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Top Rated Today

Sly Man's Top Rated — Wednesday 28 October 2026

Each Top Rated lane is judged by its own historical evidence. Price filters are applied only where the ledger shows they improve selection quality.

Sly Man’s Briefing · 2026-10-28

Today’s Top Rated

38 races 366 runners scanned
Sly Man Staff analyst
Editorial

Sly Man’s Take

Three minutes with the day.

3 horses win cross-system agreement today.

The Fold is empty today — 38 races, 366 runners, and not a single horse appears in two or more primary signals, so treat this as a watchlist morning rather than a bet-slip one. The strongest single thread runs through Nottingham, where Fulcrum at 13:46 draws agreement from four separate systems — AI consensus, Mr Fox, the Race Explorer SR filter, and the steamer board — making it the most corroborated selection on the card, though four-way agreement on a day when the broader signals are this thin deserves a measure of scepticism rather than blind confidence. Duran, also at Nottingham in the 13:16, is backed by three of those same systems and arrives with a jockey upgrade in Clifford Lee (20.0% strike rate, up from Dougie Costello's 0.0%), which adds a tangible angle, but the absence of a speed-rating headline for either horse is a note of caution worth holding. Over at Kempton's evening card, Maria da Silva at 18:15 also pulls four-system consensus and sits alongside the steamer board, so if the market firms her up through the afternoon that convergence becomes harder to ignore. On balance, a quiet Wednesday — the signals point rather than shout, and the absence of Fold horses means the risk of overreading today's data is real.
The scan

Top Signals TodayTop SignalsThe highest-conviction hit from each race today, one row per race. Filters the whole card down to what’s actually worth watching.

The highest-conviction hits, one per race.

18:15 Kempton (AW) Lead signal

Maria da Silva

Strong contender

  • 2 lists
  • AI ★
13:16 Nottingham #2

Duran

Strong contender

  • 2 lists
  • AI ★
13:36 Huntingdon #3

Scotto

Highest SR (watch)

  • 2 lists
  • SR 163
15:30 Dundalk (AW) #4

Mudyrk

Highest SR (watch)

  • 2 lists
  • SR 158
16:21 Newton Abbot #5

The Gift Shop

Highest SR (watch)

  • 2 lists
  • SR 154
13:51 Newton Abbot #6

Lallygag

Watch

13:51 Newton Abbot #7

Real Quartz

Watch

13:51 Newton Abbot #8

Vol Royale

Watch

By the numbers

The Ratings

Top three horses by each rating system today.

SR Speed Rating SR — Speed RatingA numeric performance score based on race times. Higher is faster — typically 100+ is strong, 140+ is Group-race calibre.
  1. Scotto

    13:36 Huntingdon 13/8 2 lists
    163
  2. Mudyrk

    15:30 Dundalk (AW) 15/8 2 lists
    158
  3. The Gift Shop

    16:21 Newton Abbot 11/4 2 lists
    154
OR Official Rating OR — Official RatingThe BHA handicapper’s assessment of a horse’s ability. Used to set the weight it carries in handicaps.
  1. Lallygag

    13:51 Newton Abbot 15/2
    128
  2. Real Quartz

    13:51 Newton Abbot 6/5
    127
  3. Vol Royale

    13:51 Newton Abbot 10/3
    124
Cross-system agreement

Systems ConsensusSystems ConsensusWhen multiple independent Saturday Racing engines (AI models, Sly Man, Mr Fox, market read) land on the same horse. Cross-system agreement is unusual and worth taking seriously.

The horses Saturday Racing's independent analytical engines all landed on. When four systems built on different signals agree, the market usually catches up quickly.

  • 4 SYSTEMS
    AGREE

    Fulcrum

    5/6
    13:46 Nottingham
    • BALANCED LENS (AI CONSENSUS)
    • MR FOX (PICK_WINNER)
    • RACE EXPLORER — TOP SR
    • STEAMER BOARD
    Race at 13:46 13:46 Nottingham
    Verify
  • 4 SYSTEMS
    AGREE
    18:15 Kempton (AW) 2 lists
    • BALANCED LENS (AI CONSENSUS)
    • MR FOX (PICK_WINNER)
    • RACE EXPLORER — TOP SR
    • STEAMER BOARD
    Race at 18:15 18:15 Kempton (AW)
    Verify
  • 3 SYSTEMS
    AGREE

    Duran

    10/3
    13:16 Nottingham 2 lists
    • BALANCED LENS (AI CONSENSUS)
    • MR FOX (PICK_WINNER)
    • STEAMER BOARD
    Race at 13:16 13:16 Nottingham
    Verify
Market moves

The MoneyThe MoneyThe board’s view of the race — which horses the market is backing, which it’s abandoning, and by how much.

What the boards are telling us.

Steamers — sharp money coming inSteamerA horse whose odds have shortened significantly as the market backs it. Sharp money coming in.

Drifters — sanity checkDrifterA horse whose odds have lengthened as the market cools on it. Sanity-check signal — sometimes right, sometimes wrong.

  • Hottentotta

    16:21 Newton Abbot
    66/1 200/1 200%
    MARKET COOLING
    Race at 16:21 16:21 Newton Abbot
  • Savannah Sun

    15:00 Dundalk (AW)
    50/1 150/1 196%
    MARKET COOLING
    Race at 15:00 15:00 Dundalk (AW)
  • Unlawfilly

    15:00 Dundalk (AW)
    50/1 150/1 196%
    MARKET COOLING
    Race at 15:00 15:00 Dundalk (AW)
Contextual edges

The Angles

The situational reads.

Trainer hot streak

14 days
  1. Alastair Ralph 42.9% (3/7) · 1 today
  2. Owen Burrows 40.0% (4/10) · 2 today
  3. Jamie Snowden 31.6% (6/19) · 1 today
  4. Michael Herrington 31.6% (6/19) · 1 today
  5. Joe Tizzard 30.0% (9/30) · 5 today

Jockey upgrade

New pilot
  1. Eton Mes 14:51 Newton Abbot Conor O'Farrell (30.8%) up from Rian Corcoran (0.0%)
    14/1 Race at 14:51
  2. Vango Can Go 13:21 Newton Abbot Harry Skelton (26.4%) up from Charlie Todd (0.0%)
    1/5 Race at 13:21
  3. Fizzy Bear 17:15 Kempton (AW) Jack Callan (23.1%) up from Callum Shepherd (0.0%)
    6/4 Race at 17:15
  4. Morning Approach 14:00 Dundalk (AW) Jack Kearney (25.0%) up from Chris Hayes (2.6%)
    50/1 Race at 14:00
  5. Dragon Spin 13:16 Nottingham Clifford Lee (20.0%) up from Dougie Costello (0.0%)
    10/1 Race at 13:16

Course & distance

Specialist
  1. Moyassr 14:30 Dundalk (AW) 4 wins at Dundalk (AW) 1m
    11/2 Race at 14:30
  2. Macadam's Rock 16:00 Dundalk (AW) 4 wins at Dundalk (AW) 7f
    14/1 Race at 16:00
  3. Zero Carbon 20:15 Kempton (AW) 4 wins at Kempton (AW) 7f
    18/1 Race at 20:15
  4. Howyoulikethat 14:30 Dundalk (AW) 3 wins at Dundalk (AW) 1m
    18/1 Race at 14:30
  5. Una Matata 16:30 Dundalk (AW) 3 wins at Dundalk (AW) 7f
    3/1 Race at 16:30

Class dropper

-1 class
  1. Scavengers Reign 15:36 Huntingdon Class 1 → Class 4 (drop 3)
    5/1 Race at 15:36
  2. Thames Waterman 18:45 Kempton (AW) Class 1 → Class 4 (drop 3)
    17/2 Race at 18:45
  3. Treasurer 18:45 Kempton (AW) Class 1 → Class 4 (drop 3)
    22/1 Race at 18:45
  4. Bear Lee 12:46 Nottingham Class 3 → Class 5 (drop 2)
    5/1 Race at 12:46
  5. Vango Can Go 13:21 Newton Abbot Class 1 → Class 3 (drop 2)
    1/5 Race at 13:21