Leopardstown 17:30 RESULTED
4 Jun 2026

Last Thursday Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (IRE Incentive Race) · 7f20y

1148-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Blonde Over Blue (GB) Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    6/1
  2. Second Alpha (IRE)
    2/1J
  3. 10/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 10 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Alpha silks
Alpha
Age 2 · 9-2
47
2
9-2
5/1 4/1 9/2
Sea The Stars filly is closely related to 1m2f-1m6f winner Saturn (inc AW; RPR 98), half-sister to 7.5f winner Proxima Centauri (87); dam 6f-1m winner (inc 2yo/Irish 1,000 Guineas; 124), half-sister to 1m Group 1 winner Alpine Star, from fine family of Miesque; super pedigree.
AI verdict

SR 47 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Alpine Wedding silks
Alpine Wedding
Age 2 · 9-2
W J Lee 15%
P Twomey 26%
48
2
9-2
10/3
Sioux Nation filly cost 115,000euros as a foal and 220,000euros as a yearling; sister to 6.5f and 7f (French Group 3) 2yo winner Sydneyarms Chelsea (RPR 96), half-sister to 6f AW winner Bucklow Hill (74); dam 6f AW 2yo winner (75), out of Group-placed 6f 2yo winner; top yard, obvious appeal on debut.
AI verdict

SR 48 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Blonde Over Blue silks
Blonde Over Blue
Age 2 · 9-2
45
2
9-2
17/2 5/1 17/2
Lope De Vega filly cost 260,000gns as a foal and 400,000gns as a yearling; first foal; dam 1m1f-1m4f winner (inc AW/Italian Group 3; RPR 105), half-sister to Japanese 1m2f winner Steen; newcomer represents another top yard, has to be noted for market support.
AI verdict

SR 45 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Carafinn silks
Carafinn
Age 2 · 9-2
30
2
9-2
28/1 16/1 28/1
Mehmas filly cost 120,000euros as a yearling; half-sister to winners Warriors Whisper (French Group-placed 9.5f AW; RPR 98) and Carencey (6f/7f; 82); dam 7f-1m2f winner (inc Group 3; 105), sister to dam of top-class middle-distance performer Pyledriver; watch for market support on debut.
AI verdict

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

5
Chiquitita Bee silks
Chiquitita Bee
Age 2 · 9-2
9
15
2
9-2
200/1 125/1 200/1
State Of Rest filly; 12,000euros yearling; second foal; dam runner-up 6f 2yo (RPR 82), half-sister to Italian 1m7f jumps winner Teddy's Profit, out of French 1m2f winning half-sister to 5f/5.5f 2yo Group 2 winner Signora Cabello; plenty keen, dropped out to finish last of 9 on recent Cork debut; this a stronger maiden, easily passed over.
AI verdict

SR 0 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 125/1.

6
Honey Deuce silks
Honey Deuce
Age 2 · 9-2
41
2
9-2
16/1 8/1 16/1
St Mark's Basilica filly cost 90,000euros as a yearling; half-sister to winners Magda (French 8.5f 2yo/1m2f) and Dubai First (Norwegian 1m4f); dam French 10.5f-12.5f winner (inc AW/Listed; RPR 105), out of unraced half-sister to Breeders' Cup Juvenile winner Wilko; watch market.
AI verdict

SR 41 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Ibelieveicanfly silks
Ibelieveicanfly
Age 2 · 9-2
50
2
9-2
SP 5/4 10/11
Frankel filly is closely related to 1m-10.6f winner Piz Badile (inc 2yo/AW/Group 3; RPR 116), half-sister to 6f/7f winner Yosemite Valley (inc Listed; 117); dam 1m1f-10.5f winner (inc AW/Listed; 105), out of 10.5f Group 1 winner from fine family; Ryan Moore's pick and yard have won this for the last three years.
AI verdict

SR 50 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Littlepacer silks
Littlepacer
Age 2 · 9-2
22
2
9-2
66/1 50/1 66/1
Dark Angel filly cost 23,000euros as a foal and 20,000euros as a yearling; half-sister to winners Havana Rum (5f/6f inc 2yo/AW; RPR 87) and Armada Rising (US 1m turf); dam unraced half-sister to US 1m Grade 1 winner Hunt.
AI verdict

SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

9
Margot Mae silks
Margot Mae
Age 2 · 9-2
6
58
66
2
9-2
11/1 12/1 11/1
Starspangledbanner filly a 115,000gns yearling; half-sister to winners incl' New Endeavour (7f-1m1f inc 2yo/AW/Australian Group 3; RPR 117), and Johnny Boom (8.6f-1m4f inc AW; 80); dam unraced half-sister to 7f 2yo Group 3 winner Luminous Eyes; plenty keen and green on Navan debut in late April; given a break since and more expected of.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Pink Venom silks
Pink Venom
Age 2 · 9-2
22
2
9-2
66/1 25/1 66/1
Soldier's Call filly a 85,000euros yearling; third foal; half-sister to 6f/7f 2yo winner Rebel Diamond (inc Listed/Qatar; RPR 98); dam unraced half-sister to winners Sollertia (7f 2yo), The Ginger Queen (US 7.5f/1m) and Szachrajka (Polish 7f/1m); debutante likely all the better for the experience.
AI verdict

SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

11
Westminster Waltz silks
Westminster Waltz
Age 2 · 9-2
22
2
9-2
66/1 40/1 66/1
Churchill filly cost 25,000euros as a yearling; half-sister to four winners inc Take Me With You (Group-placed 6f 2yo; RPR 96), Just Ain't Right (US stakes-placed 6f dirt) and Is It True Ma'am (US 6f dirt 2yo); unraced dam out of US 6f Grade 3 2yo winner; debutante probably best watched.
AI verdict

SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Alpha 5/1 open 5.50 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 Bet365
2 Alpine Wedding 10/3 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 Coral
3 Blonde Over Blue 17/2 open 6.50 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 Coral
4 Carafinn 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 Bet365
5 Chiquitita Bee 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 Bet365
6 Honey Deuce 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 Bet365
7 Ibelieveicanfly evn open 2.50 evn open 2.38 evn open 2.38 evn open 2.38 10/11 open 2.25 evn Bet365
8 Littlepacer 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 Bet365
9 Margot Mae 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 Bet365
10 Pink Venom 66/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 Bet365
11 Westminster Waltz 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Alpha

Speculative

Alpha owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (26) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 A P O'Brien Wayne Lordan
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Alpine Wedding

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · P Twomey
✓ Value Signal

Westminster Waltz

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · A Oliver
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
26 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +9.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Alpha
46.4 5/1
2 2. Alpine Wedding
46.0 10/3
3 7. Ibelieveicanfly
41.5 evn
4 3. Blonde Over Blue
41.0 17/2
5 6. Honey Deuce
40.0 16/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
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🤖 AI view
Margot Mae
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 2 · 9-2
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 48 🐾

SR 48 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-2
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

SR 45 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 2 · 9-2
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 2 · 9-2
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 41 🐾

SR 41 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Margot Mae
Confidence: Medium

Margot Mae leads the field with SR 58 and is trading at 12/1. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-2 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Margot Mae, Ibelieveicanfly, Alpine Wedding, Alpha, Blonde Over Blue
Each-way: Ibelieveicanfly Danger: Alpine Wedding

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f20y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Leopardstown Track and setting