placings at this class — Mullins knows this trip and Le Destrier will be finishing strongly.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Illinois
3/1SR 118 on paper but that blank last run at 3/1 is a concern — Moore will get him into the race but the form line argues third, not first.
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4Predicted 4th
French Master
11/2SR 114 and a pace-forcing role means he shapes the race — but 150-35 form under the Gosdens suggests he's consistent enough to fill a place without threatening for the win.
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Winner placed 2/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Perisher
9/1SR 100, 8-11, form 53-311 showing a horse in steep ascent; Buick aboard and O'Brien stable confidence — the weight advantage over every serious rival in this field is decisive.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Lost Boys
4/1SR 96 and a 331-11 form sequence make this a genuine contender; the 9-2 weight is the ceiling, but James McDonald will get every last yard from him.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Princling
7/1SR 101 and 22-14 form carries significant promise; 8-11 matches Perisher's weight, and Marquand on a Haggas runner in handicap company at Ascot is not to be dismissed.
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4Predicted 4th
Evanesco
9/1SR 102 heads the ratings bar Sahara King, and 617-41 form shows resilience; at 9/1 David Egan gets a live each-way claim if the pace collapses late.
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Missed the frame 3/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Binhareer
4/1Joint-highest SR of 113, consistent placed form under a genuine gallop, Haggas-Marquand combination at a sane 4/1 — the evidence accumulates too cleanly to ignore.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Far Above Dream
14/1Three wins from five recent starts, SR 98, carrying a workable 9-3 — James Owen's four-year-old is the most dangerous second-string in the race.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Completely Random
12/1Ryan Moore at 12/1 is a signal that demands respect; SR 101 and the lightest competitive weight at 9-2 gives Harry Charlton's runner genuine place claims.
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4Predicted 4th
Double Rush
9/2SR 113 and a 320-11 form string confirm the class, but 9-9 in a field this wide is a brutal ask and Shane Foley will need everything to go right from the front.
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Missed the frame 0/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Into The Sky
5/1SR 115 leads the proven form runners; Oisin Murphy's Ascot record is the best in the field and the strong pace set by Colori Forever plays directly to his off-the-pace running sty…
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Saber Strike
15/8SR 120 is the highest in the field and Haggas horses rarely turn up unprepared — he'll run a big race, but 15/8 on an unproven form line is too short to beat a horse with a sterne…
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Catullus
8/1A last-time-out winner (form reads 14-271) under Buick, SR 108, and a pace map that suits a horse who travels midfield and finishes — the market underestimates him at 8/1.
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4Predicted 4th
The Prettiest Star
15/2SR 114, James Doyle booked, and a 9-0 weight advantage over the boys — she's trained by Ed Walker who knows how to place a filly fresh off a form line of 12-4 at a price.
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Winner placed 2/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Satono Reve
10/3SR 119, four AI stars, Ryan Moore booked, and a form string showing win-then-second at this level; the pace setup suits a horse coming from off the pace on good-to-firm ground.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Joliestar
15/8SR 130 is the class ceiling in this field and three consecutive wins cannot be dismissed outright; James McDonald will have her prominent but the price asks too much at 15/8.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Lake Forest
10/1SR 120, Haggas yard, and a winning run last time out at 10/1 make Lake Forest a solid each-way proposition without the market pressure of the top two.
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4Predicted 4th
Sajir
12/1SR 116, Oisin Murphy aboard, and a 10-221 form string showing progressive consistency; Fabre runners at Royal Ascot rarely arrive without a genuine winning chance at the trip.
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Winner placed 3/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Kalpana
5/2SR 133 matched only by Jan Brueghel, but 3lb lighter at 9-0 and coming off a winning last start; Colin Keane's booking signals trainer confidence from Andrew Balding's yard.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Jan Brueghel
9/2SR 133, Ryan Moore, and consistent 214-12 form make him the clear danger; the 3lb weight concession to Kalpana is what keeps him second.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Goliath
5/1SR 126 is a clear cut above the remainder; if he controls the pace and kicks, the 103-21 recent form says he goes close for a placing.
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4Predicted 4th
Ethical Diamond
9/1Four wins from five before last start's fifth; SR 124 is competitive enough for a place but the latest reversal stops me going higher.
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Missed the frame 0/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Where Love Lives
12/1Unbeaten in two starts, SR 151, and a race shape built for closers — Kevin Stott can drop in behind the early speedsters and unleash the finish that won twice already.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Carry The Flag
5/2SR 156 is the field's ceiling and Ryan Moore will find the position, but two prior defeats in form mean this horse knows how to finish second as well as first.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Ez Tina
15/2SR 153 and Wesley Ward's Royal Ascot strike rate make the filly impossible to leave out; she carries 9-0 and Ward's juveniles habitually improve on debut figures.
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4Predicted 4th
Force Noir
11/1SR 150, won on debut and ran second last time — the most consistent progressive form line outside the top three, and Kevin Philippart De Foy's yard has quietly placed this horse w…
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