Sly Man's Horses to Watch — Wednesday 28 October 2026
Nothing shorter than 5/1 makes my book. I'm looking beyond the obvious — but they still have to earn their place.
Five worth watching today. Read the rating, read the angle, then make up your own mind. I'm the wiry one in the silks reading form on a tablet while the favourites warm up — here's what's caught my eye.
Split Elevens
Five signals stacked on a horse running a career-best 79 SR, one tick off its personal ceiling — that kind of confluence doesn't show up by accident. Three places on the spin with David Egan aboard at 5/1 makes Split Elevens the standout watch at Kempton tonight.
- SR 79 — near career best (80)
- 5 independent signals aligned
- Placed in last 3 starts (form: 222)
Herrington is firing at 26% over the last month and the market has already clocked this one — money coming in, no drift to speak of. Two course wins at Nottingham seals it; Rambuso Creek is firmly on the list.
- Michael Herrington — 26% strike rate last 30d (8/31)
- Money coming — strict-majority steamer, no drifters
- 2 prior wins at Nottingham
Four signals aligned and the market's already moving — money doesn't lie at Kempton on a Tuesday evening. Amarachi has hit the frame three times running and looks overpriced at 11/2 with the books still adjusting.
- Money coming — strict-majority steamer, no drifters
- 4 independent signals aligned
- Placed in last 3 starts (form: 333)
Four wins at Dundalk already and the market is steaming in without any drift — that's not noise, that's intent. McGuinness has landed nine from 69 in the last month and Moyassr at 11/2 looks like number ten on his own track.
- Money coming — strict-majority steamer, no drifters
- 4 prior wins at Dundalk (AW)
- Adrian McGuinness — 13% strike rate last 30d (9/69)
Warren Greatrex is running at 24% over the last month and has put his own son in the saddle — that is not a combination you see when connections are just making up the numbers. SR 84 tops the card at 15/2, and a yard firing like this does not send one out cold.
- Warren Greatrex — 24% strike rate last 30d (6/25)
- SR 84 — top of the card
- Edward Greatrex — 14% strike rate last 30d (4/28)